31 Oct 2026 at 02:15:15 hyperliquid

Short Trade on VVV (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 8.96 VVV at 22.118$ per unit. Take profit: 21.5651 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 23.0109 (4.04 %)

VVV SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 31 Oct 2026 02:15 → 08:10 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 22.118$

Qty 8.9591 VVV

Size 198.1572$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 21.5651 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.95$

SL 23.0109 (-4.04%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.62

Status loss PnL -1.94% / -3.85$ MAE -2.27% MFE +0.08% 0.0R expires 31 Oct 08:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 237114)
#66 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1757

Quality Score
0.368
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#66 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.04 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#66 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.04 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.58×ATR
4h near -0.31×ATR
1d near -0.83×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.25
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
5.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 02:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

29/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

30/10 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

31/10 01:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7408
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 11.1%
Macro btc_defensive
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→-0.006
Δ 1h
▼-0.081
Δ 4h
▼-0.621
Δ 12h
▼-0.323
Δ 24h
▼-0.564

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 41.2%
1h 51.0%
4h 2.0%
24h 47.1%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 41.2% -0.04%
4h 9.8% -1.25%
24h 70.6% -0.30%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
3.9%
Expansion
3.9%
Tail ↑
+0.27
Tail ↓
+0.35
Dispersion : 0.092
Universe : 51 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+1 added · -1 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 31/10 02:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3124
Score SMA
0.3825
Rank
#81 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0909
Rank Norm SMA
0.5731
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3596 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.83% · r3d: -13.10% · ema21_slope: -0.0077% · dist_ema21: -7.470%
Force Relative 25% 0.3850 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.61% · rs_3d: -8.71% · beta_24h: 2.214
Volume 20% 0.1622 rvol_20: 0.44× · zscore_50: -1.054 · trend: -25.67%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5053 ADX: 21.5 (weak) · Chop: 59.7 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 10.781% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.3684
Score SMA
0.4996
Rank
#66 / 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1757
Rank Norm SMA
0.4060
Calculé le
31/10/2026 02:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2960 r1h: -0.869% · r4h: -2.201% · r1d: -3.87% · r3d: -9.23% · ema21_slope: -0.0794% · dist_ema21: -1.554%
Force Relative 25% 0.3505 rs_1h: -0.969% · rs_4h: -2.013% · rs_1d: -2.22% · rs_3d: -4.73% · beta_24h: 1.262
Volume 20% 0.2520 rvol_20: 1.03× · zscore_50: -0.482 · trend: -60.87%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.3986 ADX: 13.3 (weak) · Chop: 64.4 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.711% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.3534
Score SMA
0.4574
Rank
#63 / 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1066
Rank Norm SMA
0.4339
Calculé le
31/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2882 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.115% · r1d: -1.44% · r3d: -10.73% · ema21_slope: -0.4180% · dist_ema21: -4.442%
Force Relative 25% 0.4049 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.833% · rs_1d: -0.06% · rs_3d: -5.82% · beta_24h: 2.958
Volume 20% 0.1348 rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -0.978 · trend: -57.99%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5703 ADX: 16.9 (weak) · Chop: 46.9 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.5322 ATR%: 4.403% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.037% (0.8929)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.018% 0.0R -1.112% 0.3R 0.0× 12
2h +0.018% 0.0R -1.198% 0.3R 0.0× 24
4h +0.077% 0.0R -1.799% 0.5R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.077% 0.0R -2.274% 0.6R 0.0× 72
8h +0.077% 0.0R -3.739% 0.9R 0.0× 96
12h +0.077% 0.0R -6.461% 1.6R 0.0× 144
24h +0.077% 0.0R -8.509% 2.1R 0.0× 288
48h +0.077% 0.0R -8.509% 2.1R 0.0× 576
72h +4.512% 1.1R -8.509% 2.1R 0.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 139 min MAE in 1164 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 12 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.03
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range strong balanced compression bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 39% early near -0.8ATR — 0.38 range_high -0.57% +0.58 29/10 20:00
4h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 46% mid near -0.3ATR — 0.54 bear_high -4.70% -0.78 30/10 20:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 39% mid near -0.6ATR — 0.57 bear_medium -2.36% -0.13 31/10 01:00
15m ↓ down transition bullish_transition strong grind compression bear_medium
58%
noisy_chop 44% late near -1.6ATR — 0.70 range_low -0.39% -0.23 31/10 01:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#466339
↔ neutral range range strong balanced 0.537 compression bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 39% early 8b -0.8ATR near -0.8ATR — 0.44 42% ↓ -0.24 below_value -6.38 — #220888 0.38 range_high -0.57% +0.58
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:30
4h
#467949
↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate balanced 0.446 expansion_after_compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 46% mid 8b -0.9ATR near -0.3ATR — 0.27 9% ↓ -0.55 below_value -7.61 — #221591 0.54 bear_high -4.70% -0.78
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 00:18
1h anchor
#468666
↓ down range range moderate fading 0.610 compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 39% mid 5b -1.2ATR near -0.6ATR — 1.03 30% ↓ -0.28 below_value -8.78 inside #221939 0.57 bear_medium -2.36% -0.13
31/10 01:00
upd 31/10 02:12
15m
#468595
↓ down transition bullish_transition strong grind 0.441 compression bear_medium
58%
noisy_chop 44% late 23b -2.4ATR near -1.6ATR — 0.99 39% ↑ +0.29 below_value -8.21 — #221799 0.70 range_low -0.39% -0.23
31/10 01:45
upd 31/10 02:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 8b — 2.318×ATR p0 -0.818×ATR p47
4h ↓ down mid 8b — 3.545×ATR p56 -0.934×ATR p53
1h ↓ down mid 5b — 2.082×ATR p30 -1.175×ATR p62
15m ↓ down late 23b — 6.226×ATR p86 -2.442×ATR p89

