Short Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 52.93 LIT at 2.705$ per unit. Take profit: 2.6372 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 2.8559 (5.59 %)
31 Oct 2026 at 05:15:12
hyperliquid
LIT
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
31 Oct 2026 05:15
→ 11:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 2.7048$
Qty 52.9338 LIT
Size 143.1755$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 2.6372 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.58$
SL 2.8559 (-5.59%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.45
Status
loss
PnL
-4.91%
/ -7.03$
MAE -5.04%
MFE +0.50%
0.1R
expires
31 Oct 11:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 237402)
#69 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 05:00
score du 31/10/2026 05:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0844
Quality Score
0.329
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#69 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.59 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#69 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.59 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.84×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.31×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
recovering
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.20
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
21.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 05:02
31/10 05:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/10 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7420
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
29.3%
Macro
btc_defensive
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.065
Δ 4h
▲+0.101
Δ 12h
▼-0.146
Δ 24h
▼-0.065
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 74.0% |
| 1h | 10.0% |
| 4h | 40.0% |
| 24h | 46.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 74.0% | +0.07% |
| 4h | 28.0% | -0.20% |
| 24h | 62.0% | -0.05% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
4.0%
Expansion
4.0%
Tail ↑
+0.27
Tail ↓
+0.63
Dispersion :
0.110
Universe :
50
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
31/10 05:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3197
Score SMA
0.2587
Rank
#79
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1136
Rank Norm SMA
0.1720
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1814 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.64% · r3d: -9.17% · ema21_slope: -0.8249% · dist_ema21: -14.136% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3647 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.42% · rs_3d: -4.78% · beta_24h: 2.490 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4637 | rvol_20: 1.57× · zscore_50: 0.159 · trend: 11.52% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5423 | ADX: 14.9 (weak) · Chop: 48.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 13.012% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.3294
Score SMA
0.4781
Rank
#69
/ 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0844
Rank Norm SMA
0.3103
Calculé le
31/10/2026 05:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3056 | r1h: -0.353% · r4h: -0.824% · r1d: -4.19% · r3d: -10.85% · ema21_slope: -0.1563% · dist_ema21: -2.065% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3747 | rs_1h: -0.349% · rs_4h: -1.028% · rs_1d: -3.31% · rs_3d: -5.75% · beta_24h: 0.984 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1608 | rvol_20: 0.53× · zscore_50: -0.672 · trend: -68.90% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.2660 | ADX: 17.9 (weak) · Chop: 85.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.292% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.2812
Score SMA
0.3928
Rank
#67
/ 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0221
Rank Norm SMA
0.1758
Calculé le
31/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1999 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.045% · r1d: -4.67% · r3d: -9.92% · ema21_slope: -0.3554% · dist_ema21: -5.971% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3316 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.300% · rs_1d: -3.62% · rs_3d: -5.30% · beta_24h: 3.576 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1853 | rvol_20: 0.24× · zscore_50: -0.499 · trend: -36.05% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6163 | ADX: 14.3 (weak) · Chop: 38.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0885 | ATR%: 5.735% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.586%
(0.1511)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.503% | 0.1R | -0.192% | 0.0R | 2.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.503% | 0.1R | -0.629% | 0.1R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.503% | 0.1R | -1.849% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.503% | 0.1R | -5.039% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.503% | 0.1R | -10.267% | 1.8R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.503% | 0.1R | -16.552% | 3.0R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.503% | 0.1R | -18.256% | 3.3R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.503% | 0.1R | -23.029% | 4.1R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.503% | 0.1R | -23.029% | 4.1R | 0.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 49 min
MAE in 1184 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 day ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.7
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | normal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.42 | range_high | -0.57% | -0.97 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
46%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -4.38% | -0.61 | 31/10 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near -1.8ATR | — | 0.46 | bear_medium | -2.13% | -0.22 | 31/10 04:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near -2.2ATR | — | 0.51 | range_low | -0.22% | -0.20 | 31/10 04:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#466426
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.501 | normal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid 9b -1.3ATR | — | — | 1.57 | 77% | ↔ +0.15 | below_value | -3.61 | — | #220905 | 0.42 | range_high | -0.57% | -0.97 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:35
|
|
4h
#469490
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.281 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
46%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 7b -0.9ATR | — | — | 0.24 | 20% | ↑ +0.36 | below_value | -5.52 | inside | #222232 | 0.51 | bear_high | -4.38% | -0.61 |
31/10 00:00
upd 31/10 04:20
|
|
1h
anchor #469827
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.655 | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid 6b -1.3ATR | near -1.8ATR | — | 0.53 | 38% | ↓ -0.74 | below_value | -5.90 | — | #222442 | 0.46 | bear_medium | -2.13% | -0.22 |
31/10 04:00
upd 31/10 05:11
|
|
15m
#469756
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.611 | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid 7b -1.7ATR | near -2.2ATR | — | 0.43 | 6% | ↑ +0.40 | below_value | -5.52 | — | #222232 | 0.51 | range_low | -0.22% | -0.20 |
31/10 04:45
upd 31/10 05:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 3.359×ATR | p40 | -1.312×ATR | p70 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 0.981×ATR | p0 | -0.858×ATR | p52 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 1.336×ATR | p2 | -1.318×ATR | p68 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 3.69×ATR | p55 | -1.656×ATR | p79 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 2.85593205
- tp_price: 2.63718
- atr: 0.06045282
- expires_at: 2026-10-31T15:15:12+00:00
Details
- rank: 67
- total: 69
- score: 0.2659
- delta_2h: -0.0892
- extension_atr: -0.88
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0807
- confidence: 0.971
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.7048 | 2.8559 | 2.6372 | 0.45 | 3.3684 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.7048
- Stop Loss: 2.8559
- Take Profit: 2.6372
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.8559 - 2.7048 = 0.1511
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.7048 - 2.6372 = 0.0676
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0676 / 0.1511 = 0.4474
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 143.1755 | 100 | 52.9338 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.1511
Taille de position = 8 / 0.1511 = 52.95
Taille de position USD = 52.95 x 2.7048 = 143.22
Donc, tu peux acheter 52.95 avec un stoploss a 2.8559
Avec un position size USD de 143.22$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 52.95 x 0.1511 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 52.95 x 0.0676 = 3.58
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.58$
Résumé
- Taille de position 52.95
- Taille de position USD 143.22
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.58
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4474
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.58 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.59 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.03 $ | -4.91 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.9172 % | 88.02 % | 12 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.7048 | 2.8559 | 2.6372 | 0.45 | 3.3684 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.7048
- Stop Loss: 2.8559
- Take Profit: 2.6372
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.8559 - 2.7048 = 0.1511
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.7048 - 2.6372 = 0.0676
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0676 / 0.1511 = 0.4474
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.586%
(0.1511)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.503% | 0.1R | -0.192% | 0.0R | 2.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.503% | 0.1R | -0.629% | 0.1R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.503% | 0.1R | -1.849% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.503% | 0.1R | -5.039% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.503% | 0.1R | -10.267% | 1.8R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.503% | 0.1R | -16.552% | 3.0R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.503% | 0.1R | -18.256% | 3.3R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.503% | 0.1R | -23.029% | 4.1R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.503% | 0.1R | -23.029% | 4.1R | 0.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 49 min
MAE in 1184 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 day ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.