Short Trade on PONS (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 736.51 PONS at 0.225$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2193 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2357 (4.8 %)
31 Oct 2026 at 10:15:07
hyperliquid
PONS
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
31 Oct 2026 10:15
→ 16:00
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.2249$
Qty 736.5113 PONS
Size 165.6267$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2193 (+2.49%)
TP $ 4.12$
SL 0.2357 (-4.8%)
SL $ 7.95$
RR 0.52
Status
loss
PnL
-1.65%
/ -2.73$
MAE -3.38%
MFE +0.07%
0.0R
expires
31 Oct 16:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 237809)
#62 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 10:00
score du 31/10/2026 10:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0673
Quality Score
0.339
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#62 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#62 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.66×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.37
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
6.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 10:03
31/10 10:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/10 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/10 09:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7440
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
70.5%
Macro
alt_rotation
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.002
Δ 1h
→+0.015
Δ 4h
▲+0.220
Δ 12h
→-0.027
Δ 24h
▲+0.264
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 51.2% |
| 1h | 20.9% |
| 4h | 76.7% |
| 24h | 67.4% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 51.2% | +0.00% |
| 4h | 79.1% | +0.37% |
| 24h | 67.4% | +0.98% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
4.7%
Down ≥1σ
2.3%
Expansion
7.0%
Tail ↑
+0.41
Tail ↓
+0.48
Dispersion :
0.092
Universe :
43
(-2 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-2 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
31/10 10:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2401
Score SMA
0.2589
Rank
#88
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0114
Rank Norm SMA
0.2007
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1676 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.29% · r3d: -12.47% · ema21_slope: -1.9104% · dist_ema21: -20.323% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3583 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.07% · rs_3d: -8.08% · beta_24h: 3.638 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1999 | rvol_20: 0.83× · zscore_50: -0.784 · trend: -61.36% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4016 | ADX: 24.8 (weak) · Chop: 75.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 20.823% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 10:00
Score brut
0.3392
Score SMA
0.5361
Rank
#62
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0673
Rank Norm SMA
0.4982
Calculé le
31/10/2026 10:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2305 | r1h: -0.747% · r4h: -1.326% · r1d: -6.89% · r3d: -21.69% · ema21_slope: -0.2672% · dist_ema21: -2.445% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2249 | rs_1h: -0.704% · rs_4h: -1.395% · rs_1d: -7.33% · rs_3d: -17.67% · beta_24h: 1.759 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1877 | rvol_20: 0.62× · zscore_50: -0.679 · trend: -39.07% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4960 | ADX: 19.0 (weak) · Chop: 58.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.014% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.3084
Score SMA
0.4556
Rank
#63
/ 67
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0377
Rank Norm SMA
0.3825
Calculé le
31/10/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1965 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.484% · r1d: -3.17% · r3d: -21.86% · ema21_slope: -0.6793% · dist_ema21: -7.528% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3808 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.134% · rs_1d: -3.49% · rs_3d: -17.29% · beta_24h: 3.014 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2110 | rvol_20: 0.39× · zscore_50: -0.472 · trend: -18.20% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6717 | ADX: 23.0 (weak) · Chop: 40.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.1125 | ATR%: 5.662% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.802%
(0.0108)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.071% | 0.0R | -1.667% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.071% | 0.0R | -3.384% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.071% | 0.0R | -3.384% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.071% | 0.0R | -3.384% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.071% | 0.0R | -4.309% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.071% | 0.0R | -5.691% | 1.2R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.071% | 0.0R | -10.360% | 2.2R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.071% | 0.0R | -10.360% | 2.2R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +16.852% | 3.5R | -10.360% | 2.2R | 1.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 9 min
MAE in 1119 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.03
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 46% | — | — | — | — | range_high | -0.57% | -1.00 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.40 | bear_high | -3.96% | -0.97 | 31/10 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.62 | bear_medium | -1.74% | -0.47 | 31/10 09:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.70 | range_low | +0.00% | -0.01 | 31/10 09:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#466458
|
↔ | — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 46% | — | — | — | 0.83 | 23% | ↓ -0.44 | above_value | -0.55 | inside | #220912 | — | range_high | -0.57% | -1.00 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:37
|
|
4h
#471000
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.468 | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid 8b -1.4ATR | — | — | 0.39 | 22% | ↓ -0.49 | above_value | -2.31 | — | #222864 | 0.40 | bear_high | -3.96% | -0.97 |
31/10 04:00
upd 31/10 08:22
|
|
1h
anchor #471646
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.751 | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 12b -1.5ATR | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.62 | 43% | ↑ +0.45 | above_value | -3.06 | — | #223196 | 0.62 | bear_medium | -1.74% | -0.47 |
31/10 09:00
upd 31/10 10:13
|
|
15m
#471580
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.558 | compression | bear_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 16b -0.6ATR | — | — | 0.42 | 15% | ↔ -0.01 | above_value | -2.69 | — | #223066 | 0.70 | range_low | +0.00% | -0.01 |
31/10 09:45
upd 31/10 10:04
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 0.787×ATR | p0 | -1.385×ATR | p70 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 12b | — | 3.208×ATR | p71 | -1.474×ATR | p69 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 16b | — | 2.118×ATR | p15 | -0.618×ATR | p43 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.23574202
- tp_price: 0.219258
- atr: 0.00434481
- expires_at: 2026-10-31T20:15:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 67
- total: 69
- score: 0.2434
- delta_2h: -0.0907
- extension_atr: -1.05
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0673
- confidence: 0.971
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:15 | 0.22488000 | -0.009% |
| 2 | 11:15 | 0.22702000 | +0.943% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2249 | 0.2357 | 0.2193 | 0.52 | 0.1893 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2249
- Stop Loss: 0.2357
- Take Profit: 0.2193
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2357 - 0.2249 = 0.0108
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2249 - 0.2193 = 0.0056
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0056 / 0.0108 = 0.5185
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 165.6267 | 100 | 736.5113 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0108
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0108 = 740.74
Taille de position USD = 740.74 x 0.2249 = 166.59
Donc, tu peux acheter 740.74 avec un stoploss a 0.2357
Avec un position size USD de 166.59$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 740.74 x 0.0108 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 740.74 x 0.0056 = 4.15
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.15$
Résumé
- Taille de position 740.74
- Taille de position USD 166.59
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.15
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5185
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 4.12 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.8 % | 7.95 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.73 $ | -1.65 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.3837 % | 70.46 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2249 | 0.2357 | 0.2193 | 0.52 | 0.1893 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2249
- Stop Loss: 0.2357
- Take Profit: 0.2193
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2357 - 0.2249 = 0.0108
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2249 - 0.2193 = 0.0056
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0056 / 0.0108 = 0.5185
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.802%
(0.0108)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.071% | 0.0R | -1.667% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.071% | 0.0R | -3.384% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.071% | 0.0R | -3.384% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.071% | 0.0R | -3.384% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.071% | 0.0R | -4.309% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.071% | 0.0R | -5.691% | 1.2R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.071% | 0.0R | -10.360% | 2.2R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.071% | 0.0R | -10.360% | 2.2R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +16.852% | 3.5R | -10.360% | 2.2R | 1.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 9 min
MAE in 1119 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.