Long Trade on XPL (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2508.68 XPL at 0.0812$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08323 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07801 (3.93 %)
31 Oct 2026 at 09:15:05
hyperliquid
XPL
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
31 Oct 2026 09:15
→ 15:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.0812$
Qty 2508.6785 XPL
Size 203.7122$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.08323 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.09$
SL 0.07801 (-3.93%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.64
Status
loss
PnL
-0.60%
/ -1.23$
MAE -2.30%
MFE +0.44%
0.1R
expires
31 Oct 15:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 237732)
#4 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 09:00
score du 31/10/2026 09:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9277
Quality Score
0.590
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#4 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#4 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.46×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.01×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.72×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
expanding
OK
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
OK
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.49
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
16.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 09:02
31/10 09:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 31/10 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 31/10 08:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7436
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
transition
-1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
69.0%
Macro
alt_rotation
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.240
Δ 4h
▲+0.397
Δ 12h
▼-0.179
Δ 24h
▲+0.077
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 44.2% |
| 1h | 88.4% |
| 4h | 86.1% |
| 24h | 60.5% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 53.5% | -0.02% |
| 4h | 58.1% | +0.49% |
| 24h | 55.8% | +0.68% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.44
Tail ↓
+0.43
Dispersion :
0.128
Universe :
43
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
31/10 09:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5167
Score SMA
0.3005
Rank
#17
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8182
Rank Norm SMA
0.2964
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4608 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 12.12% · r3d: 10.55% · ema21_slope: -0.6515% · dist_ema21: 2.658% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7962 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 12.90% · rs_3d: 14.94% · beta_24h: 1.918 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5757 | rvol_20: 2.21× · zscore_50: 0.277 · trend: 12.79% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4283 | ADX: 15.9 (weak) · Chop: 63.4 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.878% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.5902
Score SMA
0.5576
Rank
#4
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9277
Rank Norm SMA
0.6322
Calculé le
31/10/2026 09:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6722 | r1h: 0.525% · r4h: 1.052% · r1d: 4.60% · r3d: 7.47% · ema21_slope: 0.1440% · dist_ema21: 1.357% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6937 | rs_1h: 0.617% · rs_4h: 0.789% · rs_1d: 4.50% · rs_3d: 11.44% · beta_24h: 0.755 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2767 | rvol_20: 0.98× · zscore_50: -0.267 · trend: -36.12% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4218 | ADX: 26.7 (trend) · Chop: 75.4 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.636% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.6032
Score SMA
0.5205
Rank
#2
/ 67
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9704
Rank Norm SMA
0.5934
Calculé le
31/10/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6309 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.333% · r1d: 7.13% · r3d: 5.49% · ema21_slope: 0.2976% · dist_ema21: 3.758% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7410 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.018% · rs_1d: 6.81% · rs_3d: 10.06% · beta_24h: 1.423 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2598 | rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.075 · trend: -1.43% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6273 | ADX: 15.3 (weak) · Chop: 37.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8258 | ATR%: 3.523% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.929%
(0.0032)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.303% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.303% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.443% | 0.1R | -2.303% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.443% | 0.1R | -2.303% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.405% | 0.6R | -2.303% | 0.6R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.405% | 0.6R | -2.303% | 0.6R | 1.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.442% | 1.6R | -14.496% | 3.7R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.442% | 1.6R | -15.328% | 3.9R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.442% | 1.6R | -23.411% | 6.0R | 0.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 909 min
MAE in 919 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.46
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.54 | range_high | -0.57% | +0.01 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.57 | bear_high | -3.96% | +0.84 | 31/10 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.68 | bear_medium | -1.73% | +0.43 | 31/10 08:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bull_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.63 | range_low | +0.04% | +0.08 | 31/10 08:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#466375
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.629 | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late 35b 0.3ATR | near 0.2ATR | — | 2.21 | 88% | ↔ -0.03 | above_value | +4.51 | — | #220895 | 0.54 | range_high | -0.57% | +0.01 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:33
|
|
4h
#470962
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.781 | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid 9b 0.8ATR | — | — | 0.47 | 54% | ↑ +0.19 | above_value | +4.87 | — | #222851 | 0.57 | bear_high | -3.96% | +0.84 |
31/10 04:00
upd 31/10 08:20
|
|
1h
anchor #471296
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.567 | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early 1b 1.0ATR | — | — | 0.98 | 84% | ↓ -0.48 | above_value | +5.67 | — | #223053 | 0.68 | bear_medium | -1.73% | +0.43 |
31/10 08:00
upd 31/10 09:11
|
|
15m
#471228
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.420 | normal | bull_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid 5b 1.4ATR | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.98 | 46% | ↑ +0.15 | above_value | +4.87 | — | #222851 | 0.63 | range_low | +0.04% | +0.08 |
31/10 08:45
upd 31/10 09:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 35b | — | 6.114×ATR | p88 | +0.332×ATR | p19 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 4.661×ATR | p68 | +0.843×ATR | p50 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 1.219×ATR | p0 | +1.024×ATR | p56 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 3.432×ATR | p67 | +1.419×ATR | p75 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0812 | 0.07801 | 0.08323 | 0.64 | 0.05724 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0812
- Stop Loss: 0.07801
- Take Profit: 0.08323
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07801 - 0.0812 = -0.00319
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0812 - 0.08323 = -0.00203
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00203 / -0.00319 = 0.6364
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 203.7122 | 100 | 2508.6785 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00319
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00319 = -2507.84
Taille de position USD = -2507.84 x 0.0812 = -203.64
Donc, tu peux acheter -2507.84 avec un stoploss a 0.07801
Avec un position size USD de -203.64$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2507.84 x -0.00319 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2507.84 x -0.00203 = 5.09
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.09$
Résumé
- Taille de position -2507.84
- Taille de position USD -203.64
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.09
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6364
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.09 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.93 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.23 $ | -0.60 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.303 % | 58.62 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0812 | 0.07801 | 0.08323 | 0.64 | 0.05724 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0812
- Stop Loss: 0.07801
- Take Profit: 0.08323
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07801 - 0.0812 = -0.00319
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0812 - 0.08323 = -0.00203
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00203 / -0.00319 = 0.6364
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.929%
(0.0032)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.303% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.303% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.443% | 0.1R | -2.303% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.443% | 0.1R | -2.303% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.405% | 0.6R | -2.303% | 0.6R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.405% | 0.6R | -2.303% | 0.6R | 1.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.442% | 1.6R | -14.496% | 3.7R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.442% | 1.6R | -15.328% | 3.9R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.442% | 1.6R | -23.411% | 6.0R | 0.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 909 min
MAE in 919 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.