Short Trade on CHIP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 4584.66 CHIP at 0.0426$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04155 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04436 (4.08 %)
31 Oct 2026 at 10:15:07
hyperliquid
CHIP
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
31 Oct 2026 10:15
→ 16:00
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.04262$
Qty 4584.6586 CHIP
Size 195.389$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.04155 (+2.51%)
TP $ 4.91$
SL 0.04436 (-4.08%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 0.61
Status
win
PnL
+0.17%
/ +0.34$
MAE -2.61%
MFE +0.51%
0.1R
expires
31 Oct 16:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 237806)
#61 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 10:00
score du 31/10/2026 10:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0671
Quality Score
0.354
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#61 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.08 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#61 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.08 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.16×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.24×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.03×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.37
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 10:03
31/10 10:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/10 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/10 09:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7440
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
70.5%
Macro
alt_rotation
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.002
Δ 1h
→+0.015
Δ 4h
▲+0.220
Δ 12h
→-0.027
Δ 24h
▲+0.264
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 51.2% |
| 1h | 20.9% |
| 4h | 76.7% |
| 24h | 67.4% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 51.2% | +0.00% |
| 4h | 79.1% | +0.37% |
| 24h | 67.4% | +0.98% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
4.7%
Down ≥1σ
2.3%
Expansion
7.0%
Tail ↑
+0.41
Tail ↓
+0.48
Dispersion :
0.092
Universe :
43
(-2 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-2 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
31/10 10:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3863
Score SMA
0.4669
Rank
#43
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5227
Rank Norm SMA
0.7602
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4657 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.84% · r3d: -18.20% · ema21_slope: -0.2086% · dist_ema21: -6.515% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5092 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.63% · rs_3d: -13.81% · beta_24h: 3.282 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2638 | rvol_20: 0.54× · zscore_50: -0.438 · trend: 14.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4437 | ADX: 16.1 (weak) · Chop: 61.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 15.900% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 10:00
Score brut
0.3541
Score SMA
0.5364
Rank
#61
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0671
Rank Norm SMA
0.5001
Calculé le
31/10/2026 10:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2918 | r1h: -1.113% · r4h: -0.797% · r1d: -2.57% · r3d: -17.14% · ema21_slope: -0.1082% · dist_ema21: -2.080% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2904 | rs_1h: -1.070% · rs_4h: -0.866% · rs_1d: -3.01% · rs_3d: -13.12% · beta_24h: 1.959 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1675 | rvol_20: 0.46× · zscore_50: -0.488 · trend: -85.45% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3653 | ADX: 11.4 (weak) · Chop: 66.5 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.700% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.3069
Score SMA
0.4993
Rank
#64
/ 67
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0595
Rank Norm SMA
0.4933
Calculé le
31/10/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2060 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.325% · r1d: -2.34% · r3d: -16.89% · ema21_slope: -0.6345% · dist_ema21: -6.521% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3816 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.676% · rs_1d: -2.67% · rs_3d: -12.32% · beta_24h: 2.364 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1606 | rvol_20: 0.10× · zscore_50: -0.592 · trend: -77.60% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6453 | ADX: 20.5 (weak) · Chop: 41.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.2082 | ATR%: 5.375% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.083%
(0.0017)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.228% | 0.1R | -1.739% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.228% | 0.1R | -2.612% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.228% | 0.1R | -2.612% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.507% | 0.1R | -2.612% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.932% | 0.2R | -2.612% | 0.6R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.150% | 0.3R | -2.612% | 0.6R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.825% | 0.5R | -4.472% | 1.1R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.621% | 1.6R | -4.608% | 1.1R | 1.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.284% | 2.3R | -4.608% | 1.1R | 2.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 734 min
MAE in 1409 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.26
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | near 0.0ATR | — | — | range_high | -0.57% | -1.00 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 49% | mid | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -3.96% | -0.96 | 31/10 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.51 | bear_medium | -1.74% | -0.22 | 31/10 09:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | bear_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.65 | range_low | +0.00% | -0.09 | 31/10 09:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#466447
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.635 | expansion | bull_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early 12b -0.5ATR | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.54 | 60% | ↔ -0.08 | below_value | -6.76 | — | #220909 | — | range_high | -0.57% | -1.00 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:37
|
|
4h
#470991
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.367 | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 49% | mid 11b -1.3ATR | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.10 | 6% | ↓ -0.82 | below_value | -11.00 | — | #222861 | 0.49 | bear_high | -3.96% | -0.96 |
31/10 04:00
upd 31/10 08:22
|
|
1h
anchor #471643
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.394 | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late 16b -1.6ATR | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.46 | 6% | ↓ -0.62 | below_value | -12.19 | — | #223193 | 0.51 | bear_medium | -1.74% | -0.22 |
31/10 09:00
upd 31/10 10:13
|
|
15m
#471577
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.259 | compression | bear_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid 13b -1.3ATR | — | — | 0.10 | 1% | ↓ -0.35 | below_value | -11.12 | — | #223063 | 0.65 | range_low | +0.00% | -0.09 |
31/10 09:45
upd 31/10 10:04
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 12b | — | 0.791×ATR | p0 | -0.468×ATR | p24 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 11b | — | 4.275×ATR | p57 | -1.266×ATR | p62 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 16b | — | 3.253×ATR | p65 | -1.625×ATR | p80 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 13b | — | 4.271×ATR | p75 | -1.289×ATR | p61 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.04436295
- tp_price: 0.04155255
- atr: 0.00069798
- expires_at: 2026-10-31T20:15:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 66
- total: 69
- score: 0.3026
- delta_2h: -0.0157
- extension_atr: -1.08
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0671
- confidence: 0.956
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04262 | 0.04436 | 0.04155 | 0.61 | 0.03668 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04262
- Stop Loss: 0.04436
- Take Profit: 0.04155
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04436 - 0.04262 = 0.00174
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04262 - 0.04155 = 0.00107
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00107 / 0.00174 = 0.6149
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 195.389 | 100 | 4584.6586 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00174
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00174 = 4597.7
Taille de position USD = 4597.7 x 0.04262 = 195.95
Donc, tu peux acheter 4597.7 avec un stoploss a 0.04436
Avec un position size USD de 195.95$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 4597.7 x 0.00174 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 4597.7 x 0.00107 = 4.92
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.92$
Résumé
- Taille de position 4597.7
- Taille de position USD 195.95
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.92
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6149
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 4.91 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.08 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.34 $ | 0.17 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.6115 % | 63.97 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04262 | 0.04436 | 0.04155 | 0.61 | 0.03668 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04262
- Stop Loss: 0.04436
- Take Profit: 0.04155
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04436 - 0.04262 = 0.00174
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04262 - 0.04155 = 0.00107
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00107 / 0.00174 = 0.6149
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.083%
(0.0017)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.228% | 0.1R | -1.739% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.228% | 0.1R | -2.612% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.228% | 0.1R | -2.612% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.507% | 0.1R | -2.612% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.932% | 0.2R | -2.612% | 0.6R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.150% | 0.3R | -2.612% | 0.6R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.825% | 0.5R | -4.472% | 1.1R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.621% | 1.6R | -4.608% | 1.1R | 1.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.284% | 2.3R | -4.608% | 1.1R | 2.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 734 min
MAE in 1409 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.