Short Trade on PONS (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 1503.76 PONS at 0.227$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2229 (1.89 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2325 (2.33 %)
Short Trade on PONS (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 1503.76 PONS at 0.227$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2229 (1.89 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2325 (2.33 %)
Position
Entry 0.2272$
Qty 1503.7594 PONS
Size 341.6391$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2229 (+1.89%)
TP $ 6.47$
SL 0.2325 (-2.33%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 0.81
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0574
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.19×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_pullback_v1 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_pullback_v1 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/10 12:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 31.6% |
| 1h | 31.6% |
| 4h | 84.2% |
| 24h | 79.0% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 60.5% | -0.02% |
| 4h | 79.0% | +0.66% |
| 24h | 73.7% | +1.47% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1676 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.29% · r3d: -12.47% · ema21_slope: -1.9104% · dist_ema21: -20.323% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3583 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.07% · rs_3d: -8.08% · beta_24h: 3.638 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1999 | rvol_20: 0.83× · zscore_50: -0.784 · trend: -61.36% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4016 | ADX: 24.8 (weak) · Chop: 75.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 20.823% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2992 | r1h: -0.418% · r4h: 0.950% · r1d: -3.44% · r3d: -19.51% · ema21_slope: -0.2235% · dist_ema21: -0.539% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3273 | rs_1h: -0.444% · rs_4h: 0.869% · rs_1d: -3.79% · rs_3d: -15.76% · beta_24h: 2.547 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1444 | rvol_20: 0.33× · zscore_50: -0.834 · trend: -55.14% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3980 | ADX: 17.0 (weak) · Chop: 68.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.947% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2299 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.786% · r1d: -3.59% · r3d: -20.24% · ema21_slope: -0.7618% · dist_ema21: -6.221% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3785 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.822% · rs_1d: -3.56% · rs_3d: -16.54% · beta_24h: 3.035 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1992 | rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -0.468 · trend: -27.22% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6712 | ADX: 22.7 (weak) · Chop: 40.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.1763 | ATR%: 5.471% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.519% | 0.2R | -0.731% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.519% | 0.2R | -0.828% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.519% | 0.2R | -2.478% | 1.1R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.519% | 0.2R | -4.622% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.519% | 0.2R | -7.918% | 3.4R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.519% | 0.2R | -9.243% | 4.0R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +7.126% | 3.1R | -9.243% | 4.0R | 0.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +17.694% | 7.6R | -9.243% | 4.0R | 1.9× | 864 |
computed 1 day ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 46% | — | — | — | — | range_high | -0.57% | -1.00 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.40 | bear_high | -3.92% | -0.97 | 31/10 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near 0.2ATR | near 0.1ATR | 0.62 | bear_medium | -1.52% | -0.36 | 31/10 12:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.71 | range_low | +0.06% | +0.03 | 31/10 13:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#466458
|
↔ | — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 46% | — | — | — | 0.83 | 23% | ↓ -0.44 | above_value | -0.55 | inside | #220912 | — | range_high | -0.57% | -1.00 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:37
|
|
4h
#472396
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.473 | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid 9b -1.2ATR | — | — | 0.45 | 22% | ↓ -0.40 | value | -1.78 | — | #223454 | 0.40 | bear_high | -3.92% | -0.97 |
31/10 08:00
upd 31/10 12:18
|
|
1h
anchor #472708
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.535 | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 11b -0.3ATR | near 0.2ATR | near 0.1ATR | 0.33 | 18% | ↔ +0.09 | above_value | -2.38 | — | #223646 | 0.62 | bear_medium | -1.52% | -0.36 |
31/10 12:00
upd 31/10 13:11
|
|
15m
#472840
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.634 | expansion | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 2b -0.3ATR | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.77 | 21% | ↓ -0.49 | above_value | -2.38 | — | #223646 | 0.71 | range_low | +0.06% | +0.03 |
31/10 13:15
upd 31/10 13:33
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 0.951×ATR | p0 | -1.153×ATR | p62 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 11b | — | 1.279×ATR | p2 | -0.322×ATR | p16 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.872×ATR | p13 | -0.339×ATR | p21 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-30 22:15:00
[1] => 0.2314
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-31 01:00:00
[1] => 0.23917
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-31 05:00:00
[1] => 0.22281
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-31 06:45:00
[1] => 0.22941
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-31 08:00:00
[1] => 0.22331