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 23.01094744
  2. tp_price: 21.56505
  3. atr: 0.35717898
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-31T12:15:15+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 65
  2. total: 70
  3. score: 0.2907
  4. delta_2h: -0.0362
  5. extension_atr: -0.87
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1683
  9. confidence: 0.928

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
22.118 23.0109 21.5651 0.62 22.464
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 22.118
  • Stop Loss: 23.0109
  • Take Profit: 21.5651

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 23.0109 - 22.118 = 0.8929

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 22.118 - 21.5651 = 0.5529

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5529 / 0.8929 = 0.6192

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
198.1572 100 8.9591 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.8929

Taille de position = 8 / 0.8929 = 8.96

Taille de position USD = 8.96 x 22.118 = 198.18

Donc, tu peux acheter 8.96 avec un stoploss a 23.0109

Avec un position size USD de 198.18$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 8.96 x 0.8929 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 8.96 x 0.5529 = 4.95

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.95$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 8.96
  • Taille de position USD 198.18
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.95
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6192

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 4.95 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.04 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-3.85 $ -1.94
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.2742 % 56.33 % 5
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
22.118 23.0109 21.5651 0.62 22.464
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 22.118
  • Stop Loss: 23.0109
  • Take Profit: 21.5651

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 23.0109 - 22.118 = 0.8929

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 22.118 - 21.5651 = 0.5529

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5529 / 0.8929 = 0.6192

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.037% (0.8929)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.018% 0.0R -1.112% 0.3R 0.0× 12
2h +0.018% 0.0R -1.198% 0.3R 0.0× 24
4h +0.077% 0.0R -1.799% 0.5R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.077% 0.0R -2.274% 0.6R 0.0× 72
8h +0.077% 0.0R -3.739% 0.9R 0.0× 96
12h +0.077% 0.0R -6.461% 1.6R 0.0× 144
24h +0.077% 0.0R -8.509% 2.1R 0.0× 288
48h +0.077% 0.0R -8.509% 2.1R 0.0× 576
72h +4.512% 1.1R -8.509% 2.1R 0.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 139 min MAE in 1164 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 12 hours ago

Commentaires

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