30 Oct 2026 at 16:15:10 hyperliquid

Short Trade on CRV (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 499.28 CRV at 0.286$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2786 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3018 (5.64 %)

CRV SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Oct 2026 16:15 → 22:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.2857$

Qty 499.2789 CRV

Size 142.6689$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2786 (+2.49%)

TP $ 3.54$

SL 0.3018 (-5.64%)

SL $ 8.04$

RR 0.44

Status loss PnL -0.75% / -1.07$ MAE -1.82% MFE +1.17% 0.2R expires 30 Oct 22:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 235920)
#76 / 94
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 16:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1800

Quality Score
0.378
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#76 / 94
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.64 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#76 / 94
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.64 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear 0.72×ATR
1d near -1.17×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up late OK
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
recovering
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.21
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
31.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 16:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

28/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

30/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/10 14:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7368
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.90

transition

+1

Micro bear

0.55

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 35.5%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h bearish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.162
Δ 4h
▼-0.139
Δ 12h
▼-0.202
Δ 24h
▲+0.111

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 81.8%
1h 59.7%
4h 18.2%
24h 9.1%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 90.9% +0.29%
4h 66.2% -1.21%
24h 49.4% -5.45%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
1.3%
Down ≥1σ
1.3%
Expansion
2.6%
Tail ↑
+0.51
Tail ↓
+0.21
Dispersion : 0.133
Universe : 77 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 30/10 16:02 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2709
Score SMA
0.3490
Rank
#53 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3882
Rank Norm SMA
0.5366
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2131 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -9.27% · r3d: -10.57% · ema21_slope: -0.1526% · dist_ema21: -12.673%
Force Relative 25% 0.2440 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -5.12% · rs_3d: -7.87% · beta_24h: 2.168
Volume 20% 0.3427 rvol_20: 1.20× · zscore_50: -0.013 · trend: -25.86%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5160 ADX: 12.9 (weak) · Chop: 49.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.827% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.3775
Score SMA
0.4781
Rank
#76 / 94
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1800
Rank Norm SMA
0.3198
Calculé le
30/10/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2292 r1h: 0.608% · r4h: -0.562% · r1d: -12.38% · r3d: -15.99% · ema21_slope: -0.2779% · dist_ema21: -1.650%
Force Relative 25% 0.3260 rs_1h: 0.200% · rs_4h: 0.277% · rs_1d: -7.57% · rs_3d: -11.22% · beta_24h: 0.769
Volume 20% 0.1735 rvol_20: 0.07× · zscore_50: -0.397 · trend: -60.20%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7077 ADX: 43.0 (trend) · Chop: 56.8 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.345% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.3278
Score SMA
0.4337
Rank
#80 / 94
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1540
Rank Norm SMA
0.3173
Calculé le
30/10/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1392 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.562% · r1d: -12.38% · r3d: -15.99% · ema21_slope: -0.6683% · dist_ema21: -9.538%
Force Relative 25% 0.2199 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.277% · rs_1d: -7.57% · rs_3d: -11.22% · beta_24h: 1.362
Volume 20% 0.3341 rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.168 · trend: 58.98%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8041 ADX: 36.5 (trend) · Chop: 19.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.5587 ATR%: 4.324% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.635% (0.0161)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.173% 0.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.173% 0.2R -0.630% 0.1R 1.9× 24
4h +1.173% 0.2R -1.348% 0.2R 0.9× 48
6h ★ +1.173% 0.2R -1.824% 0.3R 0.6× 72
8h +1.173% 0.2R -1.824% 0.3R 0.6× 96
12h +1.173% 0.2R -1.824% 0.3R 0.6× 144
24h +1.173% 0.2R -1.943% 0.3R 0.6× 288
48h +4.627% 0.8R -1.943% 0.3R 2.4× 576
72h +8.036% 1.4R -1.943% 0.3R 4.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 24 min MAE in 1189 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 16 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.83
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate fading compression bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 43% late near -1.2ATR — 0.64 range_high +0.21% -0.77 28/10 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
44%
noisy_chop 44% late — — 0.50 bear_high_confirmed -4.41% -0.88 30/10 08:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition weak fading compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 43% early — — 0.44 bear_high -3.72% -0.50 30/10 14:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate balanced compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 42% early — — 0.45 bear_medium -1.35% +0.00 30/10 15:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#453980
↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.440 compression bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 43% late 7b -1.8ATR near -1.2ATR — 1.20 81% ↓ -0.19 below_value -5.23 — #215719 0.64 range_high +0.21% -0.77
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:19
4h
#462112
↓ down range range moderate grind 0.413 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
44%
noisy_chop 44% late 3b -2.2ATR — — 1.24 82% ↑ +0.84 below_value -7.60 inside #219142 0.50 bear_high_confirmed -4.41% -0.88
30/10 08:00
upd 30/10 12:18
1h anchor
#463630
↓ down transition bearish_transition weak fading 0.767 compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 43% early 3b -1.2ATR — — 0.10 37% ↓ -0.73 below_value -8.21 — #219811 0.44 bear_high -3.72% -0.50
30/10 14:00
upd 30/10 15:11
15m
#464020
↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate balanced 0.446 compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 42% early 6b 0.4ATR — — 0.17 9% ↓ -0.88 below_value -8.21 — #219811 0.45 bear_medium -1.35% +0.00
30/10 15:45
upd 30/10 16:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 7b — 3.839×ATR p50 -1.8×ATR p87
4h ↑ up late 3b — 1.937×ATR p0 -2.214×ATR p97
1h ↓ down early 3b — 1.309×ATR p0 -1.192×ATR p59
15m ↓ down early 6b — 0.446×ATR p0 +0.405×ATR p23

