Short Trade on PONS (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 1694.92 PONS at 0.234$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2292 (2.22 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2392 (2.05 %)
Short Trade on PONS (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 1694.92 PONS at 0.234$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2292 (2.22 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2392 (2.05 %)
Position
Entry 0.2344$
Qty 1694.9153 PONS
Size 397.3729$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2292 (+2.22%)
TP $ 8.81$
SL 0.2392 (-2.05%)
SL $ 8.14$
RR 1.08
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0757
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.40×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_pullback_v1 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_pullback_v1 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 30/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/10 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 35.2% |
| 1h | 29.6% |
| 4h | 64.8% |
| 24h | 87.0% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 35.2% | -0.04% |
| 4h | 46.3% | +0.40% |
| 24h | 87.0% | +3.79% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1676 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.29% · r3d: -12.47% · ema21_slope: -1.9104% · dist_ema21: -20.323% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3583 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.07% · rs_3d: -8.08% · beta_24h: 3.638 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1999 | rvol_20: 0.83× · zscore_50: -0.784 · trend: -61.36% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4016 | ADX: 24.8 (weak) · Chop: 75.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 20.823% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3558 | r1h: -0.346% · r4h: 1.497% · r1d: 5.39% · r3d: -18.53% · ema21_slope: -0.1899% · dist_ema21: -0.794% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4461 | rs_1h: -0.142% · rs_4h: 0.586% · rs_1d: 4.62% · rs_3d: -14.15% · beta_24h: 1.928 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2110 | rvol_20: 0.77× · zscore_50: -0.480 · trend: -59.13% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4451 | ADX: 16.2 (weak) · Chop: 61.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.545% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2546 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.914% · r1d: 2.29% · r3d: -12.47% · ema21_slope: -0.4447% · dist_ema21: -7.176% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4532 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.443% · rs_1d: 3.07% · rs_3d: -8.08% · beta_24h: 3.074 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1841 | rvol_20: 0.17× · zscore_50: -0.782 · trend: -22.84% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6934 | ADX: 23.2 (weak) · Chop: 36.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.078% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.391% | 0.7R | -0.201% | 0.1R | 6.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.181% | 2.0R | -0.201% | 0.1R | 20.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.945% | 2.4R | -0.201% | 0.1R | 24.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.945% | 2.4R | -0.201% | 0.1R | 24.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.945% | 2.4R | -0.201% | 0.1R | 24.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.945% | 2.4R | -1.408% | 0.7R | 3.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.945% | 2.4R | -5.887% | 2.9R | 0.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +13.289% | 6.5R | -5.887% | 2.9R | 2.3× | 864 |
computed 1 day ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 46% | — | — | — | — | range_high | -0.57% | -1.00 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.41 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.53% | -0.28 | 30/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.63 | bear_medium | -2.37% | +0.25 | 30/10 21:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.72 | range_low | -0.37% | -0.04 | 30/10 22:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#466458
|
↔ | — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 46% | — | — | — | 0.83 | 23% | ↓ -0.44 | above_value | -0.55 | inside | #220912 | — | range_high | -0.57% | -1.00 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:37
|
|
4h
#466439
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.538 | expansion | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 5b -1.2ATR | — | — | 0.17 | 5% | ↓ -0.50 | above_value | -0.55 | — | #220912 | 0.41 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.53% | -0.28 |
30/10 16:00
upd 30/10 20:36
|
|
1h
anchor #467165
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | 0.587 | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early 7b -0.3ATR | — | — | 0.77 | 59% | ↓ -0.62 | above_value | +0.01 | — | #221324 | 0.63 | bear_medium | -2.37% | +0.25 |
30/10 21:00
upd 30/10 22:14
|
|
15m
#467316
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.518 | normal | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 6b -0.7ATR | near -0.5ATR | — | 2.43 | 77% | ↑ +0.82 | above_value | +0.01 | — | #221324 | 0.72 | range_low | -0.37% | -0.04 |
30/10 22:15
upd 30/10 22:34
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 1.17×ATR | p0 | -1.17×ATR | p65 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.149×ATR | p0 | -0.345×ATR | p18 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -0.719×ATR | p46 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-30 09:15:00
[1] => 0.23512
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-30 10:45:00
[1] => 0.24205
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-30 12:00:00
[1] => 0.23395
