Short Trade on SOPH (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 29431.24 SOPH at 0.00156$ per unit. Take profit: 0.00152 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.001831 (17.45 %)
31 Oct 2026 at 11:15:17
hyperliquid
SOPH
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
31 Oct 2026 11:15
→ 12:00
· 44 minutes
Position
Entry 0.001559$
Qty 29431.2413 SOPH
Size 45.8833$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.00152 (+2.5%)
TP $ 1.15$
SL 0.001831 (-17.45%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.14
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +1.15$
MAE -0.90%
MFE +5.39%
0.3R
expires
31 Oct 17:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 237859)
#63 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 11:00
score du 31/10/2026 11:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4915
Quality Score
0.321
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#63 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
17.45 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#63 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
17.45 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.15×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.23×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
contracting
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.26
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 11:02
31/10 11:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/10 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/10 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7444
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
65.0%
Macro
alt_rotation
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
contracting
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.055
Δ 4h
▲+0.355
Δ 12h
▲+0.103
Δ 24h
▲+0.445
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 60.0% |
| 1h | 45.0% |
| 4h | 77.5% |
| 24h | 65.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 60.0% | +0.02% |
| 4h | 60.0% | +0.26% |
| 24h | 55.0% | +0.62% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.5%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
2.5%
Tail ↑
+0.50
Tail ↓
+0.32
Dispersion :
0.068
Universe :
40
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
31/10 11:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6123
Score SMA
0.5189
Rank
#5
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9545
Rank Norm SMA
0.6599
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4286 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 53.87% · r3d: 46.88% · ema21_slope: -2.8488% · dist_ema21: 2.726% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7500 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 54.65% · rs_3d: 51.27% · beta_24h: -0.428 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9750 | rvol_20: 3.31× · zscore_50: 4.130 · trend: 81.28% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6750 | ADX: 29.9 (trend) · Chop: 47.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 15.722% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.3210
Score SMA
0.4538
Rank
#63
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4915
Rank Norm SMA
0.3751
Calculé le
31/10/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3331 | r1h: -1.013% · r4h: -4.927% · r1d: -17.08% · r3d: 5.32% · ema21_slope: -0.9111% · dist_ema21: -10.499% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3124 | rs_1h: -0.889% · rs_4h: -4.941% · rs_1d: -17.29% · rs_3d: 9.29% · beta_24h: -6.326 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1745 | rvol_20: 0.03× · zscore_50: -0.383 · trend: -74.19% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7572 | ADX: 30.9 (trend) · Chop: 37.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.423% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.5221
Score SMA
0.4823
Rank
#11
/ 67
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8507
Rank Norm SMA
0.4646
Calculé le
31/10/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5687 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 3.950% · r1d: -3.88% · r3d: 10.83% · ema21_slope: 1.1075% · dist_ema21: -0.402% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7056 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 3.599% · rs_1d: -4.21% · rs_3d: 15.40% · beta_24h: 0.506 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3669 | rvol_20: 0.14× · zscore_50: -0.497 · trend: 116.19% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6779 | ADX: 21.4 (weak) · Chop: 8.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 12.192% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -17.447%
(0.0003)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.015% | 0.2R | -0.898% | 0.1R | 3.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.977% | 0.2R | -0.898% | 0.1R | 4.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.939% | 0.3R | -0.898% | 0.1R | 5.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +5.388% | 0.3R | -0.898% | 0.1R | 6.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +9.173% | 0.5R | -0.898% | 0.1R | 10.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +12.380% | 0.7R | -0.898% | 0.1R | 13.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +13.342% | 0.8R | -0.898% | 0.1R | 14.9× | 288 |
| 48h | +13.342% | 0.8R | -13.727% | 0.8R | 1.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +13.342% | 0.8R | -13.727% | 0.8R | 1.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1244 min
