31 Oct 2026 at 09:15:08 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PENDLE (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 120.95 PENDLE at 1.874$ per unit. Take profit: 1.9212 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.8082 (3.53 %)

PENDLE LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 31 Oct 2026 09:15 → 15:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 1.8743$

Qty 120.9525 PENDLE

Size 226.7012$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 1.9212 (+2.5%)

TP $ 5.67$

SL 1.8082 (-3.53%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.71

Status loss PnL -0.66% / -1.49$ MAE -0.92% MFE +0.65% 0.2R expires 31 Oct 15:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 237709)
#1 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 09:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8878

Quality Score
0.670
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-7
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.53 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#1 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-7
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.53 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 4.30×ATR
4h clear 0.57×ATR
1d clear 5.46×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
expanding
OK
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
OK
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.49
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 09:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

29/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2)

31/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : range_high (0)

31/10 08:00

Score : -5 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7436
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

transition

-1

Tactical bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 69.0%
Macro alt_rotation
Local 4h bullish Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.240
Δ 4h
▲+0.397
Δ 12h
▼-0.179
Δ 24h
▲+0.077

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 44.2%
1h 88.4%
4h 86.1%
24h 60.5%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 53.5% -0.02%
4h 58.1% +0.49%
24h 55.8% +0.68%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.44
Tail ↓
+0.43
Dispersion : 0.128
Universe : 43 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 31/10 09:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4030
Score SMA
0.2991
Rank
#37 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5909
Rank Norm SMA
0.2312
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2441 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 5.54% · r3d: -7.66% · ema21_slope: -0.6513% · dist_ema21: -9.526%
Force Relative 25% 0.4593 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 6.33% · rs_3d: -3.27% · beta_24h: 2.343
Volume 20% 0.6199 rvol_20: 2.30× · zscore_50: 0.721 · trend: 13.16%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6061 ADX: 24.0 (weak) · Chop: 49.8 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.637% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.6704
Score SMA
0.5109
Rank
#1 / 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8878
Rank Norm SMA
0.4445
Calculé le
31/10/2026 09:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6520 r1h: -0.154% · r4h: 2.227% · r1d: 10.11% · r3d: -4.43% · ema21_slope: 0.2339% · dist_ema21: 2.402%
Force Relative 25% 0.6595 rs_1h: -0.063% · rs_4h: 1.964% · rs_1d: 10.01% · rs_3d: -0.46% · beta_24h: 1.948
Volume 20% 0.7401 rvol_20: 4.78× · zscore_50: 0.675 · trend: 21.32%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4128 ADX: 19.1 (weak) · Chop: 68.6 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.464% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.5132
Score SMA
0.4933
Rank
#14 / 67
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6295
Rank Norm SMA
0.5070
Calculé le
31/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3946 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.256% · r1d: 10.86% · r3d: -5.94% · ema21_slope: -0.4422% · dist_ema21: 0.930%
Force Relative 25% 0.6458 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.906% · rs_1d: 10.54% · rs_3d: -1.37% · beta_24h: 2.529
Volume 20% 0.2260 rvol_20: 0.36× · zscore_50: -0.245 · trend: -18.26%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6733 ADX: 20.8 (weak) · Chop: 29.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.8721 ATR%: 3.384% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.527% (0.0661)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.496% 0.1R -0.603% 0.2R 0.8× 12
2h +0.560% 0.2R -0.694% 0.2R 0.8× 24
4h +0.651% 0.2R -0.694% 0.2R 0.9× 48
6h ★ +0.651% 0.2R -0.918% 0.3R 0.7× 72
8h +0.651% 0.2R -1.281% 0.4R 0.5× 96
12h +0.651% 0.2R -1.718% 0.5R 0.4× 144
24h +2.027% 0.6R -1.718% 0.5R 1.2× 288
48h +2.027% 0.6R -4.615% 1.3R 0.4× 576
72h +2.027% 0.6R -8.238% 2.3R 0.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 944 min MAE in 644 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.92
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind normal bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 38% mid near -0.1ATR — 0.64 range_high -0.57% -0.79 29/10 20:00
4h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong explosive expansion_after_compression bear_high
64%
noisy_chop 42% mid — — 0.61 bear_high -3.96% -0.18 31/10 04:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression range_high
47%
noisy_chop 49% late — — 0.76 bear_medium -1.73% +0.57 31/10 08:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bull_medium_confirmed
66%
noisy_chop 45% early — — 0.72 range_low +0.04% +0.18 31/10 08:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#466209
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.638 normal bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 38% mid 39b -1.3ATR near -0.1ATR — 2.30 83% ↔ -0.08 above_value -4.29 — #220857 0.64 range_high -0.57% -0.79
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:24
4h
#470886
↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong explosive 0.233 expansion_after_compression bear_high
64%
noisy_chop 42% mid 8b 0.2ATR — — 0.36 39% ↑ +0.54 above_value -4.09 inside #222825 0.61 bear_high -3.96% -0.18
31/10 04:00
upd 31/10 08:15
1h anchor
#471271
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.600 compression range_high
47%
noisy_chop 49% late 4b 1.9ATR — — 4.78 97% ↔ -0.02 value -4.21 — #223028 0.76 bear_medium -1.73% +0.57
31/10 08:00
upd 31/10 09:10
15m
#471203
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.564 expansion_after_compression bull_medium_confirmed
66%
noisy_chop 45% early 2b 1.5ATR — — 1.39 72% ↑ +0.70 above_value -4.09 — #222825 0.72 range_low +0.04% +0.18
31/10 08:45
upd 31/10 09:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 39b — 5.992×ATR p69 -1.342×ATR p66
4h ↑ up mid 8b — 4.073×ATR p58 +0.231×ATR p16
1h ↑ up late 4b — 1.801×ATR p28 +1.858×ATR p89
15m ↑ up early 2b — 1.136×ATR p0 +1.549×ATR p58

