30 Oct 2026 at 18:31:50 hyperliquid

Long Trade on POL (PavLongMomentum4h)

With 1969.04 POL at 0.0955$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0914 (4.25 %)

POL LONG PavLongMomentum4h hyperliquid 30 Oct 2026 18:31 → 04:00 · 9 hours

Position

Entry 0.09546$

Qty 1969.0417 POL

Size 187.9647$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 187.96$

SL 0.0914 (-4.25%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR

Status loss PnL -4.25% / -7.99$ MAE -2.15% MFE +0.40% 0.1R

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 236240)
#6 / 91
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 18:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9024

Quality Score
0.618
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#6 / 91
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-4
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.25 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#6 / 91
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-4
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.25 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.26×ATR
4h near 0.05×ATR
1d clear 5.52×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down late OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie PavLongMomentum4h. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie PavLongMomentum4h. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
3.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 18:31
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (-3)

28/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : range_high (0)

30/10 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

30/10 17:00

Score : -2 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7378
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical bear

0.90

expansion

-1

Micro bear

0.55

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 74.4%
Macro alt_rotation
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.130
Δ 4h
▲+0.376
Δ 12h
▲+0.402
Δ 24h
▲+0.682

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 44.9%
1h 85.5%
4h 87.0%
24h 58.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 47.8% -0.00%
4h 82.6% +1.33%
24h 84.1% +0.90%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
7.3%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
7.3%
Tail ↑
+0.52
Tail ↓
+0.47
Dispersion : 0.165
Universe : 69 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 30/10 18:31 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4088
Score SMA
0.3873
Rank
#17 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8118
Rank Norm SMA
0.3380
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1572 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.79% · r3d: -4.08% · ema21_slope: -0.5634% · dist_ema21: -7.245%
Force Relative 25% 0.4090 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.64% · rs_3d: -1.38% · beta_24h: 1.529
Volume 20% 0.9755 rvol_20: 5.19× · zscore_50: 4.167 · trend: 81.64%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4289 ADX: 31.2 (trend) · Chop: 79.1 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.032% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.6184
Score SMA
0.5258
Rank
#6 / 91
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9024
Rank Norm SMA
0.5478
Calculé le
30/10/2026 18:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6776 r1h: 1.243% · r4h: 3.512% · r1d: 6.21% · r3d: 2.37% · ema21_slope: 0.2174% · dist_ema21: 3.122%
Force Relative 25% 0.8270 rs_1h: 1.527% · rs_4h: 4.114% · rs_1d: 9.17% · rs_3d: 7.56% · beta_24h: 1.672
Volume 20% 0.2107 rvol_20: 0.67× · zscore_50: -0.256 · trend: -64.35%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5827 ADX: 20.5 (weak) · Chop: 49.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.686% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.5674
Score SMA
0.5446
Rank
#12 / 94
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9198
Rank Norm SMA
0.6124
Calculé le
30/10/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4712 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.247% · r1d: 0.77% · r3d: 0.79% · ema21_slope: -0.0077% · dist_ema21: 1.718%
Force Relative 25% 0.6547 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.408% · rs_1d: 5.58% · rs_3d: 5.56% · beta_24h: 1.126
Volume 20% 0.3350 rvol_20: 0.46× · zscore_50: -0.040 · trend: 53.24%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6356 ADX: 16.3 (weak) · Chop: 29.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.783% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: PavLongMomentum4h (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -4.253% (0.0041)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.373% 0.1R -1.867% 0.4R 0.2× 12
2h +0.396% 0.1R -1.867% 0.4R 0.2× 24
4h ★ +0.398% 0.1R -2.155% 0.5R 0.2× 48
8h +0.398% 0.1R -3.985% 0.9R 0.1× 96
12h +0.398% 0.1R -4.402% 1.0R 0.1× 144
24h +0.398% 0.1R -4.402% 1.0R 0.1× 288
48h +0.398% 0.1R -5.660% 1.3R 0.1× 576
72h +0.398% 0.1R -8.763% 2.1R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 128 min MAE in 718 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 18 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 0.24
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high_confirmed
48%
noisy_chop 39% late — — 0.52 range_high +0.21% -0.69 28/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range strong explosive volatile_reversal range_high
39%
noisy_chop 39% mid — near 0.1ATR 0.62 bear_high_confirmed -5.11% +0.62 30/10 12:00
1h ↑ up range range strong fading compression bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 48% late — near -0.3ATR 0.72 bear_high -3.45% +0.82 30/10 17:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong balanced compression bull_medium_confirmed
68%
choppy 54% late — — 0.71 bear_low -1.21% +0.37 30/10 18:00
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#454139
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.519 compression bear_high_confirmed
48%
noisy_chop 39% late 30b -1.6ATR — — 5.19 100% ↔ +0.14 below_value -2.92 — #215756 0.52 range_high +0.21% -0.69
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:27
4h
#464265
↔ neutral range range strong explosive 0.795 volatile_reversal range_high
39%
noisy_chop 39% mid 4b 0.5ATR — near 0.1ATR 0.46 80% ↑ +0.84 above_value +0.50 — #220041 0.62 bear_high_confirmed -5.11% +0.62
30/10 12:00
upd 30/10 16:24
1h anchor
#465184
↑ up range range strong fading 0.517 compression bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 48% late 3b 1.8ATR — near -0.3ATR 0.67 81% ↔ +0.12 value +1.55 — #220511 0.72 bear_high -3.45% +0.82
30/10 17:00
upd 30/10 18:15
15m
#465276
↑ up transition bullish_transition strong balanced 0.582 compression bull_medium_confirmed
68%
choppy 54% late 16b 4.1ATR — — 4.89 93% ↑ +0.23 value +1.55 — #220511 0.71 bear_low -1.21% +0.37
30/10 18:00
upd 30/10 18:20
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 30b — 7.198×ATR p80 -1.641×ATR p84
4h ↑ up mid 4b — 3.903×ATR p69 +0.538×ATR p30
1h ↑ up late 3b — 2.174×ATR p32 +1.839×ATR p87
15m ↑ up late 16b — 7.217×ATR p97 +4.103×ATR p98

