Short Trade on SOPH (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 31778.82 SOPH at 0.0015$ per unit. Take profit: 0.001462 (2.53 %) & Stop Loss: 0.001752 (16.8 %)
31 Oct 2026 at 13:15:09
hyperliquid
SOPH
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
31 Oct 2026 13:15
→ 17:45
· 4 hours
Position
Entry 0.0015$
Qty 31778.8194 SOPH
Size 47.6682$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.001462 (+2.53%)
TP $ 1.21$
SL 0.001752 (-16.8%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.15
Status
win
PnL
+2.53%
/ +1.21$
MAE -0.73%
MFE +5.60%
0.3R
expires
31 Oct 19:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 238052)
#63 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 13:00
score du 31/10/2026 13:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3022
Quality Score
0.281
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#63 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
16.80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#63 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
16.80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.82×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.58×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
contracting
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.44
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 13:02
31/10 13:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/10 12:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7452
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
71.1%
Macro
alt_rotation
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
contracting
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.184
Δ 4h
→+0.021
Δ 12h
▲+0.518
Δ 24h
▲+0.148
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 55.3% |
| 1h | 47.4% |
| 4h | 68.4% |
| 24h | 76.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 60.5% | +0.02% |
| 4h | 65.8% | +0.44% |
| 24h | 68.4% | +1.25% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
7.9%
Down ≥1σ
5.3%
Expansion
13.2%
Tail ↑
+0.61
Tail ↓
+0.52
Dispersion :
0.128
Universe :
38
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
31/10 13:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6123
Score SMA
0.5189
Rank
#5
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9545
Rank Norm SMA
0.6599
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4286 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 53.87% · r3d: 46.88% · ema21_slope: -2.8488% · dist_ema21: 2.726% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7500 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 54.65% · rs_3d: 51.27% · beta_24h: -0.428 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9750 | rvol_20: 3.31× · zscore_50: 4.130 · trend: 81.28% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6750 | ADX: 29.9 (trend) · Chop: 47.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 15.722% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.2807
Score SMA
0.4470
Rank
#63
/ 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3022
Rank Norm SMA
0.3634
Calculé le
31/10/2026 13:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1314 | r1h: -1.116% · r4h: -4.981% · r1d: -27.41% · r3d: 2.03% · ema21_slope: -1.1486% · dist_ema21: -11.675% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2702 | rs_1h: -1.141% · rs_4h: -5.062% · rs_1d: -27.76% · rs_3d: 5.79% · beta_24h: -1.292 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1750 | rvol_20: 0.05× · zscore_50: -0.375 · trend: -85.31% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7497 | ADX: 30.0 (trend) · Chop: 36.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.040% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.3564
Score SMA
0.4732
Rank
#60
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4560
Rank Norm SMA
0.4440
Calculé le
31/10/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3670 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -8.082% · r1d: -12.01% · r3d: 1.53% · ema21_slope: 1.0138% · dist_ema21: -7.743% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3475 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -8.046% · rs_1d: -11.98% · rs_3d: 5.23% · beta_24h: 0.407 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2975 | rvol_20: 0.03× · zscore_50: -0.558 · trend: 51.02% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6660 | ADX: 19.9 (weak) · Chop: 11.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 12.945% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -16.800%
(0.0003)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.733% | 0.0R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.200% | 0.1R | -0.733% | 0.0R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.667% | 0.1R | -0.733% | 0.0R | 2.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +5.600% | 0.3R | -0.733% | 0.0R | 7.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +6.867% | 0.4R | -0.733% | 0.0R | 9.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +9.200% | 0.6R | -0.733% | 0.0R | 12.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +9.933% | 0.6R | -0.733% | 0.0R | 13.6× | 288 |
| 48h | +9.933% | 0.6R | -18.200% | 1.1R | 0.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.933% | 0.6R | -18.200% | 1.1R | 0.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1124 min
