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Short Trade on PONS

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31 Oct 2026 at 02:15:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on PONS (momentum_rotation_score)

With 516.12 PONS at 0.224$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2398 (6.91 %)

PONS SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 31 Oct 2026 02:15 → 05:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.2243$

Qty 516.1197 PONS

Size 115.7605$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 115.77$

SL 0.2398 (-6.91%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -0.92% / -1.06$ MAE -2.28% MFE +0.44% 0.1R expires 31 Oct 05:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 237132)
#59 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0644

Quality Score
0.407
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#59 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#59 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.73×ATR
4h clear —
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d — — OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.25
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
7.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 02:03
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

29/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

30/10 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

31/10 01:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7408
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 11.1%
Macro btc_defensive
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→-0.006
Δ 1h
▼-0.081
Δ 4h
▼-0.621
Δ 12h
▼-0.323
Δ 24h
▼-0.564

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 41.2%
1h 51.0%
4h 2.0%
24h 47.1%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 41.2% -0.04%
4h 9.8% -1.25%
24h 70.6% -0.30%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
3.9%
Expansion
3.9%
Tail ↑
+0.27
Tail ↓
+0.35
Dispersion : 0.092
Universe : 51 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+1 added · -1 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 31/10 02:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2401
Score SMA
0.2589
Rank
#88 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0114
Rank Norm SMA
0.2007
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1676 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.29% · r3d: -12.47% · ema21_slope: -1.9104% · dist_ema21: -20.323%
Force Relative 25% 0.3583 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.07% · rs_3d: -8.08% · beta_24h: 3.638
Volume 20% 0.1999 rvol_20: 0.83× · zscore_50: -0.784 · trend: -61.36%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4016 ADX: 24.8 (weak) · Chop: 75.9 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 20.823% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.4068
Score SMA
0.5369
Rank
#59 / 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0644
Rank Norm SMA
0.5022
Calculé le
31/10/2026 02:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1666 r1h: -1.159% · r4h: -5.292% · r1d: -4.26% · r3d: -26.78% · ema21_slope: -0.2335% · dist_ema21: -4.848%
Force Relative 25% 0.1835 rs_1h: -1.258% · rs_4h: -5.104% · rs_1d: -2.62% · rs_3d: -22.27% · beta_24h: 1.716
Volume 20% 0.6893 rvol_20: 2.58× · zscore_50: 0.945 · trend: 20.66%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4528 ADX: 17.9 (weak) · Chop: 62.5 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.528% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.2939
Score SMA
0.4528
Rank
#67 / 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0204
Rank Norm SMA
0.3821
Calculé le
31/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1826 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.978% · r1d: -0.90% · r3d: -21.47% · ema21_slope: -0.5188% · dist_ema21: -7.403%
Force Relative 25% 0.3714 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.696% · rs_1d: 0.48% · rs_3d: -16.55% · beta_24h: 3.065
Volume 20% 0.2051 rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.355 · trend: -28.41%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6897 ADX: 22.8 (weak) · Chop: 36.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0176 ATR%: 5.947% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.910% (0.0155)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -2.278% 0.3R 0.0× 12
2h +0.441% 0.1R -2.278% 0.3R 0.2× 24
3h ★ +0.441% 0.1R -2.278% 0.3R 0.2× 36
4h +0.441% 0.1R -2.278% 0.3R 0.2× 48
8h +0.441% 0.1R -2.278% 0.3R 0.2× 96
12h +0.441% 0.1R -3.660% 0.5R 0.1× 144
24h +0.441% 0.1R -9.313% 1.4R 0.1× 288
48h +0.441% 0.1R -10.655% 1.5R 0.0× 576
72h +10.531% 1.5R -10.655% 1.5R 1.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 104 min MAE in 1284 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 6 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.25
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ — — — — — — bear_high
38%
noisy_chop 46% — — — — range_high -0.57% -1.00 29/10 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate grind expansion bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 39% mid — — 0.41 bear_high -4.70% -0.47 30/10 20:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high_confirmed
53%
noisy_chop 47% late near -0.7ATR — 0.63 bear_medium -2.36% -0.58 31/10 01:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate fading expansion bear_high_confirmed
55%
choppy 49% late — — 0.70 range_low -0.39% -0.49 31/10 01:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#466458
 ↔ — — — — — — bear_high
38%
noisy_chop 46% — — — 0.83 23% ↓ -0.44 above_value -0.55 inside #220912 — range_high -0.57% -1.00
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:37
4h
#468007
 ↓ down range range moderate grind 0.472 expansion bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 39% mid 6b -1.2ATR — — 0.41 26% ↓ -0.60 above_value -1.09 — #221610 0.41 bear_high -4.70% -0.47
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 00:21
1h anchor
#468685
 ↓ down range range moderate fading 0.752 compression bear_high_confirmed
53%
noisy_chop 47% late 4b -2.6ATR near -0.7ATR — 2.58 94% ↓ -0.21 above_value -2.43 — #221958 0.63 bear_medium -2.36% -0.58
31/10 01:00
upd 31/10 02:13
15m
#468614
 ↓ down range range moderate fading 0.724 expansion bear_high_confirmed
55%
choppy 49% late 20b -3.0ATR — — 0.98 73% ↑ +0.54 above_value -1.75 — #221818 0.70 range_low -0.39% -0.49
31/10 01:45
upd 31/10 02:04
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
4h ↑ up mid 6b — 1.042×ATR p0 -1.242×ATR p68
1h ↓ down late 4b — 2.766×ATR p61 -2.565×ATR p90
15m ↑ up late 20b — 0×ATR p0 -3.023×ATR p95

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.23979028
  2. atr: 0.00516676
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-31T09:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 69
  2. total: 70
  3. score: 0.1976
  4. confidence: 0.986

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2243 0.2398 0.2
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2243
  • Stop Loss: 0.2398
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2398 - 0.2243 = 0.0155

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2243 - = 0.2243

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2243 / 0.0155 = 14.471

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
115.7605 100 516.1197 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0155

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0155 = 516.13

Taille de position USD = 516.13 x 0.2243 = 115.77

Donc, tu peux acheter 516.13 avec un stoploss a 0.2398

Avec un position size USD de 115.77$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 516.13 x 0.0155 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 516.13 x 0.2243 = 115.77

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 115.77$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 516.13
  • Taille de position USD 115.77
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 115.77
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 14.471

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 115.77 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.91 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-1.06 $ -0.92
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.2782 % 32.97 % 8
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2243 0.2398 0.2
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2243
  • Stop Loss: 0.2398
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2398 - 0.2243 = 0.0155

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2243 - = 0.2243

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2243 / 0.0155 = 14.471

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.910% (0.0155)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -2.278% 0.3R 0.0× 12
2h +0.441% 0.1R -2.278% 0.3R 0.2× 24
3h ★ +0.441% 0.1R -2.278% 0.3R 0.2× 36
4h +0.441% 0.1R -2.278% 0.3R 0.2× 48
8h +0.441% 0.1R -2.278% 0.3R 0.2× 96
12h +0.441% 0.1R -3.660% 0.5R 0.1× 144
24h +0.441% 0.1R -9.313% 1.4R 0.1× 288
48h +0.441% 0.1R -10.655% 1.5R 0.0× 576
72h +10.531% 1.5R -10.655% 1.5R 1.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 104 min MAE in 1284 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 6 hours ago

Commentaires

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