31 Oct 2026 at 02:15:14 hyperliquid

Short Trade on GRASS (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 273.37 GRASS at 0.58$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5659 (2.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6097 (5.03 %)

GRASS SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 31 Oct 2026 02:15 → 08:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.5805$

Qty 273.3739 GRASS

Size 158.6826$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.5659 (+2.52%)

TP $ 3.99$

SL 0.6097 (-5.03%)

SL $ 7.98$

RR 0.5

Status loss PnL -0.50% / -0.79$ MAE -0.69% MFE +1.56% 0.3R expires 31 Oct 08:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 237105)
#65 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0856

Quality Score
0.369
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#65 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.03 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#65 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.03 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.85×ATR
4h near -1.31×ATR
1d clear 0.83×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.25
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 02:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

29/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

30/10 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

31/10 01:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7408
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 11.1%
Macro btc_defensive
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→-0.006
Δ 1h
▼-0.081
Δ 4h
▼-0.621
Δ 12h
▼-0.323
Δ 24h
▼-0.564

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 41.2%
1h 51.0%
4h 2.0%
24h 47.1%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 41.2% -0.04%
4h 9.8% -1.25%
24h 70.6% -0.30%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
3.9%
Expansion
3.9%
Tail ↑
+0.27
Tail ↓
+0.35
Dispersion : 0.092
Universe : 51 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+1 added · -1 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 31/10 02:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3665
Score SMA
0.5028
Rank
#53 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4091
Rank Norm SMA
0.8073
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4956 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.53% · r3d: -21.31% · ema21_slope: 0.2346% · dist_ema21: -9.039%
Force Relative 25% 0.3443 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.31% · rs_3d: -16.92% · beta_24h: 3.333
Volume 20% 0.2717 rvol_20: 0.71× · zscore_50: -0.286 · trend: -7.18%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5161 ADX: 26.3 (trend) · Chop: 63.3 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 14.165% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.3694
Score SMA
0.5294
Rank
#65 / 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0856
Rank Norm SMA
0.4937
Calculé le
31/10/2026 02:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2664 r1h: 0.118% · r4h: -2.173% · r1d: -2.56% · r3d: -22.56% · ema21_slope: -0.1330% · dist_ema21: -2.198%
Force Relative 25% 0.3229 rs_1h: 0.018% · rs_4h: -1.985% · rs_1d: -0.92% · rs_3d: -18.06% · beta_24h: 1.647
Volume 20% 0.1900 rvol_20: 0.59× · zscore_50: -0.364 · trend: -53.82%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5266 ADX: 29.4 (trend) · Chop: 65.2 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.126% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.3328
Score SMA
0.5061
Rank
#66 / 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0334
Rank Norm SMA
0.5476
Calculé le
31/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2103 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.822% · r1d: 1.86% · r3d: -22.26% · ema21_slope: -0.7567% · dist_ema21: -7.279%
Force Relative 25% 0.3681 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.540% · rs_1d: 3.24% · rs_3d: -17.35% · beta_24h: 2.013
Volume 20% 0.1714 rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -0.654 · trend: -38.74%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7094 ADX: 25.1 (trend) · Chop: 37.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.3697 ATR%: 4.891% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.030% (0.0292)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.401% 0.1R -0.689% 0.1R 0.6× 12
2h +0.839% 0.2R -0.689% 0.1R 1.2× 24
4h +1.556% 0.3R -0.689% 0.1R 2.3× 48
6h ★ +1.556% 0.3R -0.689% 0.1R 2.3× 72
8h +1.556% 0.3R -1.611% 0.3R 1.0× 96
12h +1.556% 0.3R -2.805% 0.6R 0.6× 144
24h +1.556% 0.3R -3.165% 0.6R 0.5× 288
48h +1.556% 0.3R -5.897% 1.2R 0.3× 576
72h +6.570% 1.3R -5.897% 1.2R 1.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 224 min MAE in 1439 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 11 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.49
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 41% early — — 0.44 range_high -0.57% -0.51 29/10 20:00
4h ↓ down range range strong grind compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 49% mid near -1.3ATR — 0.39 bear_high -4.70% -0.96 30/10 20:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 41% mid near -0.9ATR — 0.58 bear_medium -2.36% -0.17 31/10 01:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 42% late — — 0.60 range_low -0.39% -0.20 31/10 01:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#466292
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.662 expansion_after_compression bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 41% early 2b -0.8ATR — — 0.71 81% ↓ -0.39 below_value -8.02 — #220877 0.44 range_high -0.57% -0.51
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:28
4h
#467922
↓ down range range strong grind 0.358 compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 49% mid 6b -1.5ATR near -1.3ATR — 0.22 7% ↓ -0.28 below_value -9.76 — #221582 0.39 bear_high -4.70% -0.96
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 00:17
1h anchor
#468657
↓ down range range moderate fading 0.730 compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 41% mid 13b -1.1ATR near -0.9ATR — 0.59 45% ↓ -0.61 below_value -10.96 — #221930 0.58 bear_medium -2.36% -0.17
31/10 01:00
upd 31/10 02:12
15m
#468586
↓ down range range moderate fading 0.744 compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 42% late 14b -2.0ATR — — 0.64 33% ↑ +0.75 below_value -10.46 — #221790 0.60 range_low -0.39% -0.20
31/10 01:45
upd 31/10 02:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 2b — 2.147×ATR p5 -0.768×ATR p41
4h ↑ up mid 6b — 1.299×ATR p0 -1.544×ATR p73
1h ↓ down mid 13b — 2.843×ATR p58 -1.1×ATR p57
15m ↓ down late 14b — 4.43×ATR p81 -1.973×ATR p87

