30 Oct 2026 at 18:15:10 hyperliquid

Short Trade on GRASS (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 216.16 GRASS at 0.585$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5705 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6221 (6.32 %)

GRASS SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Oct 2026 18:15 → 00:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.5851$

Qty 216.16 GRASS

Size 126.4774$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.5705 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.16$

SL 0.6221 (-6.32%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.39

Status win PnL +0.33% / +0.42$ MAE -2.04% MFE +0.51% 0.1R expires 31 Oct 00:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 236241)
#88 / 91
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 18:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2070

Quality Score
0.383
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#88 / 91
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.32 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#88 / 91
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.32 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.09×ATR
4h near -1.00×ATR
1d clear 0.71×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
expanding
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.97
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
5.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 18:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

28/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

30/10 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/10 16:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7376
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.90

expansion

+1

Micro bear

0.55

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 69.6%
Macro alt_rotation
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.256
Δ 4h
▲+0.262
Δ 12h
▲+0.295
Δ 24h
▲+0.612

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 44.9%
1h 85.5%
4h 76.8%
24h 52.2%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 42.0% -0.00%
4h 84.1% +0.97%
24h 78.3% +0.27%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
7.3%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
7.3%
Tail ↑
+0.53
Tail ↓
+0.46
Dispersion : 0.155
Universe : 69 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 30/10 18:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3519
Score SMA
0.5244
Rank
#23 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7412
Rank Norm SMA
0.8831
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5004 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -14.59% · r3d: -14.19% · ema21_slope: 0.3276% · dist_ema21: -11.215%
Force Relative 25% 0.1893 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -10.44% · rs_3d: -11.49% · beta_24h: 3.321
Volume 20% 0.3758 rvol_20: 1.13× · zscore_50: 0.147 · trend: -1.60%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5287 ADX: 28.4 (trend) · Chop: 63.9 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 14.626% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.3833
Score SMA
0.5359
Rank
#88 / 91
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2070
Rank Norm SMA
0.5224
Calculé le
30/10/2026 18:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2037 r1h: -1.269% · r4h: -3.566% · r1d: -3.99% · r3d: -21.81% · ema21_slope: -0.1024% · dist_ema21: -2.375%
Force Relative 25% 0.2594 rs_1h: -0.985% · rs_4h: -2.963% · rs_1d: -1.03% · rs_3d: -16.61% · beta_24h: 2.059
Volume 20% 0.1667 rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -0.510 · trend: -49.51%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5093 ADX: 31.7 (trend) · Chop: 69.7 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.703% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.3217
Score SMA
0.5138
Rank
#87 / 94
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0692
Rank Norm SMA
0.5802
Calculé le
30/10/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1643 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.024% · r1d: -8.03% · r3d: -20.37% · ema21_slope: -0.7223% · dist_ema21: -7.595%
Force Relative 25% 0.3173 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.816% · rs_1d: -3.22% · rs_3d: -15.59% · beta_24h: 2.029
Volume 20% 0.3077 rvol_20: 0.70× · zscore_50: 0.058 · trend: 4.06%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7121 ADX: 25.5 (trend) · Chop: 35.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.2469 ATR%: 5.259% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.324% (0.0370)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.082% 0.0R -1.330% 0.2R 0.1× 12
2h +0.082% 0.0R -2.044% 0.3R 0.0× 24
4h +0.120% 0.0R -2.044% 0.3R 0.1× 48
6h ★ +0.508% 0.1R -2.044% 0.3R 0.3× 72
8h +1.533% 0.2R -2.044% 0.3R 0.8× 96
12h +2.330% 0.4R -2.044% 0.3R 1.1× 144
24h +2.330% 0.4R -2.044% 0.3R 1.1× 288
48h +2.330% 0.4R -5.064% 0.8R 0.5× 576
72h +7.305% 1.2R -5.064% 0.8R 1.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 704 min MAE in 74 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 16 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.36
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 40% early — — 0.44 range_high +0.21% -0.47 28/10 20:00
4h ↓ down range range strong balanced expansion bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 46% mid near -1.0ATR — 0.39 bear_high_confirmed -5.11% -0.71 30/10 12:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 41% early near 0.1ATR — 0.58 bear_high -3.24% +0.38 30/10 16:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 43% mid near 0.5ATR — 0.61 bear_low -1.47% -0.24 30/10 17:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#454144
↔ neutral range range moderate balanced 0.605 expansion_after_compression bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 40% early 11b -1.0ATR — — 1.13 93% ↓ -0.28 below_value -7.67 — #215757 0.44 range_high +0.21% -0.47
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:27
4h
#464268
↓ down range range strong balanced 0.422 expansion bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 46% mid 4b -1.6ATR near -1.0ATR — 0.70 50% ↓ -0.29 below_value -7.21 — #220042 0.39 bear_high_confirmed -5.11% -0.71
30/10 12:00
upd 30/10 16:24
1h anchor
#464712
↓ down range range moderate grind 0.473 compression bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 41% early 4b -0.5ATR near 0.1ATR — 0.51 46% ↔ +0.13 below_value -7.54 — #220327 0.58 bear_high -3.24% +0.38
30/10 16:00
upd 30/10 17:13
15m
#465091
↓ down range range moderate grind 0.370 compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 43% mid 8b -1.2ATR near 0.5ATR — 0.69 58% ↓ -0.89 below_value -7.54 — #220327 0.61 bear_low -1.47% -0.24
30/10 17:45
upd 30/10 18:04
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 11b — 0.372×ATR p5 -0.95×ATR p54
4h ↑ up mid 4b — 1.403×ATR p0 -1.597×ATR p76
1h ↓ down early 4b — 1.428×ATR p0 -0.545×ATR p30
15m ↓ down mid 8b — 2.443×ATR p44 -1.238×ATR p66