MAE in 4 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 day ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.67
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
44%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | — | — | 0.36 | range_high | -0.57% | -1.00 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.16 | bear_high | -3.96% | +0.92 | 31/10 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 49% | mid | — | — | 0.16 | bear_medium | -1.83% | -1.00 | 31/10 10:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | — | — | 0.14 | range_low | -0.13% | -0.32 | 31/10 10:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#466359
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.817 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
44%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late 52b 0.2ATR | — | — | 3.31 | 99% | ↑ +0.50 | above_value | +4.52 | — | #220892 | 0.36 | range_high | -0.57% | -1.00 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:32
|
|
4h
#470955
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.783 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid 4b 0.0ATR | — | — | 0.14 | 52% | ↑ +0.38 | value | +1.20 | — | #222849 | 0.16 | bear_high | -3.96% | +0.92 |
31/10 04:00
upd 31/10 08:19
|
|
1h
anchor #471968
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | 0.677 | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 49% | mid 9b -1.6ATR | — | — | 0.03 | 13% | ↓ -0.76 | value | +0.91 | — | #223312 | 0.16 | bear_medium | -1.83% | -1.00 |
31/10 10:00
upd 31/10 11:11
|
|
15m
#471901
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.591 | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late 15b -3.8ATR | — | — | 0.29 | 17% | ↑ +0.17 | value | +0.91 | — | #223182 | 0.14 | range_low | -0.13% | -0.32 |
31/10 10:45
upd 31/10 11:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 52b | — | 33.648×ATR | p100 | +0.182×ATR | p10 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 3.953×ATR | p58 | -0.027×ATR | p1 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 1.172×ATR | p2 | -1.554×ATR | p66 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 5.445×ATR | p74 | -3.836×ATR | p90 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.00183082
- tp_price: 0.00152002
- atr: 0.00010873
- expires_at: 2026-10-31T21:15:17+00:00
Details
- rank: 62
- total: 67
- score: 0.326
- delta_2h: -0.08
- extension_atr: -1.53
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.4916
- confidence: 0.924
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.001559 | 0.001831 | 0.00152 | 0.14 | 0.001367 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.001559
- Stop Loss: 0.001831
- Take Profit: 0.00152
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.001831 - 0.001559 = 0.000272
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.001559 - 0.00152 = 3.9E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.9E-5 / 0.000272 = 0.1434
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45.8833 | 45.8833 | 29431.2413 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.000272
Taille de position = 8 / 0.000272 = 29411.76
Taille de position USD = 29411.76 x 0.001559 = 45.85
Donc, tu peux acheter 29411.76 avec un stoploss a 0.001831
Avec un position size USD de 45.85$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 29411.76 x 0.000272 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 29411.76 x 3.9E-5 = 1.15
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 1.15$
Résumé
- Taille de position 29411.76
- Taille de position USD 45.85
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 1.15
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.1434
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 1.15 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 17.45 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.15 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.898 % | 5.15 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.001559 | 0.001831 | 0.00152 | 0.14 | 0.001367 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.001559
- Stop Loss: 0.001831
- Take Profit: 0.00152
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.001831 - 0.001559 = 0.000272
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.001559 - 0.00152 = 3.9E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.9E-5 / 0.000272 = 0.1434
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -17.447%
(0.0003)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.015% | 0.2R | -0.898% | 0.1R | 3.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.977% | 0.2R | -0.898% | 0.1R | 4.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.939% | 0.3R | -0.898% | 0.1R | 5.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +5.388% | 0.3R | -0.898% | 0.1R | 6.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +9.173% | 0.5R | -0.898% | 0.1R | 10.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +12.380% | 0.7R | -0.898% | 0.1R | 13.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +13.342% | 0.8R | -0.898% | 0.1R | 14.9× | 288 |
| 48h | +13.342% | 0.8R | -13.727% | 0.8R | 1.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +13.342% | 0.8R | -13.727% | 0.8R | 1.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1244 min
MAE in 4 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 day ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.