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-30 14:15:00
[1] => 0.23446
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-30 15:15:00
[1] => 0.24849
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-30 18:45:00
[1] => 0.22913
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-30 20:00:00
[1] => 0.23774
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-30 22:15:00
[1] => 0.2314
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-31 01:00:00
[1] => 0.23917
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-31 02:30:00
[1] => 0.23283
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.9734916586528
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.69578662543486
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.7230167933685
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-28 20:00:00
[1] => 0.29486
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-29 02:00:00
[1] => 0.26541
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-29 09:00:00
[1] => 0.28227
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-29 15:00:00
[1] => 0.28701
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-30 00:00:00
[1] => 0.21752
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-30 06:00:00
[1] => 0.24223
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-30 12:00:00
[1] => 0.23395
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-30 15:00:00
[1] => 0.24849
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-30 18:00:00
[1] => 0.22913
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-31 01:00:00
[1] => 0.23917
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.9902161642346
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.3043686989918
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.3817919958102
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:45 | 0.23445000 | +0.021% |
| 2 | 23:00 | 0.23419000 | -0.09% |
| 3 | 23:15 | 0.23396000 | -0.188% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 09:15:00 | 0.23512 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-30 10:45:00 | 0.24205 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-30 12:00:00 | 0.23395 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-30 14:15:00 | 0.23446 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-30 15:15:00 | 0.24849 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-30 18:45:00 | 0.22913 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-30 20:00:00 | 0.23774 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-30 22:15:00 | 0.2314 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-31 01:00:00 | 0.23917 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-31 02:30:00 | 0.23283 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 20:00:00 | 0.29486 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-29 02:00:00 | 0.26541 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-29 09:00:00 | 0.28227 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-29 15:00:00 | 0.28701 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-30 00:00:00 | 0.21752 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-30 06:00:00 | 0.24223 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-30 12:00:00 | 0.23395 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-30 15:00:00 | 0.24849 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-30 18:00:00 | 0.22913 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-31 01:00:00 | 0.23917 | ↑ High |
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2344 | 0.2392 | 0.2292 | 1.08 | 0.2129 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2392 - 0.2344 = 0.0048
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2344 - 0.2292 = 0.0052
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0052 / 0.0048 = 1.0833
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 397.3729 | 100 | 1694.9153 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0048 = 1666.67
Taille de position USD = 1666.67 x 0.2344 = 390.67
Donc, tu peux acheter 1666.67 avec un stoploss a 0.2392
Avec un position size USD de 390.67$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1666.67 x 0.0048 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1666.67 x 0.0052 = 8.67
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8.67$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.22 % | 8.81 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.05 % | 8.14 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 8.82 $ | 2.22 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2005 % | 9.79 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2344 | 0.2392 | 0.2292 | 1.08 | 0.2129 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2392 - 0.2344 = 0.0048
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2344 - 0.2292 = 0.0052
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0052 / 0.0048 = 1.0833
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2248
[stop_loss] => 0.2392
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-31 04:45:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.391% | 0.7R | -0.201% | 0.1R | 6.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.181% | 2.0R | -0.201% | 0.1R | 20.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.945% | 2.4R | -0.201% | 0.1R | 24.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.945% | 2.4R | -0.201% | 0.1R | 24.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.945% | 2.4R | -0.201% | 0.1R | 24.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.945% | 2.4R | -1.408% | 0.7R | 3.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.945% | 2.4R | -5.887% | 2.9R | 0.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +13.289% | 6.5R | -5.887% | 2.9R | 2.3× | 864 |
computed 1 day ago
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