31 Oct 2026 at 00:15:11 hyperliquid

Short Trade on USELESS (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 938.8 USELESS at 0.131$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1281 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1399 (6.47 %)

USELESS SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 31 Oct 2026 00:15 → 06:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.1314$

Qty 938.8019 USELESS

Size 123.3773$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1281 (+2.51%)

TP $ 3.1$

SL 0.1399 (-6.47%)

SL $ 7.98$

RR 0.39

Status win PnL +1.86% / +2.29$ MAE -1.17% MFE +2.21% 0.3R expires 31 Oct 06:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 236927)
#67 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 00:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0308

Quality Score
0.365
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#67 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.47 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#67 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.47 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 2.54×ATR
4h clear —
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.51
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
5.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 00:03
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

29/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

30/10 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/10 22:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7400
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 36.5%
Macro btc_defensive
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.182
Δ 4h
▼-0.388
Δ 12h
▼-0.129
Δ 24h
▼-0.064

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 32.1%
1h 26.4%
4h 28.3%
24h 62.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 28.3% -0.03%
4h 32.1% -0.51%
24h 83.0% +1.61%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
1.9%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
1.9%
Tail ↑
+0.46
Tail ↓
+0.31
Dispersion : 0.126
Universe : 53 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 31/10 00:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3281
Score SMA
0.2959
Rank
#77 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1364
Rank Norm SMA
0.2611
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1690 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 4.81% · r3d: -15.83% · ema21_slope: -1.1236% · dist_ema21: -19.454%
Force Relative 25% 0.2860 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 5.59% · rs_3d: -11.44% · beta_24h: 4.246
Volume 20% 0.7000 rvol_20: 2.97× · zscore_50: 0.558 · trend: 0.89%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4395 ADX: 18.3 (weak) · Chop: 64.5 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 19.430% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.3647
Score SMA
0.5047
Rank
#67 / 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0308
Rank Norm SMA
0.4092
Calculé le
31/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2145 r1h: -0.896% · r4h: -2.307% · r1d: 2.16% · r3d: -21.88% · ema21_slope: -0.1712% · dist_ema21: -2.108%
Force Relative 25% 0.3556 rs_1h: -0.514% · rs_4h: -2.025% · rs_1d: 3.54% · rs_3d: -16.96% · beta_24h: 2.746
Volume 20% 0.2493 rvol_20: 0.95× · zscore_50: -0.342 · trend: -68.67%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4038 ADX: 12.7 (weak) · Chop: 63.2 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.751% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.2707
Score SMA
0.4234
Rank
#69 / 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.2987
Calculé le
31/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1735 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.307% · r1d: 2.16% · r3d: -21.88% · ema21_slope: -0.8490% · dist_ema21: -9.506%
Force Relative 25% 0.2859 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.025% · rs_1d: 3.54% · rs_3d: -16.96% · beta_24h: 4.946
Volume 20% 0.2204 rvol_20: 0.25× · zscore_50: -0.622 · trend: -3.64%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6470 ADX: 17.6 (weak) · Chop: 32.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.344% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.469% (0.0085)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.613% 0.3R -0.206% 0.0R 7.9× 12
2h +1.613% 0.3R -0.206% 0.0R 7.9× 24
4h +1.613% 0.3R -1.172% 0.2R 1.4× 48
6h ★ +2.215% 0.3R -1.172% 0.2R 1.9× 72
8h +4.741% 0.7R -1.172% 0.2R 4.1× 96
12h +6.088% 0.9R -1.172% 0.2R 5.2× 144
24h +6.088% 0.9R -1.172% 0.2R 5.2× 288
48h +6.088% 0.9R -3.440% 0.5R 1.8× 576
72h +9.414% 1.5R -3.440% 0.5R 2.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 639 min MAE in 184 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.76
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ — — — — — — bear_high
37%
noisy_chop 42% mid — — — range_high -0.57% -0.99 29/10 20:00
4h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong explosive expansion bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 45% early — — 0.61 bear_high_confirmed -4.53% -0.79 30/10 16:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 36% early — — 0.69 bear_medium -2.28% +0.03 30/10 22:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 46% mid — — 0.78 range_low -0.61% -0.16 30/10 23:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#466452
↔ — — — — — — bear_high
37%
noisy_chop 42% mid 37b -1.5ATR — — 2.97 77% ↔ +0.15 above_value +0.50 inside #220910 — range_high -0.57% -0.99
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:37
4h
#466429
↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong explosive 0.257 expansion bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 45% early 5b -1.0ATR — — 0.15 6% ↑ +0.67 above_value +0.50 — #220910 0.61 bear_high_confirmed -4.53% -0.79
30/10 16:00
upd 30/10 20:36
1h anchor
#467537
↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.400 compression bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 36% early 11b -0.6ATR — — 0.13 3% ↓ -0.82 above_value -0.13 — #221468 0.69 bear_medium -2.28% +0.03
30/10 22:00
upd 30/10 23:13
15m
#467829
↓ down range range moderate grind 0.477 compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 46% mid 17b -1.7ATR — — 7.50 73% ↔ +0.05 above_value -0.13 — #221468 0.78 range_low -0.61% -0.16
30/10 23:45
upd 31/10 00:04
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 37b — 8.513×ATR — -1.456×ATR p65
4h ↑ up early 5b — 1.745×ATR p0 -0.986×ATR p54
1h ↓ down early 11b — 2.499×ATR p43 -0.631×ATR p31
15m ↓ down mid 17b — 3.928×ATR p71 -1.684×ATR p74