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.60972395
  2. tp_price: 0.5659485
  3. atr: 0.01170558
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-31T12:15:14+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 67
  2. total: 70
  3. score: 0.2593
  4. delta_2h: -0.0333
  5. extension_atr: -0.76
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0838
  9. confidence: 0.957

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 02:15 0.58046000 -0.007%
2 04:15 0.57745000 -0.525%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.5805 0.6097 0.5659 0.5 0.5663
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.5805
  • Stop Loss: 0.6097
  • Take Profit: 0.5659

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.6097 - 0.5805 = 0.0292

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.5805 - 0.5659 = 0.0146

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0146 / 0.0292 = 0.5

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
158.6826 100 273.3739 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0292

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0292 = 273.97

Taille de position USD = 273.97 x 0.5805 = 159.04

Donc, tu peux acheter 273.97 avec un stoploss a 0.6097

Avec un position size USD de 159.04$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 273.97 x 0.0292 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 273.97 x 0.0146 = 4

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 273.97
  • Taille de position USD 159.04
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.52 % 3.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.03 % 7.98 $
PNL PNL %
-0.79 $ -0.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6891 % 13.7 % 17
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.5805 0.6097 0.5659 0.5 0.5663
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.5805
  • Stop Loss: 0.6097
  • Take Profit: 0.5659

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.6097 - 0.5805 = 0.0292

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.5805 - 0.5659 = 0.0146

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0146 / 0.0292 = 0.5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.030% (0.0292)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.401% 0.1R -0.689% 0.1R 0.6× 12
2h +0.839% 0.2R -0.689% 0.1R 1.2× 24
4h +1.556% 0.3R -0.689% 0.1R 2.3× 48
6h ★ +1.556% 0.3R -0.689% 0.1R 2.3× 72
8h +1.556% 0.3R -1.611% 0.3R 1.0× 96
12h +1.556% 0.3R -2.805% 0.6R 0.6× 144
24h +1.556% 0.3R -3.165% 0.6R 0.5× 288
48h +1.556% 0.3R -5.897% 1.2R 0.3× 576
72h +6.570% 1.3R -5.897% 1.2R 1.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 224 min MAE in 1439 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 11 hours ago

Commentaires

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