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.62211962
  2. tp_price: 0.57048225
  3. atr: 0.01480385
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-31T04:15:10+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 92
  2. total: 95
  3. score: 0.2802
  4. delta_2h: -0.0163
  5. extension_atr: -0.66
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2098
  9. confidence: 0.968

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.5851 0.6221 0.5705 0.39 0.5613
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.5851
  • Stop Loss: 0.6221
  • Take Profit: 0.5705

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.6221 - 0.5851 = 0.037

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.5851 - 0.5705 = 0.0146

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0146 / 0.037 = 0.3946

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
126.4774 100 216.16 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.037

Taille de position = 8 / 0.037 = 216.22

Taille de position USD = 216.22 x 0.5851 = 126.51

Donc, tu peux acheter 216.22 avec un stoploss a 0.6221

Avec un position size USD de 126.51$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 216.22 x 0.037 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 216.22 x 0.0146 = 3.16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 216.22
  • Taille de position USD 126.51
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3946

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.32 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
0.42 $ 0.33
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.0441 % 32.32 % 12
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.5851 0.6221 0.5705 0.39 0.5613
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.5851
  • Stop Loss: 0.6221
  • Take Profit: 0.5705

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.6221 - 0.5851 = 0.037

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.5851 - 0.5705 = 0.0146

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0146 / 0.037 = 0.3946

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.324% (0.0370)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.082% 0.0R -1.330% 0.2R 0.1× 12
2h +0.082% 0.0R -2.044% 0.3R 0.0× 24
4h +0.120% 0.0R -2.044% 0.3R 0.1× 48
6h ★ +0.508% 0.1R -2.044% 0.3R 0.3× 72
8h +1.533% 0.2R -2.044% 0.3R 0.8× 96
12h +2.330% 0.4R -2.044% 0.3R 1.1× 144
24h +2.330% 0.4R -2.044% 0.3R 1.1× 288
48h +2.330% 0.4R -5.064% 0.8R 0.5× 576
72h +7.305% 1.2R -5.064% 0.8R 1.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 704 min MAE in 74 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 16 hours ago

Commentaires

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