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Long Trade on RUNE

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31 Oct 2026 at 12:15:08 hyperliquid

Long Trade on RUNE (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 219.31 RUNE at 0.722$ per unit. Take profit: 0.74 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6855 (5.06 %)

RUNE LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 31 Oct 2026 12:15 → 14:45 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.722$

Qty 219.3085 RUNE

Size 158.3386$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.74 (+2.49%)

TP $ 3.95$

SL 0.6855 (-5.06%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.49

Status loss PnL -5.06% / -8$ MAE -14.13% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 31 Oct 18:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 237898)
#2 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 12:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8895

Quality Score
0.775
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#2 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.06 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#2 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.06 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -1.57×ATR
4h clear 2.25×ATR
1d clear 2.75×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
expanding
OK
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
OK
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
1.03
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 12:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

29/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

31/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

31/10 11:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7448
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

transition

-1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) -1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 89.5%
Macro alt_rotation
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.245
Δ 4h
▲+0.445
Δ 12h
▲+0.530
Δ 24h
▲+0.401

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 47.4%
1h 86.8%
4h 89.5%
24h 68.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 39.5% -0.02%
4h 92.1% +1.03%
24h 68.4% +1.16%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
23.7%
Down ≥1σ
2.6%
Expansion
26.3%
Tail ↑
+0.86
Tail ↓
+0.45
Dispersion : 0.121
Universe : 38 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 31/10 12:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5686
Score SMA
0.5945
Rank
#10 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8977
Rank Norm SMA
0.8491
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4754 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 4.82% · r3d: 3.24% · ema21_slope: -0.3272% · dist_ema21: 0.266%
Force Relative 25% 0.6340 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 5.60% · rs_3d: 7.63% · beta_24h: 1.396
Volume 20% 0.9487 rvol_20: 4.69× · zscore_50: 2.231 · trend: 115.97%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5184 ADX: 16.7 (weak) · Chop: 53.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.068% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.7754
Score SMA
0.5422
Rank
#2 / 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8895
Rank Norm SMA
0.6073
Calculé le
31/10/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9189 r1h: 2.350% · r4h: 5.801% · r1d: 13.58% · r3d: 15.97% · ema21_slope: 0.3059% · dist_ema21: 7.030%
Force Relative 25% 0.9603 rs_1h: 2.127% · rs_4h: 5.838% · rs_1d: 13.61% · rs_3d: 19.66% · beta_24h: 0.597
Volume 20% 0.7476 rvol_20: 3.39× · zscore_50: 0.254 · trend: 48.05%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7661 ADX: 31.9 (trend) · Chop: 36.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.984% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.7776
Score SMA
0.5937
Rank
#1 / 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9559
Rank Norm SMA
0.7985
Calculé le
31/10/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8722 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 5.801% · r1d: 13.58% · r3d: 15.97% · ema21_slope: 0.3837% · dist_ema21: 11.035%
Force Relative 25% 0.9957 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 5.838% · rs_1d: 13.61% · rs_3d: 19.66% · beta_24h: 0.705
Volume 20% 0.6365 rvol_20: 1.92× · zscore_50: 1.277 · trend: 43.50%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6515 ADX: 18.2 (weak) · Chop: 23.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.8462 ATR%: 3.462% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.055% (0.0365)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -4.964% 1.0R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -4.964% 1.0R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -7.555% 1.5R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -14.126% 2.8R 0.0× 72
8h +0.000% 0.0R -14.392% 2.9R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -16.972% 3.4R 0.0× 144
24h +0.000% 0.0R -16.972% 3.4R 0.0× 288
48h +0.000% 0.0R -31.532% 6.2R 0.0× 576
72h +0.000% 0.0R -31.532% 6.2R 0.0× 864