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-31 09:45:00
[1] => 0.22872
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-31 12:00:00
[1] => 0.22851
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-31 13:15:00
[1] => 0.22434
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-31 15:30:00
[1] => 0.23251
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-31 17:15:00
[1] => 0.22672
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.2880736312417
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.20730416372618
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.553810868031
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-29 09:00:00
[1] => 0.28227
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-29 15:00:00
[1] => 0.28701
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-30 00:00:00
[1] => 0.21752
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-30 06:00:00
[1] => 0.24223
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-30 12:00:00
[1] => 0.23395
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-30 15:00:00
[1] => 0.24849
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-30 18:00:00
[1] => 0.22913
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-31 01:00:00
[1] => 0.23917
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-31 05:00:00
[1] => 0.22281
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-31 15:00:00
[1] => 0.23251
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.292374521526
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9613123288901
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.3534850320901
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:45 | 0.22719000 | -0.004% |
| 2 | 14:00 | 0.22690000 | -0.132% |
| 3 | 14:15 | 0.22732000 | +0.053% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 22:15:00 | 0.2314 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-31 01:00:00 | 0.23917 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-31 05:00:00 | 0.22281 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-31 06:45:00 | 0.22941 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-31 08:00:00 | 0.22331 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-31 09:45:00 | 0.22872 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-31 12:00:00 | 0.22851 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-31 13:15:00 | 0.22434 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-31 15:30:00 | 0.23251 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-31 17:15:00 | 0.22672 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 09:00:00 | 0.28227 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-29 15:00:00 | 0.28701 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-30 00:00:00 | 0.21752 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-30 06:00:00 | 0.24223 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-30 12:00:00 | 0.23395 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-30 15:00:00 | 0.24849 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-30 18:00:00 | 0.22913 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-31 01:00:00 | 0.23917 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-31 05:00:00 | 0.22281 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-31 15:00:00 | 0.23251 | ↑ High |
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2272 | 0.2325 | 0.2229 | 0.81 | 0.2237 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2325 - 0.2272 = 0.0053
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2272 - 0.2229 = 0.0043
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0043 / 0.0053 = 0.8113
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 341.6391 | 100 | 1503.7594 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0053 = 1509.43
Taille de position USD = 1509.43 x 0.2272 = 342.94
Donc, tu peux acheter 1509.43 avec un stoploss a 0.2325
Avec un position size USD de 342.94$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1509.43 x 0.0053 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1509.43 x 0.0043 = 6.49
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.49$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.89 % | 6.47 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.33 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.97 $ | -2.33 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.346 % | 100.57 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2272 | 0.2325 | 0.2229 | 0.81 | 0.2237 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2325 - 0.2272 = 0.0053
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2272 - 0.2229 = 0.0043
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0043 / 0.0053 = 0.8113
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2229
[entry_price] => 0.2272
[stop_loss] => 0.23303
[rr_ratio] => 0.74
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-10-31 22:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2229
[entry_price] => 0.2272
[stop_loss] => 0.23356
[rr_ratio] => 0.68
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-31 22:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2229
[entry_price] => 0.2272
[stop_loss] => 0.23409
[rr_ratio] => 0.62
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-31 22:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.519% | 0.2R | -0.731% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.519% | 0.2R | -0.828% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.519% | 0.2R | -2.478% | 1.1R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.519% | 0.2R | -4.622% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.519% | 0.2R | -7.918% | 3.4R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.519% | 0.2R | -9.243% | 4.0R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +7.126% | 3.1R | -9.243% | 4.0R | 0.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +17.694% | 7.6R | -9.243% | 4.0R | 1.9× | 864 |
computed 1 day ago
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