Short Trade on PONS (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 502.47 PONS at 0.233$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2269 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2487 (6.88 %)
30 Oct 2026 at 18:15:11
hyperliquid
PONS
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Oct 2026 18:15
→ 00:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.2327$
Qty 502.469 PONS
Size 116.9396$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2269 (+2.49%)
TP $ 2.91$
SL 0.2487 (-6.88%)
SL $ 8.04$
RR 0.36
Status
win
PnL
+0.73%
/ +0.85$
MAE -2.78%
MFE +1.59%
0.2R
expires
31 Oct 00:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 236276)
#87 / 91
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 18:00
score du 30/10/2026 18:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1318
Quality Score
0.399
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#87 / 91
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#87 / 91
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.08×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
expanding
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.97
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
10.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 18:03
30/10 18:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 30/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/10 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7376
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
69.6%
Macro
alt_rotation
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.256
Δ 4h
▲+0.262
Δ 12h
▲+0.295
Δ 24h
▲+0.612
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 44.9% |
| 1h | 85.5% |
| 4h | 76.8% |
| 24h | 52.2% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 42.0% | -0.00% |
| 4h | 84.1% | +0.97% |
| 24h | 78.3% | +0.27% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
7.3%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
7.3%
Tail ↑
+0.53
Tail ↓
+0.46
Dispersion :
0.155
Universe :
69
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
30/10 18:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.1880
Score SMA
0.2436
Rank
#82
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0471
Rank Norm SMA
0.1991
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0807 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -21.06% · r3d: -6.79% · ema21_slope: -1.9358% · dist_ema21: -23.657% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1949 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -16.91% · rs_3d: -4.09% · beta_24h: 3.689 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2366 | rvol_20: 1.00× · zscore_50: -0.661 · trend: -60.76% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4517 | ADX: 25.0 (weak) · Chop: 69.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 21.897% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.3991
Score SMA
0.5377
Rank
#87
/ 91
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1318
Rank Norm SMA
0.5045
Calculé le
30/10/2026 18:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2599 | r1h: -1.135% · r4h: -1.228% · r1d: -3.08% · r3d: -9.64% · ema21_slope: -0.2149% · dist_ema21: -2.794% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4130 | rs_1h: -0.850% · rs_4h: -0.625% · rs_1d: -0.12% · rs_3d: -4.44% · beta_24h: 1.844 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1351 | rvol_20: 0.09× · zscore_50: -0.973 · trend: -69.25% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4506 | ADX: 19.2 (weak) · Chop: 64.1 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.910% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.3305
Score SMA
0.4510
Rank
#85
/ 94
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1431
Rank Norm SMA
0.3829
Calculé le
30/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2486 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.698% · r1d: -9.73% · r3d: -7.56% · ema21_slope: -0.3173% · dist_ema21: -6.987% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4211 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.142% · rs_1d: -4.92% · rs_3d: -2.79% · beta_24h: 3.140 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2309 | rvol_20: 0.31× · zscore_50: -0.546 · trend: 0.42% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6962 | ADX: 23.5 (weak) · Chop: 36.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.280% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.876%
(0.0160)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.559% | 0.1R | -0.619% | 0.1R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.559% | 0.1R | -1.341% | 0.2R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.559% | 0.1R | -2.780% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.590% | 0.2R | -2.780% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.250% | 0.6R | -2.780% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.250% | 0.6R | -2.780% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.250% | 0.6R | -2.780% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.250% | 0.6R | -6.661% | 1.0R | 0.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +12.656% | 1.8R | -6.661% | 1.0R | 1.9× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 414 min
MAE in 164 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 17 hours ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.04
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 47% | — | — | — | — | range_high | +0.21% | -1.00 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.41 | bear_high_confirmed | -5.11% | -0.02 | 30/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.64 | bear_high | -3.24% | +0.40 | 30/10 16:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.73 | bear_low | -1.47% | -0.09 | 30/10 17:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#454297
|
↔ | — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 47% | — | — | — | 1.00 | 27% | ↓ -0.42 | below_value | -7.37 | inside | #215791 | — | range_high | +0.21% | -1.00 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:37
|
|
4h
#464361
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.438 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid 4b -1.1ATR | — | — | 0.31 | 15% | ↓ -0.18 | above_value | -0.37 | — | #220080 | 0.41 | bear_high_confirmed | -5.11% | -0.02 |
30/10 12:00
upd 30/10 16:29
|
|
1h
anchor #464750
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.412 | compression | bear_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early 5b -0.8ATR | — | — | 0.20 | 14% | ↓ -0.56 | above_value | -0.55 | — | #220365 | 0.64 | bear_high | -3.24% | +0.40 |
30/10 16:00
upd 30/10 17:15
|
|
15m
#465150
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | 0.476 | compression | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid 7b -1.1ATR | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.19 | 2% | ↓ -0.70 | above_value | -0.75 | — | #220549 | 0.73 | bear_low | -1.47% | -0.09 |
30/10 17:45
upd 30/10 18:13
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 1.268×ATR | p0 | -1.119×ATR | p62 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.896×ATR | p24 | -0.753×ATR | p47 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 2.218×ATR | p33 | -1.134×ATR | p62 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.24865138
- tp_price: 0.22691175
- atr: 0.00636855
- expires_at: 2026-10-31T04:15:11+00:00
Details
- rank: 91
- total: 95
- score: 0.2958
- delta_2h: -0.034
- extension_atr: -0.87
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1318
- confidence: 0.957
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2327 | 0.2487 | 0.2269 | 0.36 | 0.1987 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2327
- Stop Loss: 0.2487
- Take Profit: 0.2269
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2487 - 0.2327 = 0.016
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2327 - 0.2269 = 0.0058
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0058 / 0.016 = 0.3625
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 116.9396 | 100 | 502.469 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.016
Taille de position = 8 / 0.016 = 500
Taille de position USD = 500 x 0.2327 = 116.35
Donc, tu peux acheter 500 avec un stoploss a 0.2487
Avec un position size USD de 116.35$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 500 x 0.016 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 500 x 0.0058 = 2.9
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.9$
Résumé
- Taille de position 500
- Taille de position USD 116.35
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.9
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3625
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 2.91 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.88 % | 8.04 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.85 $ | 0.73 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.7804 % | 40.44 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2327 | 0.2487 | 0.2269 | 0.36 | 0.1987 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2327
- Stop Loss: 0.2487
- Take Profit: 0.2269
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2487 - 0.2327 = 0.016
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2327 - 0.2269 = 0.0058
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0058 / 0.016 = 0.3625
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.876%
(0.0160)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.559% | 0.1R | -0.619% | 0.1R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.559% | 0.1R | -1.341% | 0.2R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.559% | 0.1R | -2.780% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.590% | 0.2R | -2.780% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.250% | 0.6R | -2.780% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.250% | 0.6R | -2.780% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.250% | 0.6R | -2.780% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.250% | 0.6R | -6.661% | 1.0R | 0.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +12.656% | 1.8R | -6.661% | 1.0R | 1.9× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 414 min
MAE in 164 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 17 hours ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.