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.1399415
  2. tp_price: 0.1281345
  3. atr: 0.0034086
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-31T10:15:11+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 71
  2. total: 72
  3. score: 0.2501
  4. delta_2h: -0.0937
  5. extension_atr: -0.76
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0308
  9. confidence: 0.986

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 00:15 0.13142000 +0.015%
2 01:15 0.13050000 -0.685%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1314 0.1399 0.1281 0.39 0.1201
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1314
  • Stop Loss: 0.1399
  • Take Profit: 0.1281

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1399 - 0.1314 = 0.0085

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1314 - 0.1281 = 0.0033

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0033 / 0.0085 = 0.3882

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
123.3773 100 938.8019 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0085

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0085 = 941.18

Taille de position USD = 941.18 x 0.1314 = 123.67

Donc, tu peux acheter 941.18 avec un stoploss a 0.1399

Avec un position size USD de 123.67$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 941.18 x 0.0085 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 941.18 x 0.0033 = 3.11

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.11$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 941.18
  • Taille de position USD 123.67
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.11
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3882

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 3.1 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.47 % 7.98 $
PNL PNL %
2.29 $ 1.86
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.172 % 18.12 % 8
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1314 0.1399 0.1281 0.39 0.1201
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1314
  • Stop Loss: 0.1399
  • Take Profit: 0.1281

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1399 - 0.1314 = 0.0085

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1314 - 0.1281 = 0.0033

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0033 / 0.0085 = 0.3882

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.469% (0.0085)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.613% 0.3R -0.206% 0.0R 7.9× 12
2h +1.613% 0.3R -0.206% 0.0R 7.9× 24
4h +1.613% 0.3R -1.172% 0.2R 1.4× 48
6h ★ +2.215% 0.3R -1.172% 0.2R 1.9× 72
8h +4.741% 0.7R -1.172% 0.2R 4.1× 96
12h +6.088% 0.9R -1.172% 0.2R 5.2× 144
24h +6.088% 0.9R -1.172% 0.2R 5.2× 288
48h +6.088% 0.9R -3.440% 0.5R 1.8× 576
72h +9.414% 1.5R -3.440% 0.5R 2.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 639 min MAE in 184 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 hours ago

Commentaires

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