31 Oct 2026 at 11:15:16 hyperliquid

Short Trade on TRX (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 871.82 TRX at 0.315$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3074 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3245 (2.92 %)

TRX SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 31 Oct 2026 11:15 → 13:55 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.3153$

Qty 871.8215 TRX

Size 274.8766$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.3074 (+2.51%)

TP $ 6.89$

SL 0.3245 (-2.92%)

SL $ 8.02$

RR 0.86

Status win PnL +2.51% / +6.89$ MAE -0.00% MFE +4.01% 1.4R expires 31 Oct 17:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 237831)
#56 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 11:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3709

Quality Score
0.432
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#56 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#56 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.61×ATR
4h clear —
1d near 0.06×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
contracting
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.26
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
12.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 11:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

29/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

31/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

31/10 10:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7444
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

transition

+1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 65.0%
Macro alt_rotation
Local 4h bullish Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state contracting
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.055
Δ 4h
▲+0.355
Δ 12h
▲+0.103
Δ 24h
▲+0.445

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 60.0%
1h 45.0%
4h 77.5%
24h 65.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 60.0% +0.02%
4h 60.0% +0.26%
24h 55.0% +0.62%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.5%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
2.5%
Tail ↑
+0.50
Tail ↓
+0.32
Dispersion : 0.068
Universe : 40 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 31/10 11:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6534
Score SMA
0.5643
Rank
#4 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9659
Rank Norm SMA
0.9115
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4405 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -6.72% · r3d: -0.67% · ema21_slope: -0.0049% · dist_ema21: -1.147%
Force Relative 25% 0.5059 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -5.94% · rs_3d: 3.72% · beta_24h: -0.454
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 6.71× · zscore_50: 4.604 · trend: 346.32%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6318 ADX: 15.8 (weak) · Chop: 17.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.365% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.4318
Score SMA
0.5093
Rank
#56 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3709
Rank Norm SMA
0.4305
Calculé le
31/10/2026 11:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3246 r1h: -0.767% · r4h: -0.721% · r1d: -6.68% · r3d: -4.89% · ema21_slope: -0.2151% · dist_ema21: -2.621%
Force Relative 25% 0.3641 rs_1h: -0.644% · rs_4h: -0.735% · rs_1d: -6.89% · rs_3d: -0.92% · beta_24h: 0.004
Volume 20% 0.2930 rvol_20: 1.11× · zscore_50: -0.369 · trend: -34.92%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5652 ADX: 25.8 (trend) · Chop: 56.7 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.185% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.5037
Score SMA
0.5554
Rank
#17 / 67
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7611
Rank Norm SMA
0.7402
Calculé le
31/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4297 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.484% · r1d: -5.95% · r3d: -3.52% · ema21_slope: 0.0313% · dist_ema21: -3.345%
Force Relative 25% 0.4176 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.835% · rs_1d: -6.27% · rs_3d: 1.05% · beta_24h: -0.895
Volume 20% 0.3354 rvol_20: 0.70× · zscore_50: 0.205 · trend: 17.73%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6886 ADX: 22.6 (weak) · Chop: 7.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.905% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -2.918% (0.0092)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.364% 0.5R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.738% 0.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +3.187% 1.1R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
6h ★ +4.009% 1.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 72
8h +4.656% 1.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 96
12h +4.656% 1.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 144
24h +4.656% 1.6R -0.079% 0.0R 58.7× 288
48h +4.656% 1.6R -1.142% 0.4R 4.1× 576
72h +4.656% 1.6R -2.585% 0.9R 1.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 479 min MAE in 859 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 day ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.55
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 34% early near 0.1ATR — 0.34 range_high -0.57% +0.57 29/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 46% late — — -0.05 bear_high -3.96% +0.12 31/10 04:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 48% late near -0.6ATR — 0.02 bear_medium -1.83% -0.55 31/10 10:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate balanced volatile_reversal bear_medium
48%
noisy_chop 41% late — — 0.14 range_low -0.13% -0.07 31/10 10:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#466168
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong balanced 0.673 volatile_reversal bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 34% early 1b -0.5ATR near 0.1ATR — 6.71 100% ↑ +0.70 value -0.53 — #220847 0.34 range_high -0.57% +0.57
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:22
4h
#470872
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong explosive 0.785 volatile_reversal bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 46% late 9b -1.3ATR — — 0.70 97% ↑ +0.95 below_value -3.03 inside #222818 -0.05 bear_high -3.96% +0.12
31/10 04:00
upd 31/10 08:14
1h anchor
#471938
↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading 0.730 compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 48% late 2b -2.7ATR near -0.6ATR — 1.11 86% ↑ +0.16 below_value -4.42 — #223283 0.02 bear_medium -1.83% -0.55
31/10 10:00
upd 31/10 11:09
15m
#471872
↓ down range range moderate balanced 0.529 volatile_reversal bear_medium
48%
noisy_chop 41% late 8b -1.6ATR — — 1.83 76% ↓ -0.38 below_value -3.69 — #223153 0.14 range_low -0.13% -0.07
31/10 10:45
upd 31/10 11:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 1b — 4.593×ATR p44 -0.507×ATR p30
4h ↓ down late 9b — 7.268×ATR p94 -1.265×ATR p70
1h ↓ down late 2b — 1.936×ATR p30 -2.654×ATR p93
15m ↓ down late 8b — 4.31×ATR p81 -1.594×ATR p69

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.32446619
  2. tp_price: 0.30740775
  3. atr: 0.00367048
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-31T21:15:16+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 63
  2. total: 67
  3. score: 0.3246
  4. delta_2h: -0.0406
  5. extension_atr: -2.07
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3751
  9. confidence: 0.939

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 11:15 0.31529000 -0.003%
2 12:15 0.31225000 -0.967%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3153 0.3245 0.3074 0.86 0.3181
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3153
  • Stop Loss: 0.3245
  • Take Profit: 0.3074

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3245 - 0.3153 = 0.0092

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3153 - 0.3074 = 0.0079

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0079 / 0.0092 = 0.8587

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
274.8766 100 871.8215 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0092

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0092 = 869.57

Taille de position USD = 869.57 x 0.3153 = 274.18

Donc, tu peux acheter 869.57 avec un stoploss a 0.3245

Avec un position size USD de 274.18$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 869.57 x 0.0092 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 869.57 x 0.0079 = 6.87

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.87$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 869.57
  • Taille de position USD 274.18
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 6.87
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8587

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 6.89 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.92 % 8.02 $
PNL PNL %
6.89 $ 2.51
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3153 0.3245 0.3074 0.86 0.3181
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3153
  • Stop Loss: 0.3245
  • Take Profit: 0.3074

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3245 - 0.3153 = 0.0092

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3153 - 0.3074 = 0.0079

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0079 / 0.0092 = 0.8587

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -2.918% (0.0092)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.364% 0.5R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.738% 0.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +3.187% 1.1R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
6h ★ +4.009% 1.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 72
8h +4.656% 1.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 96
12h +4.656% 1.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 144
24h +4.656% 1.6R -0.079% 0.0R 58.7× 288
48h +4.656% 1.6R -1.142% 0.4R 4.1× 576
72h +4.656% 1.6R -2.585% 0.9R 1.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 479 min MAE in 859 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 day ago

Commentaires

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