Long Trade on RUNE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 236.76 RUNE at 0.669$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6859 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6354 (5.05 %)
30 Oct 2026 at 22:15:07
hyperliquid
RUNE
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Oct 2026 22:15
→ 04:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.6692$
Qty 236.7613 RUNE
Size 158.4336$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6859 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.95$
SL 0.6354 (-5.05%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.49
Status
loss
PnL
-0.76%
/ -1.21$
MAE -1.88%
MFE +1.69%
0.3R
expires
31 Oct 04:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 236738)
#12 / 72
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 22:00
score du 30/10/2026 22:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7998
Quality Score
0.570
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#12 / 72
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.05 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#12 / 72
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.05 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.79×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.52×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.75×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
contracting
NO
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
OK
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
1.26
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 22:00
30/10 22:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 30/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/10 21:00 Score : +4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7392
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
-1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
73.2%
Macro
alt_rotation
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
contracting
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.137
Δ 4h
→+0.036
Δ 12h
▲+0.290
Δ 24h
▲+0.581
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 32.1% |
| 1h | 39.3% |
| 4h | 83.9% |
| 24h | 91.1% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 32.1% | -0.04% |
| 4h | 60.7% | +1.26% |
| 24h | 87.5% | +5.77% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
7.1%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
7.1%
Tail ↑
+0.55
Tail ↓
+0.43
Dispersion :
0.179
Universe :
56
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
30/10 22:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5686
Score SMA
0.5945
Rank
#10
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8977
Rank Norm SMA
0.8491
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4754 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 4.82% · r3d: 3.24% · ema21_slope: -0.3272% · dist_ema21: 0.266% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6340 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 5.60% · rs_3d: 7.63% · beta_24h: 1.396 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9487 | rvol_20: 4.69× · zscore_50: 2.231 · trend: 115.97% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5184 | ADX: 16.7 (weak) · Chop: 53.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.068% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 22:00
Score brut
0.5699
Score SMA
0.5457
Rank
#12
/ 72
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7998
Rank Norm SMA
0.6102
Calculé le
30/10/2026 22:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6848 | r1h: 1.188% · r4h: 3.769% · r1d: 4.44% · r3d: 5.66% · ema21_slope: -0.0194% · dist_ema21: 2.598% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7471 | rs_1h: 1.391% · rs_4h: 2.859% · rs_1d: 3.67% · rs_3d: 10.04% · beta_24h: 1.472 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1694 | rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -0.460 · trend: -72.04% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3874 | ADX: 14.2 (weak) · Chop: 66.8 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.128% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6002
Score SMA
0.6001
Rank
#11
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9002
Rank Norm SMA
0.7955
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5943 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.462% · r1d: 4.82% · r3d: 3.24% · ema21_slope: 0.0953% · dist_ema21: 2.221% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7010 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.933% · rs_1d: 5.60% · rs_3d: 7.63% · beta_24h: 0.656 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3710 | rvol_20: 0.57× · zscore_50: 0.031 · trend: 67.92% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6152 | ADX: 13.8 (weak) · Chop: 15.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8018 | ATR%: 3.595% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.051%
(0.0338)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.600% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.777% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.689% | 0.3R | -1.777% | 0.4R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.689% | 0.3R | -1.881% | 0.4R | 0.9× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.689% | 0.3R | -1.881% | 0.4R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +7.280% | 1.4R | -1.881% | 0.4R | 3.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +9.490% | 1.9R | -10.421% | 2.1R | 0.9× | 288 |
| 48h | +9.490% | 1.9R | -24.694% | 4.9R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.490% | 1.9R | -26.130% | 5.2R | 0.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 824 min
MAE in 1364 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 day ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.49
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | 0.68 | range_high | -0.57% | +0.13 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | range_high |
39%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.60 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.53% | +0.63 | 30/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.50 | bear_medium | -2.37% | -0.15 | 30/10 21:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.49 | range_low | -0.37% | +0.23 | 30/10 21:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#466185
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.690 | expansion | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early 1b 0.0ATR | — | — | 4.69 | 99% | ↑ +0.51 | value | +1.40 | — | #220851 | 0.68 | range_high | -0.57% | +0.13 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:23
|
|
4h
#466166
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.647 | volatile_reversal | range_high |
39%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 4b 0.5ATR | — | — | 0.57 | 80% | ↑ +0.98 | value | +1.40 | — | #220851 | 0.60 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.53% | +0.63 |
30/10 16:00
upd 30/10 20:22
|
|
1h
anchor #467116
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.716 | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 10b 1.4ATR | — | — | 0.23 | 73% | ↓ -0.86 | above_value | +2.63 | — | #221275 | 0.50 | bear_medium | -2.37% | -0.15 |
30/10 21:00
upd 30/10 22:12
|
|
15m
#467042
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.333 | normal | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late 15b 3.1ATR | — | — | 0.25 | 22% | ↓ -0.44 | value | +2.02 | — | #221118 | 0.49 | range_low | -0.37% | +0.23 |
30/10 21:45
upd 30/10 22:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 1.534×ATR | p0 | +0.04×ATR | p4 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 3.297×ATR | p41 | +0.488×ATR | p24 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 10b | — | 2.855×ATR | p45 | +1.444×ATR | p77 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 15b | — | 5.28×ATR | p80 | +3.098×ATR | p98 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.6353807
- tp_price: 0.68589925
- atr: 0.01351572
- expires_at: 2026-10-31T08:15:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 9
- total: 89
- score: 0.6677
- delta_2h: 0.0363
- extension_atr: 1.31
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.7981
- confidence: 0.909
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6692 | 0.6354 | 0.6859 | 0.49 | 0.623 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6692
- Stop Loss: 0.6354
- Take Profit: 0.6859
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6354 - 0.6692 = -0.0338
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6692 - 0.6859 = -0.0167
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0167 / -0.0338 = 0.4941
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158.4336 | 100 | 236.7613 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0338
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0338 = -236.69
Taille de position USD = -236.69 x 0.6692 = -158.39
Donc, tu peux acheter -236.69 avec un stoploss a 0.6354
Avec un position size USD de -158.39$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -236.69 x -0.0338 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -236.69 x -0.0167 = 3.95
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.95$
Résumé
- Taille de position -236.69
- Taille de position USD -158.39
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.95
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4941
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.95 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.05 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.21 $ | -0.76 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.8814 % | 37.25 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6692 | 0.6354 | 0.6859 | 0.49 | 0.623 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6692
- Stop Loss: 0.6354
- Take Profit: 0.6859
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6354 - 0.6692 = -0.0338
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6692 - 0.6859 = -0.0167
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0167 / -0.0338 = 0.4941
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.051%
(0.0338)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.600% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.777% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.689% | 0.3R | -1.777% | 0.4R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.689% | 0.3R | -1.881% | 0.4R | 0.9× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.689% | 0.3R | -1.881% | 0.4R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +7.280% | 1.4R | -1.881% | 0.4R | 3.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +9.490% | 1.9R | -10.421% | 2.1R | 0.9× | 288 |
| 48h | +9.490% | 1.9R | -24.694% | 4.9R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.490% | 1.9R | -26.130% | 5.2R | 0.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 824 min
MAE in 1364 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 day ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.