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

PavLongMomentum4h - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 1
  3. reason: breakout
  4. stop_price: 0.09139711
  5. tp_price:
  6. atr:
  7. score: 1
  8. exit_rules: [{"type":"trailing_ma","params":{"period":9,"timeframe":"4h","on":"Close"}},{"type":"time_expiry","params":{"max_bars":20,"timeframe":"4h"}}]
  9. confidence_pre_ob: 1
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.0418
  14. obi_top10 : 0.0407
  15. micro_price : 0.09538296
  16. spread_pct : 0.083919
  17. mid_price : 0.09537
  18. bid_wall_price : 0.0941
  19. bid_wall_size : 1035677
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price :
  22. ask_wall_size :
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.0388
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0042
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 6966
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.0001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : pav_long_momentum
  35. timeframe : 4h
  36. breakout_period : 42
  37. ma_exit_period : 9
  38. breakout_high : 0.094818
  39. breakout_high_time : 2026-10-30T16:00:00
  40. ma_exit_at_entry : 0.09139711
  41. entry_price : 0.09546
  42. ¸

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 18:31 0.09546000 0%
2 18:59 0.09546000 0%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6966ms Confidence avant OB : 100% → 100%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.042
avg 0.039 ± 0.004
OBI Top 10 0.041

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.0954
Micro Price
0.0954
Spread
0.0839%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.0941
Size
1,035,677.00

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.09546 0.0914 0.09167
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.09546
  • Stop Loss: 0.0914
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0914 - 0.09546 = -0.00406

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.09546 - = 0.09546

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.09546 / -0.00406 = -23.5123

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
187.9647 100 1969.0417 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00406

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00406 = -1970.44

Taille de position USD = -1970.44 x 0.09546 = -188.1

Donc, tu peux acheter -1970.44 avec un stoploss a 0.0914

Avec un position size USD de -188.1$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -1970.44 x -0.00406 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -1970.44 x 0.09546 = -188.1

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -188.1$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -1970.44
  • Taille de position USD -188.1
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel -188.1
  • Risk-Reward Ratio -23.5123

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 187.96 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.25 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-7.99 $ -4.25
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.2583 % 100.12 % 5
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.09546 0.0914 0.09167
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.09546
  • Stop Loss: 0.0914
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0914 - 0.09546 = -0.00406

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.09546 - = 0.09546

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.09546 / -0.00406 = -23.5123

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.09546
            [stop_loss] => 0.090994
            [rr_ratio] => 21.37
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-30 22:35:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.09546
            [stop_loss] => 0.090588
            [rr_ratio] => 19.59
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-30 22:35:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.09546
            [stop_loss] => 0.090182
            [rr_ratio] => 18.09
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-30 22:35:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.09546
            [stop_loss] => 0.08937
            [rr_ratio] => 15.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-30 22:35:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: PavLongMomentum4h (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -4.253% (0.0041)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.373% 0.1R -1.867% 0.4R 0.2× 12
2h +0.396% 0.1R -1.867% 0.4R 0.2× 24
4h ★ +0.398% 0.1R -2.155% 0.5R 0.2× 48
8h +0.398% 0.1R -3.985% 0.9R 0.1× 96
12h +0.398% 0.1R -4.402% 1.0R 0.1× 144
24h +0.398% 0.1R -4.402% 1.0R 0.1× 288
48h +0.398% 0.1R -5.660% 1.3R 0.1× 576
72h +0.398% 0.1R -8.763% 2.1R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 128 min MAE in 718 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 18 hours ago

Commentaires

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