Short Trade on INIT (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 494.58 INIT at 0.181$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1768 (2.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1975 (8.94 %)
31 Oct 2026 at 06:15:06
hyperliquid
INIT
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
31 Oct 2026 06:15
→ 06:40
· 24 minutes
Position
Entry 0.1813$
Qty 494.5816 INIT
Size 89.6924$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1768 (+2.48%)
TP $ 2.23$
SL 0.1975 (-8.94%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.28
Status
win
PnL
+2.48%
/ +2.23$
MAE -1.15%
MFE +8.18%
0.9R
expires
31 Oct 12:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 237461)
#69 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 06:00
score du 31/10/2026 06:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0350
Quality Score
0.324
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#69 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#69 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.57×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.11×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.31×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
recovering
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.22
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 06:02
31/10 06:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 31/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/10 05:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7424
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
48.6%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→-0.001
Δ 1h
▲+0.192
Δ 4h
▲+0.374
Δ 12h
▼-0.210
Δ 24h
▲+0.085
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 28.3% |
| 1h | 63.0% |
| 4h | 63.0% |
| 24h | 47.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 45.7% | -0.03% |
| 4h | 47.8% | +0.22% |
| 24h | 56.5% | -0.04% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
2.2%
Expansion
2.2%
Tail ↑
+0.38
Tail ↓
+0.45
Dispersion :
0.068
Universe :
46
(-2 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-2 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
31/10 06:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7217
Score SMA
0.8146
Rank
#2
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9886
Rank Norm SMA
0.9984
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8571 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -13.45% · r3d: 13.79% · ema21_slope: 2.9813% · dist_ema21: 23.883% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7500 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -12.67% · rs_3d: 18.18% · beta_24h: 1.148 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6421 | rvol_20: 1.54× · zscore_50: 1.139 · trend: 227.54% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9913 | ADX: 59.0 (trend) · Chop: 14.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 14.087% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 06:00
Score brut
0.3243
Score SMA
0.5721
Rank
#69
/ 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0350
Rank Norm SMA
0.6451
Calculé le
31/10/2026 06:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2484 | r1h: -1.694% · r4h: 1.121% · r1d: -17.83% · r3d: -4.04% · ema21_slope: -0.4984% · dist_ema21: -4.435% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3243 | rs_1h: -1.846% · rs_4h: 0.864% · rs_1d: -17.54% · rs_3d: 0.98% · beta_24h: -1.029 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1419 | rvol_20: 0.49× · zscore_50: -0.872 · trend: -70.87% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4632 | ADX: 35.9 (trend) · Chop: 79.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7417 | ATR%: 3.775% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4666
Score SMA
0.6239
Rank
#30
/ 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4118
Rank Norm SMA
0.8407
Calculé le
31/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6532 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.046% · r1d: -14.57% · r3d: 4.51% · ema21_slope: 0.5763% · dist_ema21: -5.083% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5924 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.790% · rs_1d: -13.51% · rs_3d: 9.12% · beta_24h: 1.278 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1541 | rvol_20: 0.19× · zscore_50: -0.688 · trend: -51.09% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6114 | ADX: 31.7 (trend) · Chop: 57.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.429% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -8.936%
(0.0162)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.276% | 0.4R | -1.153% | 0.1R | 2.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +5.593% | 0.6R | -1.153% | 0.1R | 4.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +6.680% | 0.8R | -1.153% | 0.1R | 5.8× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +8.180% | 0.9R | -1.153% | 0.1R | 7.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +8.196% | 0.9R | -1.153% | 0.1R | 7.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.196% | 0.9R | -1.153% | 0.1R | 7.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.770% | 1.0R | -3.497% | 0.4R | 2.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +18.544% | 2.1R | -11.754% | 1.3R | 1.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +29.437% | 3.3R | -11.754% | 1.3R | 2.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1009 min
MAE in 914 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 day ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.25
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
73%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.35 | range_high | -0.57% | +1.00 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.18 | bear_high | -4.38% | +0.91 | 31/10 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.14 | bear_medium | -1.95% | -0.89 | 31/10 05:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.10 | range_low | -0.07% | -0.12 | 31/10 05:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#466354
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.717 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
73%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid 2b 1.2ATR | — | — | 1.54 | 98% | ↑ +0.93 | value | -3.01 | inside | #220891 | 0.35 | range_high | -0.57% | +1.00 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:31
|
|
4h
#469459
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.582 | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early 11b -0.5ATR | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.19 | 77% | ↓ -0.69 | value | -4.27 | — | #222222 | 0.18 | bear_high | -4.38% | +0.91 |
31/10 00:00
upd 31/10 04:18
|
|
1h
anchor #470174
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.624 | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 13b -1.8ATR | — | — | 0.49 | 22% | ↓ -0.74 | value | -5.45 | — | #222572 | 0.14 | bear_medium | -1.95% | -0.89 |
31/10 05:00
upd 31/10 06:12
|
|
15m
#470105
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.521 | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early 10b -0.5ATR | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.25 | 5% | ↓ -0.28 | value | -4.86 | — | #222432 | 0.10 | range_low | -0.07% | -0.12 |
31/10 05:45
upd 31/10 06:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.628×ATR | p10 | +1.246×ATR | p70 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 11b | — | 2.757×ATR | p31 | -0.505×ATR | p33 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 13b | — | 1.792×ATR | p19 | -1.807×ATR | p88 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -0.517×ATR | p46 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.19752529
- tp_price: 0.17681625
- atr: 0.00647012
- expires_at: 2026-10-31T16:15:06+00:00
Details
- rank: 70
- total: 70
- score: 0.2459
- delta_2h: -0.1271
- extension_atr: -0.98
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0331
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1813 | 0.1975 | 0.1768 | 0.28 | 0.1406 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1813
- Stop Loss: 0.1975
- Take Profit: 0.1768
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1975 - 0.1813 = 0.0162
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1813 - 0.1768 = 0.0045
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0045 / 0.0162 = 0.2778
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89.6924 | 89.6924 | 494.5816 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0162
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0162 = 493.83
Taille de position USD = 493.83 x 0.1813 = 89.53
Donc, tu peux acheter 493.83 avec un stoploss a 0.1975
Avec un position size USD de 89.53$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 493.83 x 0.0162 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 493.83 x 0.0045 = 2.22
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.22$
Résumé
- Taille de position 493.83
- Taille de position USD 89.53
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.22
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2778
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.48 % | 2.23 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.94 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.23 $ | 2.48 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.1528 % | 12.9 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1813 | 0.1975 | 0.1768 | 0.28 | 0.1406 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1813
- Stop Loss: 0.1975
- Take Profit: 0.1768
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1975 - 0.1813 = 0.0162
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1813 - 0.1768 = 0.0045
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0045 / 0.0162 = 0.2778
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -8.936%
(0.0162)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.276% | 0.4R | -1.153% | 0.1R | 2.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +5.593% | 0.6R | -1.153% | 0.1R | 4.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +6.680% | 0.8R | -1.153% | 0.1R | 5.8× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +8.180% | 0.9R | -1.153% | 0.1R | 7.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +8.196% | 0.9R | -1.153% | 0.1R | 7.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.196% | 0.9R | -1.153% | 0.1R | 7.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.770% | 1.0R | -3.497% | 0.4R | 2.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +18.544% | 2.1R | -11.754% | 1.3R | 1.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +29.437% | 3.3R | -11.754% | 1.3R | 2.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1009 min
MAE in 914 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 day ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.