Short Trade on PONS (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 592.32 PONS at 0.234$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2281 (2.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2475 (5.81 %)
30 Oct 2026 at 23:15:15
hyperliquid
PONS
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Oct 2026 23:15
→ 00:40
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.2339$
Qty 592.3171 PONS
Size 138.5726$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2281 (+2.48%)
TP $ 3.44$
SL 0.2475 (-5.81%)
SL $ 8.06$
RR 0.43
Status
win
PnL
+2.48%
/ +3.44$
MAE -0.11%
MFE +4.74%
0.8R
expires
31 Oct 05:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 236857)
#66 / 72
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 23:00
score du 30/10/2026 23:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0777
Quality Score
0.423
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#66 / 72
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#66 / 72
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.12×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
contracting
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.38
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
7.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 23:03
30/10 23:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 30/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/10 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7396
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
54.7%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
contracting
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.185
Δ 4h
▼-0.237
Δ 12h
▲+0.342
Δ 24h
▲+0.253
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 32.1% |
| 1h | 17.0% |
| 4h | 66.0% |
| 24h | 86.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 32.1% | -0.02% |
| 4h | 49.1% | +0.38% |
| 24h | 86.8% | +3.76% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.46
Tail ↓
+0.39
Dispersion :
0.142
Universe :
53
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
30/10 23:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2401
Score SMA
0.2589
Rank
#88
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0114
Rank Norm SMA
0.2007
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1676 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.29% · r3d: -12.47% · ema21_slope: -1.9104% · dist_ema21: -20.323% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3583 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.07% · rs_3d: -8.08% · beta_24h: 3.638 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1999 | rvol_20: 0.83× · zscore_50: -0.784 · trend: -61.36% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4016 | ADX: 24.8 (weak) · Chop: 75.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 20.823% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.4234
Score SMA
0.5375
Rank
#66
/ 72
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0777
Rank Norm SMA
0.5030
Calculé le
30/10/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3077 | r1h: -0.797% · r4h: 0.632% · r1d: 2.75% · r3d: -19.10% · ema21_slope: -0.1989% · dist_ema21: -1.442% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3760 | rs_1h: -0.844% · rs_4h: 0.005% · rs_1d: 2.73% · rs_3d: -14.77% · beta_24h: 1.904 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3627 | rvol_20: 1.45× · zscore_50: -0.056 · trend: -38.66% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4466 | ADX: 15.8 (weak) · Chop: 61.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.479% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3305
Score SMA
0.4523
Rank
#88
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0541
Rank Norm SMA
0.3828
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2546 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.914% · r1d: 2.29% · r3d: -12.47% · ema21_slope: -0.4447% · dist_ema21: -7.176% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4532 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.443% · rs_1d: 3.07% · rs_3d: -8.08% · beta_24h: 3.074 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1841 | rvol_20: 0.17× · zscore_50: -0.782 · trend: -22.84% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6934 | ADX: 23.2 (weak) · Chop: 36.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.078% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.815%
(0.0136)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.095% | 0.4R | -0.107% | 0.0R | 19.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.741% | 0.8R | -0.107% | 0.0R | 44.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.741% | 0.8R | -0.107% | 0.0R | 44.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.741% | 0.8R | -0.107% | 0.0R | 44.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.741% | 0.8R | -0.107% | 0.0R | 44.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.741% | 0.8R | -0.107% | 0.0R | 44.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.741% | 0.8R | -1.809% | 0.3R | 2.6× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.741% | 0.8R | -6.114% | 1.1R | 0.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +13.104% | 2.3R | -6.114% | 1.1R | 2.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 114 min
MAE in 1439 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 14 hours ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.33
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 46% | — | — | — | — | range_high | -0.57% | -1.00 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.41 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.53% | -0.28 | 30/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.63 | bear_medium | -2.28% | -0.16 | 30/10 22:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.72 | range_low | -0.29% | -0.03 | 30/10 22:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#466458
|
↔ | — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 46% | — | — | — | 0.83 | 23% | ↓ -0.44 | above_value | -0.55 | inside | #220912 | — | range_high | -0.57% | -1.00 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:37
|
|
4h
#466439
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.538 | expansion | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 5b -1.2ATR | — | — | 0.17 | 5% | ↓ -0.50 | above_value | -0.55 | — | #220912 | 0.41 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.53% | -0.28 |
30/10 16:00
upd 30/10 20:36
|
|
1h
anchor #467539
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | 0.723 | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early 8b -0.6ATR | — | — | 1.45 | 74% | ↓ -0.47 | above_value | -0.80 | — | #221470 | 0.63 | bear_medium | -2.28% | -0.16 |
30/10 22:00
upd 30/10 23:13
|
|
15m
#467466
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.483 | normal | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early 8b -0.5ATR | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.24 | 6% | ↑ +0.56 | above_value | +0.01 | — | #221324 | 0.72 | range_low | -0.29% | -0.03 |
30/10 22:45
upd 30/10 23:04
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 1.17×ATR | p0 | -1.17×ATR | p65 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 0.865×ATR | p0 | -0.634×ATR | p36 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -0.523×ATR | p36 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.24745628
- tp_price: 0.22810125
- atr: 0.00540251
- expires_at: 2026-10-31T09:15:15+00:00
Details
- rank: 78
- total: 79
- score: 0.314
- delta_2h: -0.0815
- extension_atr: -0.54
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0795
- confidence: 0.987
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2339 | 0.2475 | 0.2281 | 0.43 | 0.2038 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2339
- Stop Loss: 0.2475
- Take Profit: 0.2281
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2475 - 0.2339 = 0.0136
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2339 - 0.2281 = 0.0058
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0058 / 0.0136 = 0.4265
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 138.5726 | 100 | 592.3171 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0136
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0136 = 588.24
Taille de position USD = 588.24 x 0.2339 = 137.59
Donc, tu peux acheter 588.24 avec un stoploss a 0.2475
Avec un position size USD de 137.59$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 588.24 x 0.0136 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 588.24 x 0.0058 = 3.41
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.41$
Résumé
- Taille de position 588.24
- Taille de position USD 137.59
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.41
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4265
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.48 % | 3.44 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.81 % | 8.06 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.44 $ | 2.48 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1069 % | 1.84 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2339 | 0.2475 | 0.2281 | 0.43 | 0.2038 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2339
- Stop Loss: 0.2475
- Take Profit: 0.2281
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2475 - 0.2339 = 0.0136
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2339 - 0.2281 = 0.0058
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0058 / 0.0136 = 0.4265
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.815%
(0.0136)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.095% | 0.4R | -0.107% | 0.0R | 19.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.741% | 0.8R | -0.107% | 0.0R | 44.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.741% | 0.8R | -0.107% | 0.0R | 44.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.741% | 0.8R | -0.107% | 0.0R | 44.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.741% | 0.8R | -0.107% | 0.0R | 44.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.741% | 0.8R | -0.107% | 0.0R | 44.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.741% | 0.8R | -1.809% | 0.3R | 2.6× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.741% | 0.8R | -6.114% | 1.1R | 0.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +13.104% | 2.3R | -6.114% | 1.1R | 2.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 114 min
MAE in 1439 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 14 hours ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.