Short Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 34.9 LIT at 2.748$ per unit. Take profit: 2.6789 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 2.9768 (8.34 %)
30 Oct 2026 at 16:15:11
hyperliquid
LIT
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Oct 2026 16:15
→ 22:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 2.7476$
Qty 34.9024 LIT
Size 95.8978$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 2.6789 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.4$
SL 2.9768 (-8.34%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.3
Status
loss
PnL
-0.70%
/ -0.67$
MAE -1.71%
MFE +2.44%
0.3R
expires
30 Oct 22:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 235990)
#90 / 94
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 16:00
score du 30/10/2026 16:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1345
Quality Score
0.339
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#90 / 94
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.34 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#90 / 94
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.34 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.94×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.13×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
recovering
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.21
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
72.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 16:03
30/10 16:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 30/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/10 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7368
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.90 |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
35.5%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.162
Δ 4h
▼-0.139
Δ 12h
▼-0.202
Δ 24h
▲+0.111
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 81.8% |
| 1h | 59.7% |
| 4h | 18.2% |
| 24h | 9.1% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 90.9% | +0.29% |
| 4h | 66.2% | -1.21% |
| 24h | 49.4% | -5.45% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
1.3%
Down ≥1σ
1.3%
Expansion
2.6%
Tail ↑
+0.51
Tail ↓
+0.21
Dispersion :
0.133
Universe :
77
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
30/10 16:02
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2890
Score SMA
0.2495
Rank
#44
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4941
Rank Norm SMA
0.1688
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0382 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -8.09% · r3d: -10.49% · ema21_slope: -0.7307% · dist_ema21: -17.510% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1839 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.94% · rs_3d: -7.79% · beta_24h: 2.510 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7694 | rvol_20: 2.98× · zscore_50: 1.441 · trend: 7.24% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5180 | ADX: 15.7 (weak) · Chop: 52.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 13.183% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.3385
Score SMA
0.4794
Rank
#90
/ 94
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1345
Rank Norm SMA
0.3120
Calculé le
30/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2468 | r1h: 0.982% · r4h: -2.369% · r1d: -10.12% · r3d: -10.84% · ema21_slope: -0.2683% · dist_ema21: -2.583% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3751 | rs_1h: 0.574% · rs_4h: -1.530% · rs_1d: -5.31% · rs_3d: -6.06% · beta_24h: 1.183 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1658 | rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -0.642 · trend: -43.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5168 | ADX: 22.3 (weak) · Chop: 59.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8499 | ATR%: 3.450% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.2507
Score SMA
0.3973
Rank
#92
/ 94
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0368
Rank Norm SMA
0.1899
Calculé le
30/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1303 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.369% · r1d: -10.12% · r3d: -10.84% · ema21_slope: -0.3659% · dist_ema21: -6.239% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2860 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.530% · rs_1d: -5.31% · rs_3d: -6.06% · beta_24h: 3.631 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3234 | rvol_20: 0.62× · zscore_50: -0.018 · trend: 28.97% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6226 | ADX: 14.7 (weak) · Chop: 35.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.414% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -8.342%
(0.2292)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.729% | 0.2R | -0.244% | 0.0R | 7.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.442% | 0.3R | -0.244% | 0.0R | 10.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.442% | 0.3R | -1.463% | 0.2R | 1.7× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.442% | 0.3R | -1.707% | 0.2R | 1.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.442% | 0.3R | -1.707% | 0.2R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.442% | 0.3R | -1.707% | 0.2R | 1.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.442% | 0.3R | -14.737% | 1.8R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +2.442% | 0.3R | -21.113% | 2.5R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.442% | 0.3R | -21.113% | 2.5R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 104 min
MAE in 1429 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 14 hours ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 4.69
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.42 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.98 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.52 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.41% | -0.40 | 30/10 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.47 | bear_high | -3.72% | +0.07 | 30/10 14:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.53 | bear_medium | -1.78% | -0.43 | 30/10 15:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#454275
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.501 | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late 8b -1.7ATR | — | — | 2.98 | 93% | ↔ +0.14 | below_value | -2.63 | — | #215784 | 0.42 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.98 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:35
|
|
4h
#462329
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.286 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 3b -0.6ATR | — | — | 0.94 | 81% | ↑ +0.74 | below_value | -2.47 | inside | #219214 | 0.52 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.41% | -0.40 |
30/10 08:00
upd 30/10 12:29
|
|
1h
anchor #463701
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.490 | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 3b -1.2ATR | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.72 | 80% | ↓ -0.54 | below_value | -3.55 | — | #219882 | 0.47 | bear_high | -3.72% | +0.07 |
30/10 14:00
upd 30/10 15:15
|
|
15m
#463993
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.380 | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early 3b -0.9ATR | — | — | 0.23 | 12% | ↓ -0.24 | below_value | -3.55 | — | #219882 | 0.53 | bear_medium | -1.78% | -0.43 |
30/10 15:30
upd 30/10 15:49
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 3.603×ATR | p50 | -1.675×ATR | p82 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.446×ATR | p0 | -0.646×ATR | p37 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 2.098×ATR | p27 | -1.241×ATR | p63 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.384×ATR | p0 | -0.859×ATR | p35 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 2.9768106
- tp_price: 2.67891
- atr: 0.09168424
- expires_at: 2026-10-31T02:15:11+00:00
Details
- rank: 89
- total: 94
- score: 0.2087
- delta_2h: -0.0107
- extension_atr: -0.78
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1385
- confidence: 0.946
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.7476 | 2.9768 | 2.6789 | 0.3 | 3.1309 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.7476
- Stop Loss: 2.9768
- Take Profit: 2.6789
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.9768 - 2.7476 = 0.2292
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.7476 - 2.6789 = 0.0687
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0687 / 0.2292 = 0.2997
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95.8978 | 95.8978 | 34.9024 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.2292
Taille de position = 8 / 0.2292 = 34.9
Taille de position USD = 34.9 x 2.7476 = 95.89
Donc, tu peux acheter 34.9 avec un stoploss a 2.9768
Avec un position size USD de 95.89$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 34.9 x 0.2292 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 34.9 x 0.0687 = 2.4
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.4$
Résumé
- Taille de position 34.9
- Taille de position USD 95.89
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.4
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2997
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.4 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.34 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.67 $ | -0.70 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.7069 % | 20.46 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.7476 | 2.9768 | 2.6789 | 0.3 | 3.1309 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.7476
- Stop Loss: 2.9768
- Take Profit: 2.6789
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.9768 - 2.7476 = 0.2292
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.7476 - 2.6789 = 0.0687
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0687 / 0.2292 = 0.2997
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -8.342%
(0.2292)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.729% | 0.2R | -0.244% | 0.0R | 7.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.442% | 0.3R | -0.244% | 0.0R | 10.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.442% | 0.3R | -1.463% | 0.2R | 1.7× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.442% | 0.3R | -1.707% | 0.2R | 1.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.442% | 0.3R | -1.707% | 0.2R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.442% | 0.3R | -1.707% | 0.2R | 1.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.442% | 0.3R | -14.737% | 1.8R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +2.442% | 0.3R | -21.113% | 2.5R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.442% | 0.3R | -21.113% | 2.5R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 104 min
MAE in 1429 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 14 hours ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.