31 Oct 2026 at 06:15:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on TRX (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 845.57 TRX at 0.317$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3087 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3261 (3 %)

TRX SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 31 Oct 2026 06:15 → 12:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.3166$

Qty 845.5748 TRX

Size 267.7005$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.3087 (+2.5%)

TP $ 6.68$

SL 0.3261 (-3%)

SL $ 8.03$

RR 0.83

Status win PnL +1.42% / +3.81$ MAE -1.95% MFE +1.77% 0.6R expires 31 Oct 12:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 237430)
#56 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 06:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3169

Quality Score
0.422
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#56 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.00 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#56 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.00 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear —
1d near 0.06×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
recovering
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.22
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
16.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 06:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

29/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

31/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

31/10 05:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7424
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

transition

+1

Tactical bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 48.6%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h bullish Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state recovering
Δ 15m
→-0.001
Δ 1h
▲+0.192
Δ 4h
▲+0.374
Δ 12h
▼-0.210
Δ 24h
▲+0.085

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 28.3%
1h 63.0%
4h 63.0%
24h 47.8%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 45.7% -0.03%
4h 47.8% +0.22%
24h 56.5% -0.04%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
2.2%
Expansion
2.2%
Tail ↑
+0.38
Tail ↓
+0.45
Dispersion : 0.068
Universe : 46 (-2 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -2 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 31/10 06:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6534
Score SMA
0.5643
Rank
#4 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9659
Rank Norm SMA
0.9115
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4405 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -6.72% · r3d: -0.67% · ema21_slope: -0.0049% · dist_ema21: -1.147%
Force Relative 25% 0.5059 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -5.94% · rs_3d: 3.72% · beta_24h: -0.454
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 6.71× · zscore_50: 4.604 · trend: 346.32%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6318 ADX: 15.8 (weak) · Chop: 17.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.365% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 06:00
Score brut
0.4222
Score SMA
0.5098
Rank
#56 / 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3169
Rank Norm SMA
0.4348
Calculé le
31/10/2026 06:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3151 r1h: -0.370% · r4h: -2.353% · r1d: -5.19% · r3d: -4.28% · ema21_slope: -0.2155% · dist_ema21: -2.991%
Force Relative 25% 0.3688 rs_1h: -0.521% · rs_4h: -2.610% · rs_1d: -4.90% · rs_3d: 0.75% · beta_24h: 0.072
Volume 20% 0.1757 rvol_20: 0.54× · zscore_50: -0.449 · trend: -61.32%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6295 ADX: 24.0 (weak) · Chop: 46.9 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.246% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.5025
Score SMA
0.5563
Rank
#17 / 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8088
Rank Norm SMA
0.7411
Calculé le
31/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4311 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.514% · r1d: -4.63% · r3d: -2.79% · ema21_slope: 0.0624% · dist_ema21: -3.198%
Force Relative 25% 0.4458 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.769% · rs_1d: -3.58% · rs_3d: 1.82% · beta_24h: -0.892
Volume 20% 0.2885 rvol_20: 0.33× · zscore_50: -0.073 · trend: 20.01%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6936 ADX: 23.2 (weak) · Chop: 9.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.888% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.001% (0.0095)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.215% 0.1R -1.342% 0.5R 0.2× 12
2h +0.215% 0.1R -1.406% 0.5R 0.2× 24
4h +0.215% 0.1R -1.946% 0.7R 0.1× 48
6h ★ +1.769% 0.6R -1.946% 0.7R 0.9× 72
8h +3.004% 1.0R -1.946% 0.7R 1.5× 96
12h +4.871% 1.6R -1.946% 0.7R 2.5× 144
24h +5.047% 1.7R -1.946% 0.7R 2.6× 288
48h +5.047% 1.7R -1.946% 0.7R 2.6× 576
72h +5.047% 1.7R -1.946% 0.7R 2.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 779 min MAE in 154 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 day ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.97
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 34% early near 0.1ATR — 0.34 range_high -0.57% +0.57 29/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
52%
noisy_chop 44% late — — -0.05 bear_high -4.38% +0.17 31/10 00:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high
53%
choppy 48% late — — 0.01 bear_medium -1.95% -0.51 31/10 05:00
15m ↓ down range range strong grind compression bear_medium
59%
choppy 52% late — — 0.14 range_low -0.07% -0.27 31/10 05:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#466168
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong balanced 0.673 volatile_reversal bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 34% early 1b -0.5ATR near 0.1ATR — 6.71 100% ↑ +0.70 value -0.53 — #220847 0.34 range_high -0.57% +0.57
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:22
4h
#469376
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong explosive 0.807 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
52%
noisy_chop 44% late 8b -1.3ATR — — 0.33 96% ↑ +0.96 below_value -2.34 inside #222190 -0.05 bear_high -4.38% +0.17
31/10 00:00
upd 31/10 04:14
1h anchor
#470142
↓ down range range moderate fading 0.730 compression bear_high
53%
choppy 48% late 22b -3.0ATR — — 0.54 82% ↓ -0.37 below_value -3.46 inside #222540 0.01 bear_medium -1.95% -0.51
31/10 05:00
upd 31/10 06:11
15m
#470073
↓ down range range strong grind 0.454 compression bear_medium
59%
choppy 52% late 20b -3.5ATR — — 0.58 33% ↑ +0.41 below_value -3.14 — #222400 0.14 range_low -0.07% -0.27
31/10 05:45
upd 31/10 06:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 1b — 4.593×ATR p44 -0.507×ATR p30
4h ↓ down late 8b — 7.041×ATR p94 -1.262×ATR p69
1h ↓ down late 22b — 6.401×ATR p94 -2.971×ATR p96
15m ↓ down late 20b — 6.454×ATR p97 -3.462×ATR p96

