Short Trade on JTO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 438.57 JTO at 0.369$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3599 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3874 (4.96 %)
30 Oct 2026 at 16:15:12
hyperliquid
JTO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Oct 2026 16:15
→ 22:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.3691$
Qty 438.5708 JTO
Size 161.8896$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3599 (+2.49%)
TP $ 4.03$
SL 0.3874 (-4.96%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 0.5
Status
loss
PnL
-2.90%
/ -4.69$
MAE -4.07%
MFE +0.60%
0.1R
expires
30 Oct 22:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 235947)
#86 / 94
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 16:00
score du 30/10/2026 16:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0820
Quality Score
0.356
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#86 / 94
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#86 / 94
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.56×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.73×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
recovering
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.21
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 16:01
30/10 16:01
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 30/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/10 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7368
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.90 |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
35.5%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.162
Δ 4h
▼-0.139
Δ 12h
▼-0.202
Δ 24h
▲+0.111
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 81.8% |
| 1h | 59.7% |
| 4h | 18.2% |
| 24h | 9.1% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 90.9% | +0.29% |
| 4h | 66.2% | -1.21% |
| 24h | 49.4% | -5.45% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
1.3%
Down ≥1σ
1.3%
Expansion
2.6%
Tail ↑
+0.51
Tail ↓
+0.21
Dispersion :
0.133
Universe :
77
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
30/10 16:02
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.1767
Score SMA
0.2967
Rank
#84
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0235
Rank Norm SMA
0.1456
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0321 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -13.09% · r3d: -13.76% · ema21_slope: -0.8348% · dist_ema21: -18.353% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1003 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -8.95% · rs_3d: -11.06% · beta_24h: 2.434 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3432 | rvol_20: 1.52× · zscore_50: -0.309 · trend: -52.27% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4893 | ADX: 21.2 (weak) · Chop: 61.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.743% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.3556
Score SMA
0.4859
Rank
#86
/ 94
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0820
Rank Norm SMA
0.3876
Calculé le
30/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2972 | r1h: 2.097% · r4h: -0.638% · r1d: -9.67% · r3d: -14.90% · ema21_slope: -0.2256% · dist_ema21: -1.286% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4294 | rs_1h: 1.689% · rs_4h: 0.201% · rs_1d: -4.86% · rs_3d: -10.13% · beta_24h: 2.557 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1702 | rvol_20: 0.15× · zscore_50: -0.448 · trend: -71.07% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5090 | ADX: 29.7 (trend) · Chop: 67.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.043% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.2951
Score SMA
0.4374
Rank
#86
/ 94
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0851
Rank Norm SMA
0.3312
Calculé le
30/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1440 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.638% · r1d: -9.67% · r3d: -14.90% · ema21_slope: -0.6024% · dist_ema21: -7.838% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2757 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.201% · rs_1d: -4.86% · rs_3d: -10.13% · beta_24h: 2.425 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2328 | rvol_20: 0.29× · zscore_50: -0.449 · trend: -2.97% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7397 | ADX: 28.8 (trend) · Chop: 28.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5726 | ATR%: 4.282% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.958%
(0.0183)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.596% | 0.1R | -1.105% | 0.2R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.596% | 0.1R | -2.113% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.596% | 0.1R | -4.072% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.596% | 0.1R | -4.072% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.596% | 0.1R | -4.072% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.596% | 0.1R | -4.072% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.596% | 0.1R | -4.072% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.840% | 0.2R | -4.072% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.494% | 1.1R | -4.072% | 0.8R | 1.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 14 min
MAE in 214 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 14 hours ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.33
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.41 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.99 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.55 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.41% | -0.84 | 30/10 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.77 | bear_high | -3.72% | -0.18 | 30/10 14:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 48% | mid | — | — | 0.82 | bear_medium | -1.35% | +0.00 | 30/10 15:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#454091
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.503 | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 32b -2.6ATR | — | — | 1.52 | 42% | ↓ -0.49 | below_value | -5.86 | inside | #215745 | 0.41 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.99 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:25
|
|
4h
#462208
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.513 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late 5b -1.7ATR | — | — | 0.41 | 17% | ↑ +0.73 | below_value | -7.56 | inside | #219170 | 0.55 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.41% | -0.84 |
30/10 08:00
upd 30/10 12:23
|
|
1h
anchor #463657
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.519 | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late 3b -2.2ATR | — | — | 0.59 | 75% | ↓ -0.87 | below_value | -9.31 | — | #219838 | 0.77 | bear_high | -3.72% | -0.18 |
30/10 14:00
upd 30/10 15:13
|
|
15m
#464047
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.347 | compression | bear_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 48% | mid 4b 0.7ATR | — | — | 0.64 | 29% | ↓ -0.18 | below_value | -9.31 | — | #219838 | 0.82 | bear_medium | -1.35% | +0.00 |
30/10 15:45
upd 30/10 16:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 32b | — | 6.765×ATR | p89 | -2.564×ATR | p98 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 3.784×ATR | p43 | -1.687×ATR | p83 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 2.407×ATR | p53 | -2.177×ATR | p86 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 3.306×ATR | p50 | +0.683×ATR | p29 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.38737107
- tp_price: 0.35990175
- atr: 0.00729643
- expires_at: 2026-10-31T02:15:12+00:00
Details
- rank: 88
- total: 94
- score: 0.2097
- delta_2h: -0.0107
- extension_atr: -0.54
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0767
- confidence: 0.935
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3691 | 0.3874 | 0.3599 | 0.5 | 0.345 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3691
- Stop Loss: 0.3874
- Take Profit: 0.3599
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3874 - 0.3691 = 0.0183
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3691 - 0.3599 = 0.0092
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0092 / 0.0183 = 0.5027
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 161.8896 | 100 | 438.5708 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0183
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0183 = 437.16
Taille de position USD = 437.16 x 0.3691 = 161.36
Donc, tu peux acheter 437.16 avec un stoploss a 0.3874
Avec un position size USD de 161.36$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 437.16 x 0.0183 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 437.16 x 0.0092 = 4.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.02$
Résumé
- Taille de position 437.16
- Taille de position USD 161.36
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.02
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5027
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 4.03 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.96 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -4.69 $ | -2.90 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.0721 % | 82.13 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3691 | 0.3874 | 0.3599 | 0.5 | 0.345 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3691
- Stop Loss: 0.3874
- Take Profit: 0.3599
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3874 - 0.3691 = 0.0183
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3691 - 0.3599 = 0.0092
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0092 / 0.0183 = 0.5027
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.958%
(0.0183)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.596% | 0.1R | -1.105% | 0.2R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.596% | 0.1R | -2.113% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.596% | 0.1R | -4.072% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.596% | 0.1R | -4.072% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.596% | 0.1R | -4.072% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.596% | 0.1R | -4.072% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.596% | 0.1R | -4.072% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.840% | 0.2R | -4.072% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.494% | 1.1R | -4.072% | 0.8R | 1.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 14 min
MAE in 214 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 14 hours ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.