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Short Trade on LIT

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31 Oct 2026 at 02:15:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_score)

With 45.21 LIT at 2.738$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 2.9153 (6.46 %)

LIT SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 31 Oct 2026 02:15 → 05:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 2.7384$

Qty 45.2112 LIT

Size 123.8063$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 123.81$

SL 2.9153 (-6.46%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status win PnL +1.35% / +1.68$ MAE -1.11% MFE +1.87% 0.3R expires 31 Oct 05:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 237126)
#67 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1246

Quality Score
0.354
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#67 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.46 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#67 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.46 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -1.44×ATR
4h clear —
1d clear 1.31×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.25
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
24.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 02:03
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

29/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

30/10 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

31/10 01:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7408
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 11.1%
Macro btc_defensive
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→-0.006
Δ 1h
▼-0.081
Δ 4h
▼-0.621
Δ 12h
▼-0.323
Δ 24h
▼-0.564

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 41.2%
1h 51.0%
4h 2.0%
24h 47.1%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 41.2% -0.04%
4h 9.8% -1.25%
24h 70.6% -0.30%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
3.9%
Expansion
3.9%
Tail ↑
+0.27
Tail ↓
+0.35
Dispersion : 0.092
Universe : 51 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+1 added · -1 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 31/10 02:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3197
Score SMA
0.2587
Rank
#79 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1136
Rank Norm SMA
0.1720
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1814 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.64% · r3d: -9.17% · ema21_slope: -0.8249% · dist_ema21: -14.136%
Force Relative 25% 0.3647 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.42% · rs_3d: -4.78% · beta_24h: 2.490
Volume 20% 0.4637 rvol_20: 1.57× · zscore_50: 0.159 · trend: 11.52%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5423 ADX: 14.9 (weak) · Chop: 48.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 13.012% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.3535
Score SMA
0.4789
Rank
#67 / 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1246
Rank Norm SMA
0.3124
Calculé le
31/10/2026 02:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2760 r1h: -0.150% · r4h: -1.941% · r1d: -6.25% · r3d: -9.83% · ema21_slope: -0.2017% · dist_ema21: -1.842%
Force Relative 25% 0.3511 rs_1h: -0.250% · rs_4h: -1.754% · rs_1d: -4.61% · rs_3d: -5.32% · beta_24h: 1.555
Volume 20% 0.1513 rvol_20: 0.29× · zscore_50: -0.730 · trend: -79.12%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.3398 ADX: 18.2 (weak) · Chop: 76.7 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.446% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.2852
Score SMA
0.3949
Rank
#68 / 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0301
Rank Norm SMA
0.1830
Calculé le
31/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2128 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.909% · r1d: -6.07% · r3d: -9.52% · ema21_slope: -0.3585% · dist_ema21: -5.542%
Force Relative 25% 0.3437 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.627% · rs_1d: -4.69% · rs_3d: -4.60% · beta_24h: 3.613
Volume 20% 0.2031 rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -0.527 · trend: -21.32%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6190 ADX: 14.3 (weak) · Chop: 37.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0194 ATR%: 5.942% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.460% (0.1769)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.172% 0.0R -1.114% 0.2R 0.2× 12
2h +1.264% 0.2R -1.114% 0.2R 1.1× 24
3h ★ +1.866% 0.3R -1.114% 0.2R 1.7× 36
4h +1.866% 0.3R -1.114% 0.2R 1.7× 48
8h +1.866% 0.3R -1.114% 0.2R 1.7× 96
12h +1.866% 0.3R -9.999% 1.6R 0.2× 144
24h +1.866% 0.3R -16.805% 2.6R 0.1× 288
48h +1.866% 0.3R -21.520% 3.3R 0.1× 576
72h +1.866% 0.3R -21.520% 3.3R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 139 min MAE in 1364 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 5 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.69
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced normal bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 41% mid — — 0.42 range_high -0.57% -0.97 29/10 20:00
4h ↓ down range range strong explosive volatile_reversal bear_high
46%
noisy_chop 38% early — — 0.52 bear_high -4.70% -0.61 30/10 20:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 40% early near -1.4ATR — 0.47 bear_medium -2.36% -0.23 31/10 01:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 38% early near -0.6ATR — 0.51 range_low -0.39% -0.13 31/10 01:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#466426
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced 0.501 normal bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 41% mid 9b -1.3ATR — — 1.57 77% ↔ +0.15 below_value -3.61 — #220905 0.42 range_high -0.57% -0.97
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:35
4h
#467989
 ↓ down range range strong explosive 0.280 volatile_reversal bear_high
46%
noisy_chop 38% early 6b -0.8ATR — — 0.23 20% ↑ +0.49 below_value -4.57 inside #221604 0.52 bear_high -4.70% -0.61
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 00:20
1h anchor
#468679
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.481 compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 40% early 11b -1.0ATR near -1.4ATR — 0.29 17% ↓ -0.75 below_value -5.32 — #221952 0.47 bear_medium -2.36% -0.23
31/10 01:00
upd 31/10 02:13
15m
#468608
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.519 compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 38% early 16b -1.1ATR near -0.6ATR — 0.39 5% ↓ -0.44 below_value -5.10 — #221812 0.51 range_low -0.39% -0.13
31/10 01:45
upd 31/10 02:04
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 9b — 3.359×ATR p40 -1.312×ATR p70
4h ↑ up early 6b — 1.113×ATR p0 -0.774×ATR p46
1h ↑ up early 11b — 0.767×ATR p0 -1.013×ATR p55
15m ↓ down early 16b — 3.338×ATR p46 -1.122×ATR p52

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 2.91534735
  2. atr: 0.05898245
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-31T09:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 66
  2. total: 70
  3. score: 0.2788
  4. confidence: 0.942

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
2.7384 2.9153 3.1531
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 2.7384
  • Stop Loss: 2.9153
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 2.9153 - 2.7384 = 0.1769

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 2.7384 - = 2.7384

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.7384 / 0.1769 = 15.4799

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
123.8063 100 45.2112 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.1769

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1769 = 45.22

Taille de position USD = 45.22 x 2.7384 = 123.83

Donc, tu peux acheter 45.22 avec un stoploss a 2.9153

Avec un position size USD de 123.83$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 45.22 x 0.1769 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 45.22 x 2.7384 = 123.83

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 123.83$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 45.22
  • Taille de position USD 123.83
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 123.83
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 15.4799

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 123.81 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.46 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
1.68 $ 1.35
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.1138 % 17.24 % 12
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
2.7384 2.9153 3.1531
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 2.7384
  • Stop Loss: 2.9153
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 2.9153 - 2.7384 = 0.1769

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 2.7384 - = 2.7384

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.7384 / 0.1769 = 15.4799

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.460% (0.1769)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.172% 0.0R -1.114% 0.2R 0.2× 12
2h +1.264% 0.2R -1.114% 0.2R 1.1× 24
3h ★ +1.866% 0.3R -1.114% 0.2R 1.7× 36
4h +1.866% 0.3R -1.114% 0.2R 1.7× 48
8h +1.866% 0.3R -1.114% 0.2R 1.7× 96
12h +1.866% 0.3R -9.999% 1.6R 0.2× 144
24h +1.866% 0.3R -16.805% 2.6R 0.1× 288
48h +1.866% 0.3R -21.520% 3.3R 0.1× 576
72h +1.866% 0.3R -21.520% 3.3R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 139 min MAE in 1364 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 5 hours ago

Commentaires

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