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Short Trade on INIT

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31 Oct 2026 at 02:15:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on INIT (momentum_rotation_score)

With 379.21 INIT at 0.179$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2004 (11.77 %)

INIT SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 31 Oct 2026 02:15 → 05:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.1793$

Qty 379.2129 INIT

Size 68.0118$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 67.99$

SL 0.2004 (-11.77%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -2.14% / -1.45$ MAE -4.53% MFE +0.37% 0.0R expires 31 Oct 05:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 237116)
#68 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0135

Quality Score
0.338
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#68 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
11.77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#68 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
11.77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.14×ATR
4h near -0.20×ATR
1d clear 2.31×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.25
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 02:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

29/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

30/10 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

31/10 01:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7408
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 11.1%
Macro btc_defensive
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→-0.006
Δ 1h
▼-0.081
Δ 4h
▼-0.621
Δ 12h
▼-0.323
Δ 24h
▼-0.564

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 41.2%
1h 51.0%
4h 2.0%
24h 47.1%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 41.2% -0.04%
4h 9.8% -1.25%
24h 70.6% -0.30%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
3.9%
Expansion
3.9%
Tail ↑
+0.27
Tail ↓
+0.35
Dispersion : 0.092
Universe : 51 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+1 added · -1 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 31/10 02:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7217
Score SMA
0.8146
Rank
#2 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9886
Rank Norm SMA
0.9984
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8571 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -13.45% · r3d: 13.79% · ema21_slope: 2.9813% · dist_ema21: 23.883%
Force Relative 25% 0.7500 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -12.67% · rs_3d: 18.18% · beta_24h: 1.148
Volume 20% 0.6421 rvol_20: 1.54× · zscore_50: 1.139 · trend: 227.54%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9913 ADX: 59.0 (trend) · Chop: 14.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 14.087% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.3379
Score SMA
0.5788
Rank
#68 / 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0135
Rank Norm SMA
0.6661
Calculé le
31/10/2026 02:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1179 r1h: -2.396% · r4h: -3.728% · r1d: -18.32% · r3d: 1.42% · ema21_slope: -0.6286% · dist_ema21: -6.926%
Force Relative 25% 0.2466 rs_1h: -2.496% · rs_4h: -3.541% · rs_1d: -16.68% · rs_3d: 5.92% · beta_24h: -0.791
Volume 20% 0.1301 rvol_20: 0.36× · zscore_50: -1.049 · trend: -79.46%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5697 ADX: 34.5 (trend) · Chop: 65.1 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.5797 ATR%: 4.261% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.4159
Score SMA
0.6308
Rank
#52 / 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3693
Rank Norm SMA
0.8502
Calculé le
31/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5468 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.067% · r1d: -16.43% · r3d: 2.61% · ema21_slope: 0.7711% · dist_ema21: -6.541%
Force Relative 25% 0.5047 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.785% · rs_1d: -15.05% · rs_3d: 7.53% · beta_24h: 1.279
Volume 20% 0.1572 rvol_20: 0.11× · zscore_50: -0.787 · trend: -42.73%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6280 ADX: 33.9 (trend) · Chop: 57.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 10.958% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -11.768% (0.0211)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.374% 0.0R -4.529% 0.4R 0.1× 12
2h +0.374% 0.0R -4.529% 0.4R 0.1× 24
3h ★ +0.374% 0.0R -4.529% 0.4R 0.1× 36
4h +0.374% 0.0R -4.529% 0.4R 0.1× 48
8h +5.639% 0.5R -4.529% 0.4R 1.3× 96
12h +7.172% 0.6R -4.529% 0.4R 1.6× 144
24h +7.752% 0.7R -4.651% 0.4R 1.7× 288
48h +9.788% 0.8R -13.001% 1.1R 0.8× 576
72h +27.446% 2.3R -13.001% 1.1R 2.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 1249 min MAE in 1154 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 4 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.58
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
73%
noisy_chop 39% mid — — 0.35 range_high -0.57% +1.00 29/10 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 32% early near -0.2ATR — 0.18 bear_high -4.70% +0.42 30/10 20:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading compression bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 48% late — — 0.15 bear_medium -2.36% -0.97 31/10 01:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate fading normal bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 42% late near -1.9ATR — 0.08 range_low -0.39% -0.34 31/10 01:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#466354
 ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong balanced 0.717 expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
73%
noisy_chop 39% mid 2b 1.2ATR — — 1.54 98% ↑ +0.93 value -3.01 inside #220891 0.35 range_high -0.57% +1.00
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:31
4h
#467958
 ↑ up range range moderate grind 0.588 volatile_reversal bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 32% early 10b -0.6ATR near -0.2ATR — 0.11 69% ↓ -0.55 value -4.12 — #221594 0.18 bear_high -4.70% +0.42
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 00:19
1h anchor
#468669
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading 0.739 compression bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 48% late 9b -2.0ATR — — 0.36 19% ↓ -0.81 value -4.77 — #221942 0.15 bear_medium -2.36% -0.97
31/10 01:00
upd 31/10 02:13
15m
#468598
 ↓ down range range moderate fading 0.745 normal bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 42% late 3b -2.5ATR near -1.9ATR — 1.13 15% ↔ +0.09 value -4.55 — #221802 0.08 range_low -0.39% -0.34
31/10 01:45
upd 31/10 02:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 2b — 2.628×ATR p10 +1.246×ATR p70
4h ↓ down early 10b — 2.747×ATR p31 -0.628×ATR p39
1h ↓ down late 9b — 1.869×ATR p23 -1.962×ATR p92
15m ↓ down late 3b — 3.154×ATR p50 -2.526×ATR p95

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.20044633
  2. atr: 0.00703211
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-31T09:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 68
  2. total: 70
  3. score: 0.2122
  4. confidence: 0.971

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1793 0.2004 0.1297
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1793
  • Stop Loss: 0.2004
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2004 - 0.1793 = 0.0211

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1793 - = 0.1793

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1793 / 0.0211 = 8.4976

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
68.0118 68.0118 379.2129 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0211

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0211 = 379.15

Taille de position USD = 379.15 x 0.1793 = 67.98

Donc, tu peux acheter 379.15 avec un stoploss a 0.2004

Avec un position size USD de 67.98$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 379.15 x 0.0211 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 379.15 x 0.1793 = 67.98

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 67.98$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 379.15
  • Taille de position USD 67.98
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 67.98
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 8.4976

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 67.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
11.77 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-1.45 $ -2.14
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.5287 % 38.48 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1793 0.2004 0.1297
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1793
  • Stop Loss: 0.2004
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2004 - 0.1793 = 0.0211

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1793 - = 0.1793

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1793 / 0.0211 = 8.4976

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -11.768% (0.0211)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.374% 0.0R -4.529% 0.4R 0.1× 12
2h +0.374% 0.0R -4.529% 0.4R 0.1× 24
3h ★ +0.374% 0.0R -4.529% 0.4R 0.1× 36
4h +0.374% 0.0R -4.529% 0.4R 0.1× 48
8h +5.639% 0.5R -4.529% 0.4R 1.3× 96
12h +7.172% 0.6R -4.529% 0.4R 1.6× 144
24h +7.752% 0.7R -4.651% 0.4R 1.7× 288
48h +9.788% 0.8R -13.001% 1.1R 0.8× 576
72h +27.446% 2.3R -13.001% 1.1R 2.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 1249 min MAE in 1154 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 4 hours ago

Commentaires

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