Short Trade on PONS (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 596.31 PONS at 0.224$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2187 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2377 (5.97 %)
31 Oct 2026 at 02:15:14
hyperliquid
PONS
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
31 Oct 2026 02:15
→ 08:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.2243$
Qty 596.3065 PONS
Size 133.7456$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2187 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.34$
SL 0.2377 (-5.97%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.42
Status
loss
PnL
-0.94%
/ -1.25$
MAE -2.28%
MFE +0.44%
0.1R
expires
31 Oct 08:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 237132)
#59 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 02:00
score du 31/10/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0644
Quality Score
0.407
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#59 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#59 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.73×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.25
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
7.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 02:03
31/10 02:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 30/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 31/10 01:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7408
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
11.1%
Macro
btc_defensive
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→-0.006
Δ 1h
▼-0.081
Δ 4h
▼-0.621
Δ 12h
▼-0.323
Δ 24h
▼-0.564
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 41.2% |
| 1h | 51.0% |
| 4h | 2.0% |
| 24h | 47.1% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 41.2% | -0.04% |
| 4h | 9.8% | -1.25% |
| 24h | 70.6% | -0.30% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
3.9%
Expansion
3.9%
Tail ↑
+0.27
Tail ↓
+0.35
Dispersion :
0.092
Universe :
51
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-1 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
31/10 02:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2401
Score SMA
0.2589
Rank
#88
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0114
Rank Norm SMA
0.2007
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1676 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.29% · r3d: -12.47% · ema21_slope: -1.9104% · dist_ema21: -20.323% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3583 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.07% · rs_3d: -8.08% · beta_24h: 3.638 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1999 | rvol_20: 0.83× · zscore_50: -0.784 · trend: -61.36% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4016 | ADX: 24.8 (weak) · Chop: 75.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 20.823% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.4068
Score SMA
0.5369
Rank
#59
/ 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0644
Rank Norm SMA
0.5022
Calculé le
31/10/2026 02:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1666 | r1h: -1.159% · r4h: -5.292% · r1d: -4.26% · r3d: -26.78% · ema21_slope: -0.2335% · dist_ema21: -4.848% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1835 | rs_1h: -1.258% · rs_4h: -5.104% · rs_1d: -2.62% · rs_3d: -22.27% · beta_24h: 1.716 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6893 | rvol_20: 2.58× · zscore_50: 0.945 · trend: 20.66% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4528 | ADX: 17.9 (weak) · Chop: 62.5 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.528% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.2939
Score SMA
0.4528
Rank
#67
/ 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0204
Rank Norm SMA
0.3821
Calculé le
31/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1826 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.978% · r1d: -0.90% · r3d: -21.47% · ema21_slope: -0.5188% · dist_ema21: -7.403% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3714 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.696% · rs_1d: 0.48% · rs_3d: -16.55% · beta_24h: 3.065 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2051 | rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.355 · trend: -28.41% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6897 | ADX: 22.8 (weak) · Chop: 36.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0176 | ATR%: 5.947% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.974%
(0.0134)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.278% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.441% | 0.1R | -2.278% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.441% | 0.1R | -2.278% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.441% | 0.1R | -2.278% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.441% | 0.1R | -2.278% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.441% | 0.1R | -3.660% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.441% | 0.1R | -9.313% | 1.6R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.441% | 0.1R | -10.655% | 1.8R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.531% | 1.8R | -10.655% | 1.8R | 1.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 104 min
MAE in 1284 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 10 hours ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.26
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 46% | — | — | — | — | range_high | -0.57% | -1.00 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.41 | bear_high | -4.70% | -0.47 | 30/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.63 | bear_medium | -2.36% | -0.58 | 31/10 01:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
55%
|
choppy 49% | late | — | — | 0.70 | range_low | -0.39% | -0.49 | 31/10 01:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#466458
|
↔ | — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 46% | — | — | — | 0.83 | 23% | ↓ -0.44 | above_value | -0.55 | inside | #220912 | — | range_high | -0.57% | -1.00 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:37
|
|
4h
#468007
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.472 | expansion | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid 6b -1.2ATR | — | — | 0.41 | 26% | ↓ -0.60 | above_value | -1.09 | — | #221610 | 0.41 | bear_high | -4.70% | -0.47 |
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 00:21
|
|
1h
anchor #468685
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.752 | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 4b -2.6ATR | near -0.7ATR | — | 2.58 | 94% | ↓ -0.21 | above_value | -2.43 | — | #221958 | 0.63 | bear_medium | -2.36% | -0.58 |
31/10 01:00
upd 31/10 02:13
|
|
15m
#468614
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.724 | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
55%
|
choppy 49% | late 20b -3.0ATR | — | — | 0.98 | 73% | ↑ +0.54 | above_value | -1.75 | — | #221818 | 0.70 | range_low | -0.39% | -0.49 |
31/10 01:45
upd 31/10 02:04
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 1.042×ATR | p0 | -1.242×ATR | p68 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 2.766×ATR | p61 | -2.565×ATR | p90 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 20b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -3.023×ATR | p95 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.23770592
- tp_price: 0.21868275
- atr: 0.00536637
- expires_at: 2026-10-31T12:15:14+00:00
Details
- rank: 69
- total: 70
- score: 0.1976
- delta_2h: -0.0526
- extension_atr: -1.73
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0663
- confidence: 0.986
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2243 | 0.2377 | 0.2187 | 0.42 | 0.2008 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2243
- Stop Loss: 0.2377
- Take Profit: 0.2187
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2377 - 0.2243 = 0.0134
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2243 - 0.2187 = 0.0056
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0056 / 0.0134 = 0.4179
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133.7456 | 100 | 596.3065 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0134
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0134 = 597.01
Taille de position USD = 597.01 x 0.2243 = 133.91
Donc, tu peux acheter 597.01 avec un stoploss a 0.2377
Avec un position size USD de 133.91$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 597.01 x 0.0134 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 597.01 x 0.0056 = 3.34
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.34$
Résumé
- Taille de position 597.01
- Taille de position USD 133.91
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.34
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4179
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.34 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.97 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.25 $ | -0.94 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.2782 % | 38.13 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2243 | 0.2377 | 0.2187 | 0.42 | 0.2008 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2243
- Stop Loss: 0.2377
- Take Profit: 0.2187
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2377 - 0.2243 = 0.0134
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2243 - 0.2187 = 0.0056
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0056 / 0.0134 = 0.4179
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.974%
(0.0134)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.278% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.441% | 0.1R | -2.278% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.441% | 0.1R | -2.278% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.441% | 0.1R | -2.278% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.441% | 0.1R | -2.278% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.441% | 0.1R | -3.660% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.441% | 0.1R | -9.313% | 1.6R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.441% | 0.1R | -10.655% | 1.8R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.531% | 1.8R | -10.655% | 1.8R | 1.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 104 min
MAE in 1284 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 10 hours ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.