30 Oct 2026 at 16:15:09 hyperliquid

Short Trade on CHIP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 2911.24 CHIP at 0.0438$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04268 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04652 (6.28 %)

CHIP SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Oct 2026 16:15 → 22:10 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.04377$

Qty 2911.2399 CHIP

Size 127.425$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.04268 (+2.49%)

TP $ 3.17$

SL 0.04652 (-6.28%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.4

Status win PnL +0.13% / +0.17$ MAE -2.63% MFE +0.41% 0.1R expires 30 Oct 22:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 235995)
#93 / 94
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 16:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1248

Quality Score
0.317
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#93 / 94
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.28 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#93 / 94
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.28 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.11×ATR
4h near -0.05×ATR
1d near -0.14×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
recovering
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.21
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
5.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 16:03
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

28/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

30/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/10 14:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7368
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.90

transition

+1

Micro bear

0.55

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 35.5%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h bearish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.162
Δ 4h
▼-0.139
Δ 12h
▼-0.202
Δ 24h
▲+0.111

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 81.8%
1h 59.7%
4h 18.2%
24h 9.1%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 90.9% +0.29%
4h 66.2% -1.21%
24h 49.4% -5.45%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
1.3%
Down ≥1σ
1.3%
Expansion
2.6%
Tail ↑
+0.51
Tail ↓
+0.21
Dispersion : 0.133
Universe : 77 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 30/10 16:02 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3306
Score SMA
0.4647
Rank
#30 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6588
Rank Norm SMA
0.7765
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3486 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -12.40% · r3d: -15.60% · ema21_slope: -0.2217% · dist_ema21: -9.689%
Force Relative 25% 0.3184 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -8.25% · rs_3d: -12.90% · beta_24h: 3.321
Volume 20% 0.3961 rvol_20: 0.89× · zscore_50: 0.200 · trend: 39.66%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4482 ADX: 16.7 (weak) · Chop: 61.8 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 16.768% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.3169
Score SMA
0.5405
Rank
#93 / 94
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1248
Rank Norm SMA
0.5191
Calculé le
30/10/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2682 r1h: 2.565% · r4h: -1.520% · r1d: -9.94% · r3d: -19.75% · ema21_slope: -0.1521% · dist_ema21: -0.490%
Force Relative 25% 0.3868 rs_1h: 2.158% · rs_4h: -0.681% · rs_1d: -5.13% · rs_3d: -14.97% · beta_24h: 2.545
Volume 20% 0.1699 rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -0.468 · trend: -49.22%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4724 ADX: 20.6 (weak) · Chop: 62.8 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.699% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.2329
Score SMA
0.4995
Rank
#93 / 94
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0581
Rank Norm SMA
0.5013
Calculé le
30/10/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1833 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.520% · r1d: -9.94% · r3d: -19.75% · ema21_slope: -0.5690% · dist_ema21: -7.086%
Force Relative 25% 0.3274 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.681% · rs_1d: -5.13% · rs_3d: -14.97% · beta_24h: 2.374
Volume 20% 0.1914 rvol_20: 0.43× · zscore_50: -0.395 · trend: -36.69%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6678 ADX: 23.1 (weak) · Chop: 41.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.208% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.283% (0.0028)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.411% 0.1R -2.374% 0.4R 0.2× 12
2h +0.411% 0.1R -2.630% 0.4R 0.2× 24
4h +0.411% 0.1R -2.630% 0.4R 0.2× 48
6h ★ +0.411% 0.1R -2.630% 0.4R 0.2× 72
8h +0.411% 0.1R -2.630% 0.4R 0.2× 96
12h +2.081% 0.3R -2.630% 0.4R 0.8× 144
24h +3.121% 0.5R -2.630% 0.4R 1.2× 288
48h +4.405% 0.7R -2.630% 0.4R 1.7× 576
72h +11.668% 1.9R -2.630% 0.4R 4.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 1419 min MAE in 89 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 17 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.22
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bear_high
41%
noisy_chop 45% early near -0.1ATR — — range_high +0.21% -0.85 28/10 20:00
4h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong explosive expansion_after_compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 46% early near -0.1ATR — 0.49 bear_high_confirmed -4.41% -0.84 30/10 08:00
1h ↔ neutral range bullish_transition strong fading compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 39% mid near 0.1ATR — 0.52 bear_high -3.72% +0.19 30/10 14:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate balanced normal bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 40% early — near -0.3ATR 0.68 bear_medium -1.78% +0.03 30/10 15:30
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#454288
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.697 volatile_reversal bear_high
41%
noisy_chop 45% early 11b -0.7ATR near -0.1ATR — 0.89 79% ↓ -0.22 below_value -6.39 — #215788 — range_high +0.21% -0.85
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:36
4h
#462339
↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong explosive 0.381 expansion_after_compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 46% early 6b -1.0ATR near -0.1ATR — 0.75 71% ↓ -0.39 below_value -5.88 — #219219 0.49 bear_high_confirmed -4.41% -0.84
30/10 08:00
upd 30/10 12:29
1h anchor
#463709
↔ neutral range bullish_transition strong fading 0.316 compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 39% mid 3b -1.4ATR near 0.1ATR — 0.72 51% ↔ +0.09 below_value -7.62 — #219887 0.52 bear_high -3.72% +0.19
30/10 14:00
upd 30/10 15:15
15m
#463998
↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate balanced 0.420 normal bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 40% early 2b -0.1ATR — near -0.3ATR 0.58 48% ↓ -0.52 below_value -7.62 — #219887 0.68 bear_medium -1.78% +0.03
30/10 15:30
upd 30/10 15:49
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 11b — 0.602×ATR p0 -0.682×ATR p37
4h ↓ down early 6b — 3.063×ATR p41 -0.996×ATR p54
1h ↓ down mid 3b — 2.138×ATR p29 -1.38×ATR p69
15m ↑ up early 2b — 1.979×ATR p33 -0.125×ATR p4

