Short Trade on INIT (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 400.91 INIT at 0.182$ per unit. Take profit: 0.178 (2.47 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2025 (10.96 %)
30 Oct 2026 at 23:15:15
hyperliquid
INIT
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Oct 2026 23:15
→ 05:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.1825$
Qty 400.9141 INIT
Size 73.1829$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.178 (+2.47%)
TP $ 1.8$
SL 0.2025 (-10.96%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 0.22
Status
loss
PnL
-0.35%
/ -0.25$
MAE -2.70%
MFE +2.39%
0.2R
expires
31 Oct 05:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 236840)
#72 / 72
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 23:00
score du 30/10/2026 23:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1111
Quality Score
0.344
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#72 / 72
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#72 / 72
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.69×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.08×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.31×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
contracting
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.38
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 23:02
30/10 23:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 30/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/10 22:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7396
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
54.7%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
contracting
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.185
Δ 4h
▼-0.237
Δ 12h
▲+0.342
Δ 24h
▲+0.253
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 32.1% |
| 1h | 17.0% |
| 4h | 66.0% |
| 24h | 86.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 32.1% | -0.02% |
| 4h | 49.1% | +0.38% |
| 24h | 86.8% | +3.76% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.46
Tail ↓
+0.39
Dispersion :
0.142
Universe :
53
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
30/10 23:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7217
Score SMA
0.8146
Rank
#2
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9886
Rank Norm SMA
0.9984
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8571 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -13.45% · r3d: 13.79% · ema21_slope: 2.9813% · dist_ema21: 23.883% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7500 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -12.67% · rs_3d: 18.18% · beta_24h: 1.148 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6421 | rvol_20: 1.54× · zscore_50: 1.139 · trend: 227.54% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9913 | ADX: 59.0 (trend) · Chop: 14.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 14.087% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.3437
Score SMA
0.5824
Rank
#72
/ 72
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1111
Rank Norm SMA
0.6749
Calculé le
30/10/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2606 | r1h: -0.718% · r4h: -1.882% · r1d: -14.65% · r3d: 15.71% · ema21_slope: -0.7716% · dist_ema21: -5.731% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4158 | rs_1h: -0.765% · rs_4h: -2.509% · rs_1d: -14.68% · rs_3d: 20.05% · beta_24h: 0.091 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1291 | rvol_20: 0.40× · zscore_50: -1.064 · trend: -77.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6859 | ADX: 31.3 (trend) · Chop: 47.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4741 | ATR%: 4.578% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4982
Score SMA
0.6326
Rank
#46
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6690
Rank Norm SMA
0.8627
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7227 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.221% · r1d: -13.45% · r3d: 13.79% · ema21_slope: 0.9914% · dist_ema21: -4.210% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5885 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.750% · rs_1d: -12.67% · rs_3d: 18.18% · beta_24h: 1.291 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1845 | rvol_20: 0.14× · zscore_50: -0.733 · trend: -24.99% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6490 | ADX: 36.4 (trend) · Chop: 57.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 11.058% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -10.959%
(0.0200)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.225% | 0.0R | -1.425% | 0.1R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.225% | 0.0R | -1.732% | 0.2R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.395% | 0.2R | -2.696% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.395% | 0.2R | -2.696% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.912% | 0.4R | -2.696% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +7.923% | 0.7R | -2.696% | 0.3R | 2.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +9.370% | 0.9R | -2.816% | 0.3R | 3.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +9.370% | 0.9R | -11.019% | 1.0R | 0.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +28.351% | 2.6R | -11.019% | 1.0R | 2.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1429 min
MAE in 1334 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 15 hours ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.77
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
73%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.35 | range_high | -0.57% | +1.00 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 30% | early | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.18 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.53% | +0.94 | 30/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | 0.15 | bear_medium | -2.28% | -0.92 | 30/10 22:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.08 | range_low | -0.29% | -0.27 | 30/10 22:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#466354
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.717 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
73%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid 2b 1.2ATR | — | — | 1.54 | 98% | ↑ +0.93 | value | -3.01 | inside | #220891 | 0.35 | range_high | -0.57% | +1.00 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:31
|
|
4h
#466331
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.585 | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 30% | early 9b -0.4ATR | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.14 | 74% | ↓ -0.41 | value | -3.01 | — | #220891 | 0.18 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.53% | +0.94 |
30/10 16:00
upd 30/10 20:30
|
|
1h
anchor #467522
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.358 | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid 10b -1.2ATR | — | — | 0.40 | 25% | ↓ -0.79 | value | -4.03 | — | #221453 | 0.15 | bear_medium | -2.28% | -0.92 |
30/10 22:00
upd 30/10 23:12
|
|
15m
#467450
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.760 | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 11b -1.1ATR | near 0.0ATR | — | 1.98 | 19% | ↔ +0.04 | value | -3.73 | — | #221307 | 0.08 | range_low | -0.29% | -0.27 |
30/10 22:45
upd 30/10 23:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.628×ATR | p10 | +1.246×ATR | p70 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 2.361×ATR | p19 | -0.377×ATR | p26 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 10b | — | 1.201×ATR | p2 | -1.215×ATR | p71 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 11b | — | 2.965×ATR | p61 | -1.064×ATR | p74 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.2024944
- tp_price: 0.1779765
- atr: 0.00798176
- expires_at: 2026-10-31T09:15:15+00:00
Details
- rank: 79
- total: 79
- score: 0.2396
- delta_2h: -0.041
- extension_atr: -1.39
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1111
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:15 | 0.18254000 | +0.022% |
| 2 | 00:15 | 0.18225000 | -0.137% |
| 3 | 01:15 | 0.18346000 | +0.526% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1825 | 0.2025 | 0.178 | 0.22 | 0.1274 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1825
- Stop Loss: 0.2025
- Take Profit: 0.178
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2025 - 0.1825 = 0.02
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1825 - 0.178 = 0.0045
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0045 / 0.02 = 0.225
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73.1829 | 73.1829 | 400.9141 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.02
Taille de position = 8 / 0.02 = 400
Taille de position USD = 400 x 0.1825 = 73
Donc, tu peux acheter 400 avec un stoploss a 0.2025
Avec un position size USD de 73$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 400 x 0.02 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 400 x 0.0045 = 1.8
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 1.8$
Résumé
- Taille de position 400
- Taille de position USD 73
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 1.8
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.225
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.47 % | 1.8 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 10.96 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.25 $ | -0.35 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.6959 % | 24.6 % | 21 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1825 | 0.2025 | 0.178 | 0.22 | 0.1274 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1825
- Stop Loss: 0.2025
- Take Profit: 0.178
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2025 - 0.1825 = 0.02
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1825 - 0.178 = 0.0045
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0045 / 0.02 = 0.225
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -10.959%
(0.0200)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.225% | 0.0R | -1.425% | 0.1R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.225% | 0.0R | -1.732% | 0.2R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.395% | 0.2R | -2.696% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.395% | 0.2R | -2.696% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.912% | 0.4R | -2.696% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +7.923% | 0.7R | -2.696% | 0.3R | 2.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +9.370% | 0.9R | -2.816% | 0.3R | 3.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +9.370% | 0.9R | -11.019% | 1.0R | 0.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +28.351% | 2.6R | -11.019% | 1.0R | 2.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1429 min
MAE in 1334 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 15 hours ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.