MAE in 44 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 day ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.44
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
44%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | — | — | 0.36 | range_high | -0.57% | -1.00 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.16 | bear_high | -3.92% | +0.47 | 31/10 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 52% | mid | — | — | 0.16 | bear_medium | -1.52% | -1.00 | 31/10 12:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
ranging_calm 63% | late | — | — | 0.13 | range_low | +0.08% | -0.77 | 31/10 12:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#466359
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.817 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
44%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late 52b 0.2ATR | — | — | 3.31 | 99% | ↑ +0.50 | above_value | +4.52 | — | #220892 | 0.36 | range_high | -0.57% | -1.00 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:32
|
|
4h
#472357
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.766 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid 5b -0.5ATR | — | — | 0.03 | 19% | ↔ +0.08 | value | +1.04 | — | #223441 | 0.16 | bear_high | -3.92% | +0.47 |
31/10 08:00
upd 31/10 12:16
|
|
1h
anchor #472695
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.505 | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 52% | mid 5b -1.7ATR | — | — | 0.05 | 18% | ↓ -0.66 | above_value | +0.10 | — | #223633 | 0.16 | bear_medium | -1.52% | -1.00 |
31/10 12:00
upd 31/10 13:10
|
|
15m
#472630
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.748 | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
ranging_calm 63% | late 7b -4.6ATR | — | — | 3.85 | 49% | ↑ +0.79 | value | +1.04 | — | #223441 | 0.13 | range_low | +0.08% | -0.77 |
31/10 12:45
upd 31/10 13:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 52b | — | 33.648×ATR | p100 | +0.182×ATR | p10 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 4.729×ATR | p66 | -0.512×ATR | p22 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 1.527×ATR | p2 | -1.73×ATR | p74 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 4.76×ATR | p69 | -4.561×ATR | p98 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.00175174
- tp_price: 0.0014625
- atr: 0.0001007
- expires_at: 2026-10-31T23:15:09+00:00
Details
- rank: 65
- total: 66
- score: 0.1662
- delta_2h: -0.1669
- extension_atr: -1.81
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3022
- confidence: 0.985
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0015 | 0.001752 | 0.001462 | 0.15 | 0.001443 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0015
- Stop Loss: 0.001752
- Take Profit: 0.001462
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.001752 - 0.0015 = 0.000252
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0015 - 0.001462 = 3.8E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.8E-5 / 0.000252 = 0.1508
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47.6682 | 47.6682 | 31778.8194 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.000252
Taille de position = 8 / 0.000252 = 31746.03
Taille de position USD = 31746.03 x 0.0015 = 47.62
Donc, tu peux acheter 31746.03 avec un stoploss a 0.001752
Avec un position size USD de 47.62$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 31746.03 x 0.000252 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 31746.03 x 3.8E-5 = 1.21
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 1.21$
Résumé
- Taille de position 31746.03
- Taille de position USD 47.62
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 1.21
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.1508
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.53 % | 1.21 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 16.8 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.21 $ | 2.53 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7333 % | 4.36 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0015 | 0.001752 | 0.001462 | 0.15 | 0.001443 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0015
- Stop Loss: 0.001752
- Take Profit: 0.001462
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.001752 - 0.0015 = 0.000252
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0015 - 0.001462 = 3.8E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.8E-5 / 0.000252 = 0.1508
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -16.800%
(0.0003)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.733% | 0.0R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.200% | 0.1R | -0.733% | 0.0R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.667% | 0.1R | -0.733% | 0.0R | 2.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +5.600% | 0.3R | -0.733% | 0.0R | 7.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +6.867% | 0.4R | -0.733% | 0.0R | 9.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +9.200% | 0.6R | -0.733% | 0.0R | 12.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +9.933% | 0.6R | -0.733% | 0.0R | 13.6× | 288 |
| 48h | +9.933% | 0.6R | -18.200% | 1.1R | 0.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.933% | 0.6R | -18.200% | 1.1R | 0.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1124 min
MAE in 44 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 day ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.