Long Trade on AAVE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1.77 AAVE at 134.41$ per unit. Take profit: 137.7703 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 129.89 (3.36 %)
31 Oct 2026 at 09:15:07
hyperliquid
AAVE
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
31 Oct 2026 09:15
→ 15:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 134.41$
Qty 1.7699 AAVE
Size 237.8926$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 137.7703 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.95$
SL 129.89 (-3.36%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.74
Status
loss
PnL
-0.07%
/ -0.16$
MAE -0.36%
MFE +1.50%
0.4R
expires
31 Oct 15:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 237700)
#2 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 09:00
score du 31/10/2026 09:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9539
Quality Score
0.660
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#2 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.36 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#2 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.36 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.02×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.88×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.13×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
expanding
OK
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
OK
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.49
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
10.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 09:00
31/10 09:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (-3) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 31/10 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 31/10 08:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7436
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
transition
-1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
69.0%
Macro
alt_rotation
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.240
Δ 4h
▲+0.397
Δ 12h
▼-0.179
Δ 24h
▲+0.077
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 44.2% |
| 1h | 88.4% |
| 4h | 86.1% |
| 24h | 60.5% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 53.5% | -0.02% |
| 4h | 58.1% | +0.49% |
| 24h | 55.8% | +0.68% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.44
Tail ↓
+0.43
Dispersion :
0.128
Universe :
43
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
31/10 09:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4251
Score SMA
0.3191
Rank
#30
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6705
Rank Norm SMA
0.4046
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2953 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 8.20% · r3d: -3.60% · ema21_slope: -0.8948% · dist_ema21: -10.315% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5334 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 8.98% · rs_3d: 0.79% · beta_24h: 1.934 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5095 | rvol_20: 1.75× · zscore_50: 0.187 · trend: 22.79% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6749 | ADX: 25.6 (trend) · Chop: 42.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.945% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.6598
Score SMA
0.5135
Rank
#2
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9539
Rank Norm SMA
0.4723
Calculé le
31/10/2026 09:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6730 | r1h: 0.434% · r4h: 2.100% · r1d: 6.58% · r3d: 1.59% · ema21_slope: 0.2141% · dist_ema21: 2.927% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6875 | rs_1h: 0.526% · rs_4h: 1.837% · rs_1d: 6.48% · rs_3d: 5.56% · beta_24h: 1.106 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4873 | rvol_20: 1.88× · zscore_50: -0.162 · trend: 7.89% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5902 | ADX: 24.1 (weak) · Chop: 51.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.398% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.5489
Score SMA
0.4488
Rank
#5
/ 67
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8373
Rank Norm SMA
0.3468
Calculé le
31/10/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4511 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.031% · r1d: 6.58% · r3d: -1.03% · ema21_slope: -0.2432% · dist_ema21: 2.393% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6364 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.681% · rs_1d: 6.26% · rs_3d: 3.54% · beta_24h: 2.396 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3231 | rvol_20: 0.80× · zscore_50: 0.190 · trend: -3.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6507 | ADX: 18.1 (weak) · Chop: 36.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9220 | ATR%: 3.234% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.363%
(4.5200)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.265% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.265% | 0.4R | -0.357% | 0.1R | 3.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.495% | 0.4R | -0.357% | 0.1R | 4.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.495% | 0.4R | -0.357% | 0.1R | 4.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.495% | 0.4R | -0.982% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.495% | 0.4R | -0.982% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.769% | 1.4R | -0.982% | 0.3R | 4.9× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.769% | 1.4R | -2.887% | 0.9R | 1.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.769% | 1.4R | -7.886% | 2.4R | 0.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 944 min
MAE in 464 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 3.62
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.69 | range_high | -0.57% | -0.96 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.71 | bear_high | -3.96% | +0.31 | 31/10 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.75 | bear_medium | -1.73% | +0.57 | 31/10 08:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | normal | bull_medium_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | 0.77 | range_low | +0.04% | +0.22 | 31/10 08:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#466160
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.641 | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid 28b -1.6ATR | — | — | 1.75 | 84% | ↔ -0.03 | value | -3.02 | — | #220845 | 0.69 | range_high | -0.57% | -0.96 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:21
|
|
4h
#470868
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.240 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid 8b 0.6ATR | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.80 | 74% | ↑ +0.49 | value | +0.70 | — | #222816 | 0.71 | bear_high | -3.96% | +0.31 |
31/10 04:00
upd 31/10 08:14
|
|
1h
anchor #471262
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | 0.505 | compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late 8b 2.2ATR | — | near 0.0ATR | 1.88 | 91% | ↑ +0.62 | above_value | -0.65 | — | #223019 | 0.75 | bear_medium | -1.73% | +0.57 |
31/10 08:00
upd 31/10 09:09
|
|
15m
#471194
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | 0.391 | normal | bull_medium_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid 7b 1.8ATR | — | — | 0.41 | 47% | ↑ +0.62 | value | +0.70 | — | #222816 | 0.77 | range_low | +0.04% | +0.22 |
31/10 08:45
upd 31/10 09:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 28b | — | 5.737×ATR | p70 | -1.57×ATR | p73 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 4.283×ATR | p61 | +0.61×ATR | p29 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 2.846×ATR | p45 | +2.241×ATR | p90 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 7b | — | 2.891×ATR | p46 | +1.8×ATR | p68 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 129.88997719
- tp_price: 137.77025
- atr: 1.80800912
- expires_at: 2026-10-31T19:15:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 2
- total: 69
- score: 0.673
- delta_2h: 0.0666
- extension_atr: 1.96
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9539
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:15 | 134.41000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 10:15 | 134.81000000 | +0.298% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 134.41 | 129.89 | 137.7703 | 0.74 | 130.9 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 134.41
- Stop Loss: 129.89
- Take Profit: 137.7703
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 129.89 - 134.41 = -4.52
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 134.41 - 137.7703 = -3.3603
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.3603 / -4.52 = 0.7434
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 237.8926 | 100 | 1.7699 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -4.52
Taille de position = 8 / -4.52 = -1.77
Taille de position USD = -1.77 x 134.41 = -237.91
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.77 avec un stoploss a 129.89
Avec un position size USD de -237.91$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.77 x -4.52 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.77 x -3.3603 = 5.95
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.95$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1.77
- Taille de position USD -237.91
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.95
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7434
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.95 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.36 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.16 $ | -0.07 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3571 % | 10.62 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 134.41 | 129.89 | 137.7703 | 0.74 | 130.9 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 134.41
- Stop Loss: 129.89
- Take Profit: 137.7703
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 129.89 - 134.41 = -4.52
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 134.41 - 137.7703 = -3.3603
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.3603 / -4.52 = 0.7434
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.363%
(4.5200)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.265% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.265% | 0.4R | -0.357% | 0.1R | 3.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.495% | 0.4R | -0.357% | 0.1R | 4.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.495% | 0.4R | -0.357% | 0.1R | 4.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.495% | 0.4R | -0.982% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.495% | 0.4R | -0.982% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.769% | 1.4R | -0.982% | 0.3R | 4.9× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.769% | 1.4R | -2.887% | 0.9R | 1.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.769% | 1.4R | -7.886% | 2.4R | 0.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 944 min
MAE in 464 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.