computed 1 day ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 33% early — — 0.68 range_high -0.57% +0.13 29/10 20:00
4h ↑ up range range strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 45% late — — 0.59 bear_high -3.92% +0.95 31/10 08:00
1h ↑ up range range strong fading normal bull_high_confirmed
67%
ranging_calm 54% late — near -1.6ATR 0.48 bear_medium -1.58% +0.81 31/10 11:00
15m ↑ up range bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
56%
noisy_chop 47% late — — 0.45 range_low +0.09% +0.61 31/10 11:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#466185
 ↑ up range range moderate grind 0.690 expansion bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 33% early 1b 0.0ATR — — 4.69 99% ↑ +0.51 value +1.40 — #220851 0.68 range_high -0.57% +0.13
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:23
4h
#472295
 ↑ up range range strong explosive 0.814 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 45% late 6b 2.1ATR — — 1.92 96% ↑ +0.93 above_value +6.51 — #223414 0.59 bear_high -3.92% +0.95
31/10 08:00
upd 31/10 12:13
1h anchor
#472294
 ↑ up range range strong fading 0.380 normal bull_high_confirmed
67%
ranging_calm 54% late 9b 3.5ATR — near -1.6ATR 3.39 95% ↑ +0.47 above_value +6.51 inside #223414 0.48 bear_medium -1.58% +0.81
31/10 11:00
upd 31/10 12:13
15m
#472208
 ↑ up range bullish_transition strong explosive 0.706 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
56%
noisy_chop 47% late 4b 2.4ATR — — 1.78 83% ↑ +0.77 above_value +5.66 — #223285 0.45 range_low +0.09% +0.61
31/10 11:45
upd 31/10 12:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 1b — 1.534×ATR p0 +0.04×ATR p4
4h ↑ up late 6b — 3.886×ATR p46 +2.136×ATR p86
1h ↑ up late 9b — 4.635×ATR p81 +3.506×ATR p100
15m ↑ up late 4b — 3.103×ATR p54 +2.358×ATR p84

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.68551171
  2. tp_price: 0.74003975
  3. atr: 0.01459132
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-31T22:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 1
  2. total: 65
  3. score: 0.9028
  4. delta_2h: 0.0419
  5. extension_atr: 2.81
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8875
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.722 0.6855 0.74 0.49 0.6427
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.722
  • Stop Loss: 0.6855
  • Take Profit: 0.74

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.6855 - 0.722 = -0.0365

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.722 - 0.74 = -0.018

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.018 / -0.0365 = 0.4932

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
158.3386 100 219.3085 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0365

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0365 = -219.18

Taille de position USD = -219.18 x 0.722 = -158.25

Donc, tu peux acheter -219.18 avec un stoploss a 0.6855

Avec un position size USD de -158.25$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -219.18 x -0.0365 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -219.18 x -0.018 = 3.95

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.95$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -219.18
  • Taille de position USD -158.25
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.95
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4932

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.49 % 3.95 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.06 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -5.06
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-5.2396 % 103.64 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.722 0.6855 0.74 0.49 0.6427
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.722
  • Stop Loss: 0.6855
  • Take Profit: 0.74

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.6855 - 0.722 = -0.0365

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.722 - 0.74 = -0.018

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.018 / -0.0365 = 0.4932

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.74
            [entry_price] => 0.722
            [stop_loss] => 0.68185
            [rr_ratio] => 0.45
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-31 19:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.74
            [entry_price] => 0.722
            [stop_loss] => 0.6782
            [rr_ratio] => 0.41
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-31 19:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.74
            [entry_price] => 0.722
            [stop_loss] => 0.67455
            [rr_ratio] => 0.38
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-31 19:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.74
            [entry_price] => 0.722
            [stop_loss] => 0.66725
            [rr_ratio] => 0.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-31 21:50:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.055% (0.0365)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -4.964% 1.0R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -4.964% 1.0R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -7.555% 1.5R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -14.126% 2.8R 0.0× 72
8h +0.000% 0.0R -14.392% 2.9R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -16.972% 3.4R 0.0× 144
24h +0.000% 0.0R -16.972% 3.4R 0.0× 288
48h +0.000% 0.0R -31.532% 6.2R 0.0× 576
72h +0.000% 0.0R -31.532% 6.2R 0.0× 864

computed 1 day ago

Commentaires

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