Long Trade on MORPHO (PavLongMomentum4h)
With 31.91 MORPHO at 2.406$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 2.2625 (5.94 %)
31 Oct 2026 at 13:26:10
hyperliquid
MORPHO
LONG
PavLongMomentum4h
hyperliquid
31 Oct 2026 13:26
→ 10:59
· 22 hours
Position
Entry 2.4055$
Qty 31.9121 MORPHO
Size 76.7645$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 76.76$
SL 2.2625 (-5.94%)
SL $ 4.56$
RR
Status
loss
PnL
-5.39%
/ -4.14$
MAE -2.74%
MFE +0.91%
0.2R
Exit
trailing_ma:4h:9
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 238048)
#1 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 13:00
score du 31/10/2026 13:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8764
Quality Score
0.864
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#1 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.25×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.28×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.21×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie PavLongMomentum4h. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie PavLongMomentum4h. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 13:17
31/10 13:17
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 31/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 31/10 12:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7453
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
transition
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
78.1%
Macro
alt_rotation
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
expanding
Δ 15m
▲+0.070
Δ 1h
▲+0.088
Δ 4h
▲+0.069
Δ 12h
▲+0.585
Δ 24h
▲+0.261
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 31.6% |
| 1h | 31.6% |
| 4h | 84.2% |
| 24h | 79.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 42.1% | -0.03% |
| 4h | 79.0% | +0.66% |
| 24h | 73.7% | +1.47% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
10.5%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
10.5%
Tail ↑
+0.60
Tail ↓
+0.57
Dispersion :
0.137
Universe :
38
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
31/10 13:16
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3582
Score SMA
0.2955
Rank
#61
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3182
Rank Norm SMA
0.3200
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1670 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.71% · r3d: -4.91% · ema21_slope: -0.7084% · dist_ema21: -8.712% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4171 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.93% · rs_3d: -0.52% · beta_24h: 1.345 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6152 | rvol_20: 2.13× · zscore_50: 0.938 · trend: 19.26% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5383 | ADX: 17.6 (weak) · Chop: 51.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.620% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.8635
Score SMA
0.5342
Rank
#1
/ 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8764
Rank Norm SMA
0.5598
Calculé le
31/10/2026 13:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8550 | r1h: 2.576% · r4h: 7.113% · r1d: 13.77% · r3d: 7.36% · ema21_slope: 0.3228% · dist_ema21: 8.907% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.9489 | rs_1h: 2.550% · rs_4h: 7.032% · rs_1d: 13.43% · rs_3d: 11.12% · beta_24h: 0.724 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9066 | rvol_20: 6.95× · zscore_50: 1.599 · trend: 144.98% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7651 | ADX: 31.8 (trend) · Chop: 13.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.732% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.7060
Score SMA
0.4946
Rank
#3
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8297
Rank Norm SMA
0.5526
Calculé le
31/10/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6391 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 7.135% · r1d: 11.21% · r3d: 5.27% · ema21_slope: -0.1457% · dist_ema21: 7.330% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8980 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 7.171% · rs_1d: 11.24% · rs_3d: 8.96% · beta_24h: 1.303 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4644 | rvol_20: 1.41× · zscore_50: 0.860 · trend: -3.72% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6856 | ADX: 22.3 (weak) · Chop: 36.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9401 | ATR%: 3.180% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: PavLongMomentum4h (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -5.945%
(0.1430)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.915% | 0.2R | -2.740% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.915% | 0.2R | -2.740% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.915% | 0.2R | -2.740% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.915% | 0.2R | -2.740% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.915% | 0.2R | -4.398% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.915% | 0.2R | -5.870% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.915% | 0.2R | -9.395% | 1.6R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.915% | 0.2R | -13.652% | 2.3R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 23 min
MAE in 1263 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 day ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 0.46
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.50 | range_high | -0.57% | -0.71 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.52 | bear_high | -3.92% | +0.69 | 31/10 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
71%
|
choppy 61% | late | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.52 | bear_medium | -1.52% | +0.86 | 31/10 12:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
76%
|
ranging_calm 56% | late | — | — | 0.50 | range_low | +0.09% | +0.78 | 31/10 13:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#466329
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.661 | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 35b -1.4ATR | near 0.4ATR | — | 2.13 | 90% | ↑ +0.23 | value | -2.63 | — | #220886 | 0.50 | range_high | -0.57% | -0.71 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:30
|
|
4h
#472342
