Short Trade on INIT (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 494.27 INIT at 0.184$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1792 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2 (8.81 %)
31 Oct 2026 at 05:15:12
hyperliquid
INIT
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
31 Oct 2026 05:15
→ 06:35
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.1838$
Qty 494.2653 INIT
Size 90.8361$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1792 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.27$
SL 0.2 (-8.81%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.28
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +2.27$
MAE -0.00%
MFE +8.57%
1.0R
expires
31 Oct 11:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 237392)
#68 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 05:00
score du 31/10/2026 05:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0331
Quality Score
0.333
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#68 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#68 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.99×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.11×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.31×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
recovering
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.20
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 05:02
31/10 05:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 31/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/10 04:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7420
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
29.3%
Macro
btc_defensive
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.065
Δ 4h
▲+0.101
Δ 12h
▼-0.146
Δ 24h
▼-0.065
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 74.0% |
| 1h | 10.0% |
| 4h | 40.0% |
| 24h | 46.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 74.0% | +0.07% |
| 4h | 28.0% | -0.20% |
| 24h | 62.0% | -0.05% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
4.0%
Expansion
4.0%
Tail ↑
+0.27
Tail ↓
+0.63
Dispersion :
0.110
Universe :
50
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
31/10 05:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7217
Score SMA
0.8146
Rank
#2
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9886
Rank Norm SMA
0.9984
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8571 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -13.45% · r3d: 13.79% · ema21_slope: 2.9813% · dist_ema21: 23.883% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7500 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -12.67% · rs_3d: 18.18% · beta_24h: 1.148 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6421 | rvol_20: 1.54× · zscore_50: 1.139 · trend: 227.54% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9913 | ADX: 59.0 (trend) · Chop: 14.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 14.087% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.3332
Score SMA
0.5735
Rank
#68
/ 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0331
Rank Norm SMA
0.6504
Calculé le
31/10/2026 05:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2850 | r1h: -0.558% · r4h: 0.399% · r1d: -18.58% · r3d: -0.43% · ema21_slope: -0.5162% · dist_ema21: -3.217% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3949 | rs_1h: -0.554% · rs_4h: 0.195% · rs_1d: -17.70% · rs_3d: 4.67% · beta_24h: -0.614 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1310 | rvol_20: 0.26× · zscore_50: -1.034 · trend: -71.77% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4498 | ADX: 35.6 (trend) · Chop: 81.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7379 | ATR%: 3.786% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4666
Score SMA
0.6239
Rank
#30
/ 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4118
Rank Norm SMA
0.8407
Calculé le
31/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6532 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.046% · r1d: -14.57% · r3d: 4.51% · ema21_slope: 0.5763% · dist_ema21: -5.083% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5924 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.790% · rs_1d: -13.51% · rs_3d: 9.12% · beta_24h: 1.278 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1541 | rvol_20: 0.19× · zscore_50: -0.688 · trend: -51.09% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6114 | ADX: 31.7 (trend) · Chop: 57.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.429% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -8.814%
(0.0162)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.263% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +4.592% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +6.877% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +8.575% | 1.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 72 |
| 8h | +9.445% | 1.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +9.445% | 1.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +10.011% | 1.1R | -2.089% | 0.2R | 4.8× | 288 |
| 48h | +16.393% | 1.9R | -10.234% | 1.2R | 1.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +30.397% | 3.5R | -10.234% | 1.2R | 3.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1069 min
MAE in 974 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 day ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.39
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
73%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.35 | range_high | -0.57% | +1.00 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.18 | bear_high | -4.38% | +0.91 | 31/10 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.15 | bear_medium | -2.13% | -0.91 | 31/10 04:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.10 | range_low | -0.22% | -0.01 | 31/10 04:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#466354
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.717 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
73%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid 2b 1.2ATR | — | — | 1.54 | 98% | ↑ +0.93 | value | -3.01 | inside | #220891 | 0.35 | range_high | -0.57% | +1.00 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:31
|
|
4h
#469459
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.582 | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early 11b -0.5ATR | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.19 | 77% | ↓ -0.69 | value | -4.27 | — | #222222 | 0.18 | bear_high | -4.38% | +0.91 |
31/10 00:00
upd 31/10 04:18
|
|
1h
anchor #469817
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.499 | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid 12b -1.2ATR | — | — | 0.26 | 11% | ↓ -0.78 | value | -4.86 | — | #222432 | 0.15 | bear_medium | -2.13% | -0.91 |
31/10 04:00
upd 31/10 05:11
|
|
15m
#469746
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.528 | normal | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 6b -0.1ATR | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.17 | 2% | ↔ +0.05 | value | -4.27 | — | #222222 | 0.10 | range_low | -0.22% | -0.01 |
31/10 04:45
upd 31/10 05:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.628×ATR | p10 | +1.246×ATR | p70 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 11b | — | 2.757×ATR | p31 | -0.505×ATR | p33 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 12b | — | 1.309×ATR | p2 | -1.246×ATR | p71 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 0.43×ATR | p0 | -0.091×ATR | p13 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.19996564
- tp_price: 0.1791855
- atr: 0.00647426
- expires_at: 2026-10-31T15:15:12+00:00
Details
- rank: 68
- total: 69
- score: 0.2583
- delta_2h: -0.0362
- extension_atr: -0.76
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0331
- confidence: 0.985
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1838 | 0.2 | 0.1792 | 0.28 | 0.1448 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1838
- Stop Loss: 0.2
- Take Profit: 0.1792
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2 - 0.1838 = 0.0162
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1838 - 0.1792 = 0.0046
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0046 / 0.0162 = 0.284
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90.8361 | 90.8361 | 494.2653 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0162
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0162 = 493.83
Taille de position USD = 493.83 x 0.1838 = 90.77
Donc, tu peux acheter 493.83 avec un stoploss a 0.2
Avec un position size USD de 90.77$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 493.83 x 0.0162 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 493.83 x 0.0046 = 2.27
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.27$
Résumé
- Taille de position 493.83
- Taille de position USD 90.77
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.27
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.284
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.27 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.81 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.27 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1838 | 0.2 | 0.1792 | 0.28 | 0.1448 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1838
- Stop Loss: 0.2
- Take Profit: 0.1792
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2 - 0.1838 = 0.0162
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1838 - 0.1792 = 0.0046
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0046 / 0.0162 = 0.284
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -8.814%
(0.0162)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.263% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +4.592% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +6.877% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +8.575% | 1.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 72 |
| 8h | +9.445% | 1.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +9.445% | 1.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +10.011% | 1.1R | -2.089% | 0.2R | 4.8× | 288 |
| 48h | +16.393% | 1.9R | -10.234% | 1.2R | 1.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +30.397% | 3.5R | -10.234% | 1.2R | 3.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1069 min
MAE in 974 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 day ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.