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.32605102
  2. tp_price: 0.30867525
  3. atr: 0.00378441
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-31T16:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 64
  2. total: 70
  3. score: 0.3306
  4. delta_2h: -0.0049
  5. extension_atr: -2.58
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3188
  9. confidence: 0.913

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3166 0.3261 0.3087 0.83 0.3195
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3166
  • Stop Loss: 0.3261
  • Take Profit: 0.3087

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3261 - 0.3166 = 0.0095

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3166 - 0.3087 = 0.0079

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0079 / 0.0095 = 0.8316

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
267.7005 100 845.5748 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0095

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0095 = 842.11

Taille de position USD = 842.11 x 0.3166 = 266.61

Donc, tu peux acheter 842.11 avec un stoploss a 0.3261

Avec un position size USD de 266.61$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 842.11 x 0.0095 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 842.11 x 0.0079 = 6.65

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.65$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 842.11
  • Taille de position USD 266.61
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 6.65
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8316

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 6.68 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3 % 8.03 $
PNL PNL %
3.81 $ 1.42
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.9457 % 64.84 % 10
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3166 0.3261 0.3087 0.83 0.3195
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3166
  • Stop Loss: 0.3261
  • Take Profit: 0.3087

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3261 - 0.3166 = 0.0095

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3166 - 0.3087 = 0.0079

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0079 / 0.0095 = 0.8316

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.001% (0.0095)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.215% 0.1R -1.342% 0.5R 0.2× 12
2h +0.215% 0.1R -1.406% 0.5R 0.2× 24
4h +0.215% 0.1R -1.946% 0.7R 0.1× 48
6h ★ +1.769% 0.6R -1.946% 0.7R 0.9× 72
8h +3.004% 1.0R -1.946% 0.7R 1.5× 96
12h +4.871% 1.6R -1.946% 0.7R 2.5× 144
24h +5.047% 1.7R -1.946% 0.7R 2.6× 288
48h +5.047% 1.7R -1.946% 0.7R 2.6× 576
72h +5.047% 1.7R -1.946% 0.7R 2.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 779 min MAE in 154 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 day ago

Commentaires

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