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.657 | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late 9b 1.8ATR | — | — | 1.41 | 87% | ↔ -0.08 | above_value | +3.69 | — | #223436 | 0.52 | bear_high | -3.92% | +0.69 |
31/10 08:00
upd 31/10 12:15
|
|
1h
anchor #472690
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | 0.390 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
71%
|
choppy 61% | late 11b 4.9ATR | — | near -0.2ATR | 6.95 | 99% | ↑ +0.93 | above_value | +4.81 | inside | #223628 | 0.52 | bear_medium | -1.52% | +0.86 |
31/10 12:00
upd 31/10 13:10
|
|
15m
#472755
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.733 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
76%
|
ranging_calm 56% | late 16b 4.2ATR | — | — | 1.65 | 90% | ↑ +0.87 | above_value | +4.81 | — | #223628 | 0.50 | range_low | +0.09% | +0.78 |
31/10 13:00
upd 31/10 13:17
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 35b | — | 5.682×ATR | p84 | -1.373×ATR | p82 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 4.683×ATR | p81 | +1.806×ATR | p86 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 6.586×ATR | p100 | +4.889×ATR | p100 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 16b | — | 8.744×ATR | p96 | +4.186×ATR | p99 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
PavLongMomentum4h - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 1
- reason: breakout
- stop_price: 2.15481111
- tp_price:
- atr:
- score: 1
- exit_rules: [{"type":"trailing_ma","params":{"period":9,"timeframe":"4h","on":"Close"}},{"type":"time_expiry","params":{"max_bars":20,"timeframe":"4h"}}]
- confidence_pre_ob: 1
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0377
- obi_top10 : 0.0737
- micro_price : 2.38923463
- spread_pct : 0.087954
- mid_price : 2.38865
- bid_wall_price : 2.38
- bid_wall_size : 13281
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 2.4
- ask_wall_size : 13326
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0072
- obi_top5_std : 0.0255
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7007
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : pav_long_momentum
- timeframe : 4h
- breakout_period : 42
- ma_exit_period : 9
- breakout_high : 2.3174
- breakout_high_time : 2026-10-31T12:00:00
- ma_exit_at_entry : 2.15481111
- entry_price : 2.4055 ¸
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:26 | 2.40550000 | 0% |
| 2 | 15:04 | 2.38690000 | -0.773% |
| 3 | 15:31 | 2.39830000 | -0.299% |
| 4 | 15:58 | 2.39830000 | -0.299% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7007ms
Confidence avant OB :
100%
→
100%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.038
avg -0.007
± 0.026
OBI Top 10
0.074
Microstructure
Mid Price
2.3887
Micro Price
2.3892
Spread
0.0880%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
2.3800
Size
13,281.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
2.4000
Size
13,326.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4055 | 2.2625 | 2.2492 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.4055
- Stop Loss: 2.2625
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.2625 - 2.4055 = -0.143
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.4055 - = 2.4055
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.4055 / -0.143 = -16.8217
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76.7645 | 76.7645 | 31.9121 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.143
Taille de position = 8 / -0.143 = -55.94
Taille de position USD = -55.94 x 2.4055 = -134.56
Donc, tu peux acheter -55.94 avec un stoploss a 2.2625
Avec un position size USD de -134.56$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -55.94 x -0.143 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -55.94 x 2.4055 = -134.56
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -134.56$
Résumé
- Taille de position -55.94
- Taille de position USD -134.56
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel -134.56
- Risk-Reward Ratio -16.8217
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 76.76 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.94 % | 4.56 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -4.14 $ | -5.39 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -5.8699 % | 98.74 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4055 | 2.2625 | 2.2492 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.4055
- Stop Loss: 2.2625
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.2625 - 2.4055 = -0.143
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.4055 - = 2.4055
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.4055 / -0.143 = -16.8217
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 2.4055
[stop_loss] => 2.2482
[rr_ratio] => 15.29
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-10-31 17:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 2.4055
[stop_loss] => 2.2339
[rr_ratio] => 14.02
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-31 17:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 2.4055
[stop_loss] => 2.2196
[rr_ratio] => 12.94
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-31 17:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 2.4055
[stop_loss] => 2.191
[rr_ratio] => 11.21
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-31 17:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: PavLongMomentum4h (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -5.945%
(0.1430)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.915% | 0.2R | -2.740% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.915% | 0.2R | -2.740% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.915% | 0.2R | -2.740% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.915% | 0.2R | -2.740% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.915% | 0.2R | -4.398% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.915% | 0.2R | -5.870% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.915% | 0.2R | -9.395% | 1.6R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.915% | 0.2R | -13.652% | 2.3R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 23 min
MAE in 1263 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 day ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.