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.04651797
  2. tp_price: 0.04267575
  3. atr: 0.00109919
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-31T02:15:09+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 93
  2. total: 94
  3. score: 0.1639
  4. delta_2h: -0.0557
  5. extension_atr: -0.03
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1222
  9. confidence: 0.989

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04377 0.04652 0.04268 0.4 0.04245
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04377
  • Stop Loss: 0.04652
  • Take Profit: 0.04268

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04652 - 0.04377 = 0.00275

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04377 - 0.04268 = 0.00109

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00109 / 0.00275 = 0.3964

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
127.425 100 2911.2399 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00275

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00275 = 2909.09

Taille de position USD = 2909.09 x 0.04377 = 127.33

Donc, tu peux acheter 2909.09 avec un stoploss a 0.04652

Avec un position size USD de 127.33$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2909.09 x 0.00275 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2909.09 x 0.00109 = 3.17

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.17$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2909.09
  • Taille de position USD 127.33
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.17
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3964

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.49 % 3.17 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.28 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
0.17 $ 0.13
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.6297 % 41.86 % 10
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04377 0.04652 0.04268 0.4 0.04245
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04377
  • Stop Loss: 0.04652
  • Take Profit: 0.04268

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04652 - 0.04377 = 0.00275

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04377 - 0.04268 = 0.00109

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00109 / 0.00275 = 0.3964

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.283% (0.0028)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.411% 0.1R -2.374% 0.4R 0.2× 12
2h +0.411% 0.1R -2.630% 0.4R 0.2× 24
4h +0.411% 0.1R -2.630% 0.4R 0.2× 48
6h ★ +0.411% 0.1R -2.630% 0.4R 0.2× 72
8h +0.411% 0.1R -2.630% 0.4R 0.2× 96
12h +2.081% 0.3R -2.630% 0.4R 0.8× 144
24h +3.121% 0.5R -2.630% 0.4R 1.2× 288
48h +4.405% 0.7R -2.630% 0.4R 1.7× 576
72h +11.668% 1.9R -2.630% 0.4R 4.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 1419 min MAE in 89 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 17 hours ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.