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 1.80815831
  2. tp_price: 1.9211575
  3. atr: 0.02645667
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-31T19:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 4
  2. total: 69
  3. score: 0.652
  4. delta_2h: 0.12
  5. extension_atr: 1.34
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8878
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.8743 1.8082 1.9212 0.71 1.6833
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.8743
  • Stop Loss: 1.8082
  • Take Profit: 1.9212

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.8082 - 1.8743 = -0.0661

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.8743 - 1.9212 = -0.0469

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0469 / -0.0661 = 0.7095

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
226.7012 100 120.9525 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0661

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0661 = -121.03

Taille de position USD = -121.03 x 1.8743 = -226.85

Donc, tu peux acheter -121.03 avec un stoploss a 1.8082

Avec un position size USD de -226.85$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -121.03 x -0.0661 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -121.03 x -0.0469 = 5.68

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.68$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -121.03
  • Taille de position USD -226.85
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 5.68
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7095

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 5.67 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.53 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-1.49 $ -0.66
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6936 % 19.67 % 24
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.8743 1.8082 1.9212 0.71 1.6833
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.8743
  • Stop Loss: 1.8082
  • Take Profit: 1.9212

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.8082 - 1.8743 = -0.0661

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.8743 - 1.9212 = -0.0469

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0469 / -0.0661 = 0.7095

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.527% (0.0661)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.496% 0.1R -0.603% 0.2R 0.8× 12
2h +0.560% 0.2R -0.694% 0.2R 0.8× 24
4h +0.651% 0.2R -0.694% 0.2R 0.9× 48
6h ★ +0.651% 0.2R -0.918% 0.3R 0.7× 72
8h +0.651% 0.2R -1.281% 0.4R 0.5× 96
12h +0.651% 0.2R -1.718% 0.5R 0.4× 144
24h +2.027% 0.6R -1.718% 0.5R 1.2× 288
48h +2.027% 0.6R -4.615% 1.3R 0.4× 576
72h +2.027% 0.6R -8.238% 2.3R 0.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 944 min MAE in 644 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 days ago

Commentaires

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