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.30177311
  2. tp_price: 0.27860625
  3. atr: 0.00640924
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-31T02:15:10+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 92
  2. total: 94
  3. score: 0.1836
  4. delta_2h: -0.0307
  5. extension_atr: -0.47
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1948
  9. confidence: 0.978

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2857 0.3018 0.2786 0.44 0.2631
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2857
  • Stop Loss: 0.3018
  • Take Profit: 0.2786

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3018 - 0.2857 = 0.0161

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2857 - 0.2786 = 0.0071

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0071 / 0.0161 = 0.441

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
142.6689 100 499.2789 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0161

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0161 = 496.89

Taille de position USD = 496.89 x 0.2857 = 141.96

Donc, tu peux acheter 496.89 avec un stoploss a 0.3018

Avec un position size USD de 141.96$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 496.89 x 0.0161 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 496.89 x 0.0071 = 3.53

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.53$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 496.89
  • Taille de position USD 141.96
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.53
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.441

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.49 % 3.54 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.64 % 8.04 $
PNL PNL %
-1.07 $ -0.75
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.8236 % 32.36 % 6
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2857 0.3018 0.2786 0.44 0.2631
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2857
  • Stop Loss: 0.3018
  • Take Profit: 0.2786

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3018 - 0.2857 = 0.0161

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2857 - 0.2786 = 0.0071

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0071 / 0.0161 = 0.441

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.635% (0.0161)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.173% 0.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.173% 0.2R -0.630% 0.1R 1.9× 24
4h +1.173% 0.2R -1.348% 0.2R 0.9× 48
6h ★ +1.173% 0.2R -1.824% 0.3R 0.6× 72
8h +1.173% 0.2R -1.824% 0.3R 0.6× 96
12h +1.173% 0.2R -1.824% 0.3R 0.6× 144
24h +1.173% 0.2R -1.943% 0.3R 0.6× 288
48h +4.627% 0.8R -1.943% 0.3R 2.4× 576
72h +8.036% 1.4R -1.943% 0.3R 4.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 24 min MAE in 1189 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 16 hours ago

Commentaires

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