Long Trade on XPL (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2154.14 XPL at 0.0817$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08372 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07797 (4.54 %)
31 Oct 2026 at 00:15:10
hyperliquid
XPL
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
31 Oct 2026 00:15
→ 06:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.08168$
Qty 2154.1394 XPL
Size 175.9523$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.08372 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.39$
SL 0.07797 (-4.54%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.55
Status
loss
PnL
-2.24%
/ -3.94$
MAE -2.53%
MFE +0.08%
0.0R
expires
31 Oct 06:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 236913)
#1 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 00:00
score du 31/10/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9658
Quality Score
0.637
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.54 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#1 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.54 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.75×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.57×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.72×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
NO
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
NO
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
-0.51
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
16.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 00:03
31/10 00:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 30/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/10 22:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7400
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
36.5%
Macro
btc_defensive
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.182
Δ 4h
▼-0.388
Δ 12h
▼-0.129
Δ 24h
▼-0.064
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 32.1% |
| 1h | 26.4% |
| 4h | 28.3% |
| 24h | 62.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 28.3% | -0.03% |
| 4h | 32.1% | -0.51% |
| 24h | 83.0% | +1.61% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
1.9%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
1.9%
Tail ↑
+0.46
Tail ↓
+0.31
Dispersion :
0.126
Universe :
53
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
31/10 00:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5167
Score SMA
0.3005
Rank
#17
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8182
Rank Norm SMA
0.2964
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4608 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 12.12% · r3d: 10.55% · ema21_slope: -0.6515% · dist_ema21: 2.658% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7962 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 12.90% · rs_3d: 14.94% · beta_24h: 1.918 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5757 | rvol_20: 2.21× · zscore_50: 0.277 · trend: 12.79% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4283 | ADX: 15.9 (weak) · Chop: 63.4 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.878% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.6373
Score SMA
0.5511
Rank
#1
/ 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9658
Rank Norm SMA
0.6068
Calculé le
31/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7226 | r1h: 0.443% · r4h: 0.540% · r1d: 6.48% · r3d: 9.58% · ema21_slope: 0.3326% · dist_ema21: 3.161% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7705 | rs_1h: 0.824% · rs_4h: 0.822% · rs_1d: 7.86% · rs_3d: 14.49% · beta_24h: 1.287 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2244 | rvol_20: 0.71× · zscore_50: -0.363 · trend: -38.82% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6222 | ADX: 29.0 (trend) · Chop: 53.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.918% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.6191
Score SMA
0.5102
Rank
#3
/ 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9642
Rank Norm SMA
0.5646
Calculé le
31/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6441 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.540% · r1d: 6.48% · r3d: 9.58% · ema21_slope: 0.2528% · dist_ema21: 6.090% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8166 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.822% · rs_1d: 7.86% · rs_3d: 14.49% · beta_24h: 1.464 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3332 | rvol_20: 0.63× · zscore_50: 0.078 · trend: 30.53% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6447 | ADX: 17.4 (weak) · Chop: 35.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7574 | ATR%: 3.728% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.542%
(0.0037)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.044% | 0.0R | -0.954% | 0.2R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.044% | 0.0R | -1.359% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.080% | 0.0R | -1.704% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.080% | 0.0R | -2.529% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.080% | 0.0R | -2.589% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.160% | 0.0R | -2.877% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.688% | 0.8R | -2.877% | 0.6R | 1.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +5.817% | 1.3R | -14.999% | 3.3R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.817% | 1.3R | -23.861% | 5.3R | 0.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1434 min
MAE in 579 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 4 hours ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.04
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.54 | range_high | -0.57% | +0.01 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.57 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.53% | +0.88 | 30/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.69 | bear_medium | -2.28% | +0.61 | 30/10 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.65 | range_low | -0.61% | +0.10 | 30/10 23:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#466375
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.629 | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late 35b 0.3ATR | near 0.2ATR | — | 2.21 | 88% | ↔ -0.03 | above_value | +4.51 | — | #220895 | 0.54 | range_high | -0.57% | +0.01 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:33
|
|
4h
#466352
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.779 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid 6b 1.2ATR | — | — | 0.75 | 69% | ↑ +0.67 | above_value | +4.51 | — | #220895 | 0.57 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.53% | +0.88 |
30/10 16:00
upd 30/10 20:31
|
|
1h
anchor #467526
|
↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | 0.362 | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 10b 1.5ATR | — | — | 0.86 | 83% | ↑ +0.44 | above_value | +4.93 | — | #221457 | 0.69 | bear_medium | -2.28% | +0.61 |
30/10 22:00
upd 30/10 23:12
|
|
15m
#467818
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.508 | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 8b 0.9ATR | — | — | 0.51 | 32% | ↑ +0.19 | above_value | +4.93 | — | #221457 | 0.65 | range_low | -0.61% | +0.10 |
30/10 23:45
upd 31/10 00:04
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 35b | — | 6.114×ATR | p88 | +0.332×ATR | p19 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 4.421×ATR | p65 | +1.248×ATR | p71 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 10b | — | 2.888×ATR | p58 | +1.469×ATR | p78 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 1.791×ATR | p8 | +0.895×ATR | p46 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.07796722
- tp_price: 0.08372302
- atr: 0.00148551
- expires_at: 2026-10-31T10:15:10+00:00
Details
- rank: 3
- total: 72
- score: 0.7201
- delta_2h: 0.0487
- extension_atr: 1.31
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9677
- confidence: 0.972
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08168 | 0.07797 | 0.08372 | 0.55 | 0.06402 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.08168
- Stop Loss: 0.07797
- Take Profit: 0.08372
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07797 - 0.08168 = -0.00371
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08168 - 0.08372 = -0.00204
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00204 / -0.00371 = 0.5499
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 175.9523 | 100 | 2154.1394 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00371
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00371 = -2156.33
Taille de position USD = -2156.33 x 0.08168 = -176.13
Donc, tu peux acheter -2156.33 avec un stoploss a 0.07797
Avec un position size USD de -176.13$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2156.33 x -0.00371 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2156.33 x -0.00204 = 4.4
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.4$
Résumé
- Taille de position -2156.33
- Taille de position USD -176.13
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.4
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5499
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.39 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.54 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.94 $ | -2.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5294 % | 55.69 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08168 | 0.07797 | 0.08372 | 0.55 | 0.06402 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.08168
- Stop Loss: 0.07797
- Take Profit: 0.08372
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07797 - 0.08168 = -0.00371
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08168 - 0.08372 = -0.00204
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00204 / -0.00371 = 0.5499
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.542%
(0.0037)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.044% | 0.0R | -0.954% | 0.2R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.044% | 0.0R | -1.359% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.080% | 0.0R | -1.704% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.080% | 0.0R | -2.529% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.080% | 0.0R | -2.589% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.160% | 0.0R | -2.877% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.688% | 0.8R | -2.877% | 0.6R | 1.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +5.817% | 1.3R | -14.999% | 3.3R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.817% | 1.3R | -23.861% | 5.3R | 0.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1434 min
MAE in 579 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 4 hours ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.