31 Oct 2026 at 13:15:09 hyperliquid

Short Trade on TRX (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 872.46 TRX at 0.311$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3037 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3207 (2.95 %)

TRX SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 31 Oct 2026 13:15 → 16:55 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 0.3115$

Qty 872.4586 TRX

Size 271.7883$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.3037 (+2.5%)

TP $ 6.81$

SL 0.3207 (-2.95%)

SL $ 8.03$

RR 0.85

Status win PnL +2.50% / +6.81$ MAE -0.00% MFE +3.49% 1.2R expires 31 Oct 19:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 238024)
#52 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 13:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3496

Quality Score
0.433
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#52 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#52 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear —
1d near 0.06×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
contracting
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.44
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
12.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 13:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

29/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

31/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

31/10 12:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7452
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

transition

+1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 71.1%
Macro alt_rotation
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state contracting
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.184
Δ 4h
→+0.021
Δ 12h
▲+0.518
Δ 24h
▲+0.148

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 55.3%
1h 47.4%
4h 68.4%
24h 76.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 60.5% +0.02%
4h 65.8% +0.44%
24h 68.4% +1.25%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
7.9%
Down ≥1σ
5.3%
Expansion
13.2%
Tail ↑
+0.61
Tail ↓
+0.52
Dispersion : 0.128
Universe : 38 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 31/10 13:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6534
Score SMA
0.5643
Rank
#4 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9659
Rank Norm SMA
0.9115
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4405 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -6.72% · r3d: -0.67% · ema21_slope: -0.0049% · dist_ema21: -1.147%
Force Relative 25% 0.5059 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -5.94% · rs_3d: 3.72% · beta_24h: -0.454
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 6.71× · zscore_50: 4.604 · trend: 346.32%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6318 ADX: 15.8 (weak) · Chop: 17.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.365% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.4333
Score SMA
0.5082
Rank
#52 / 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3496
Rank Norm SMA
0.4227
Calculé le
31/10/2026 13:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2568 r1h: -0.528% · r4h: -2.470% · r1d: -7.52% · r3d: -5.58% · ema21_slope: -0.2412% · dist_ema21: -3.342%
Force Relative 25% 0.3102 rs_1h: -0.553% · rs_4h: -2.551% · rs_1d: -7.87% · rs_3d: -1.83% · beta_24h: 0.056
Volume 20% 0.3707 rvol_20: 1.49× · zscore_50: -0.286 · trend: -26.10%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6974 ADX: 27.8 (trend) · Chop: 42.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.172% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.4568
Score SMA
0.5545
Rank
#46 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5216
Rank Norm SMA
0.7296
Calculé le
31/10/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3555 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.402% · r1d: -7.02% · r3d: -5.50% · ema21_slope: -0.0146% · dist_ema21: -5.178%
Force Relative 25% 0.3352 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.366% · rs_1d: -6.99% · rs_3d: -1.80% · beta_24h: -0.941
Volume 20% 0.3159 rvol_20: 0.63× · zscore_50: 0.159 · trend: 13.73%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6877 ADX: 22.5 (weak) · Chop: 8.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.044% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -2.954% (0.0092)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.416% 0.5R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +2.006% 0.7R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +2.838% 1.0R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
6h ★ +3.493% 1.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 72
8h +3.493% 1.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 96
12h +3.493% 1.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 144
24h +3.493% 1.2R -1.300% 0.4R 2.7× 288
48h +3.493% 1.2R -2.645% 0.9R 1.3× 576
72h +3.493% 1.2R -3.836% 1.3R 0.9× 864
⏱ MFE in 359 min MAE in 739 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 day ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.47
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 34% early near 0.1ATR — 0.34 range_high -0.57% +0.57 29/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 48% late — — -0.05 bear_high -3.92% -0.13 31/10 08:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading compression bear_high
57%
choppy 52% late — — 0.01 bear_medium -1.52% -0.60 31/10 12:00
15m ↓ down range range strong grind expansion bear_medium
58%
noisy_chop 50% late — — 0.15 range_low +0.08% -0.29 31/10 12:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#466168
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong balanced 0.673 volatile_reversal bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 34% early 1b -0.5ATR near 0.1ATR — 6.71 100% ↑ +0.70 value -0.53 — #220847 0.34 range_high -0.57% +0.57
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:22
4h
#472291
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong balanced 0.665 volatile_reversal bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 48% late 10b -1.8ATR — — 0.63 97% ↑ +0.88 below_value -5.09 inside #223412 -0.05 bear_high -3.92% -0.13
31/10 08:00
upd 31/10 12:13
1h anchor
#472666
↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading 0.729 compression bear_high
57%
choppy 52% late 4b -3.5ATR — — 1.49 90% ↑ +0.24 below_value -5.65 inside #223604 0.01 bear_medium -1.52% -0.60
31/10 12:00
upd 31/10 13:09
15m
#472601
↓ down range range strong grind 0.449 expansion bear_medium
58%
noisy_chop 50% late 16b -2.4ATR — — 1.02 57% ↔ +0.13 below_value -5.09 — #223412 0.15 range_low +0.08% -0.29
31/10 12:45
upd 31/10 13:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 1b — 4.593×ATR p44 -0.507×ATR p30
4h ↓ down late 10b — 8.146×ATR p94 -1.815×ATR p87
1h ↓ down late 4b — 3.181×ATR p68 -3.454×ATR p99
15m ↓ down late 16b — 6.937×ATR p94 -2.427×ATR p85

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.32068949
  2. tp_price: 0.303732
  3. atr: 0.0036678
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-31T23:15:09+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 64
  2. total: 66
  3. score: 0.2568
  4. delta_2h: -0.0678
  5. extension_atr: -2.48
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3496
  9. confidence: 0.969

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3115 0.3207 0.3037 0.85 0.3197
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3115
  • Stop Loss: 0.3207
  • Take Profit: 0.3037

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3207 - 0.3115 = 0.0092

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3115 - 0.3037 = 0.0078

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0078 / 0.0092 = 0.8478

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
271.7883 100 872.4586 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0092

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0092 = 869.57

Taille de position USD = 869.57 x 0.3115 = 270.87

Donc, tu peux acheter 869.57 avec un stoploss a 0.3207

Avec un position size USD de 270.87$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 869.57 x 0.0092 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 869.57 x 0.0078 = 6.78

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.78$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 869.57
  • Taille de position USD 270.87
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 6.78
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8478

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 6.81 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.95 % 8.03 $
PNL PNL %
6.81 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3115 0.3207 0.3037 0.85 0.3197
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3115
  • Stop Loss: 0.3207
  • Take Profit: 0.3037

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3207 - 0.3115 = 0.0092

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3115 - 0.3037 = 0.0078

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0078 / 0.0092 = 0.8478

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -2.954% (0.0092)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.416% 0.5R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +2.006% 0.7R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +2.838% 1.0R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
6h ★ +3.493% 1.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 72
8h +3.493% 1.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 96
12h +3.493% 1.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 144
24h +3.493% 1.2R -1.300% 0.4R 2.7× 288
48h +3.493% 1.2R -2.645% 0.9R 1.3× 576
72h +3.493% 1.2R -3.836% 1.3R 0.9× 864
⏱ MFE in 359 min MAE in 739 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 day ago

Commentaires

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