Short Trade on INIT (momentum_rotation_score)
With 444.25 INIT at 0.171$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1887 (10.61 %)
31 Oct 2026 at 14:15:07
hyperliquid
INIT
SHORT
momentum_rotation_score
hyperliquid
31 Oct 2026 14:15
→ 17:15
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.1706$
Qty 444.2453 INIT
Size 75.8105$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 75.79$
SL 0.1887 (-10.61%)
SL $ 8.04$
RR
Status
loss
PnL
-1.86%
/ -1.41$
MAE -4.48%
MFE +1.20%
0.1R
expires
31 Oct 17:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 238051)
#62 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 13:00
score du 31/10/2026 13:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0078
Quality Score
0.317
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#62 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.61 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#62 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.61 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.20×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.75×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.31×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
expanding
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.62
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
874,068 $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 14:02
31/10 14:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 31/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/10 12:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7456
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
76.3%
Macro
alt_rotation
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.053
Δ 4h
▲+0.058
Δ 12h
▲+0.652
Δ 24h
▲+0.329
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 57.9% |
| 1h | 26.3% |
| 4h | 81.6% |
| 24h | 81.6% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 60.5% | +0.01% |
| 4h | 76.3% | +0.62% |
| 24h | 71.1% | +1.48% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
10.5%
Down ≥1σ
2.6%
Expansion
13.2%
Tail ↑
+0.64
Tail ↓
+0.57
Dispersion :
0.125
Universe :
38
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
31/10 14:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7217
Score SMA
0.8146
Rank
#2
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9886
Rank Norm SMA
0.9984
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8571 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -13.45% · r3d: 13.79% · ema21_slope: 2.9813% · dist_ema21: 23.883% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7500 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -12.67% · rs_3d: 18.18% · beta_24h: 1.148 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6421 | rvol_20: 1.54× · zscore_50: 1.139 · trend: 227.54% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9913 | ADX: 59.0 (trend) · Chop: 14.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 14.087% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.3174
Score SMA
0.5569
Rank
#62
/ 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0078
Rank Norm SMA
0.6063
Calculé le
31/10/2026 13:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1287 | r1h: 0.838% · r4h: -4.597% · r1d: -7.95% · r3d: -22.26% · ema21_slope: -0.5465% · dist_ema21: -6.578% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2076 | rs_1h: 0.812% · rs_4h: -4.678% · rs_1d: -8.30% · rs_3d: -18.50% · beta_24h: 0.382 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2370 | rvol_20: 1.03× · zscore_50: -0.708 · trend: -64.39% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6969 | ADX: 43.6 (trend) · Chop: 58.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7500 | ATR%: 3.750% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.3409
Score SMA
0.6052
Rank
#61
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0314
Rank Norm SMA
0.7955
Calculé le
31/10/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4205 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.956% · r1d: -7.41% · r3d: -13.98% · ema21_slope: 0.0331% · dist_ema21: -12.107% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3627 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.919% · rs_1d: -7.38% · rs_3d: -10.29% · beta_24h: 1.027 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1519 | rvol_20: 0.17× · zscore_50: -0.722 · trend: -61.78% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6248 | ADX: 29.1 (trend) · Chop: 52.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.980% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -10.610%
(0.0181)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.196% | 0.1R | -1.043% | 0.1R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.196% | 0.1R | -4.484% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +1.196% | 0.1R | -4.484% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 36 |
| 4h | +1.196% | 0.1R | -4.484% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.196% | 0.1R | -9.988% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.048% | 0.3R | -9.988% | 0.9R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.048% | 0.3R | -18.763% | 1.8R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +20.170% | 1.9R | -18.763% | 1.8R | 1.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +25.141% | 2.4R | -18.763% | 1.8R | 1.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 529 min
MAE in 1064 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 22 hours ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.31
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
73%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.35 | range_high | -0.57% | +1.00 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.17 | bear_high | -3.92% | -0.11 | 31/10 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.14 | bear_medium | -1.52% | -0.75 | 31/10 12:00 |
| 15m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#466354
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.717 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
73%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid 2b 1.2ATR | — | — | 1.54 | 98% | ↑ +0.93 | value | -3.01 | inside | #220891 | 0.35 | range_high | -0.57% | +1.00 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:31
|
|
4h
#472354
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.440 | expansion | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid 13b -1.2ATR | — | — | 0.17 | 74% | ↓ -0.91 | below_value | -7.58 | — | #223440 | 0.17 | bear_high | -3.92% | -0.11 |
31/10 08:00
upd 31/10 12:16
|
|
1h
anchor #472694
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.742 | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 20b -2.3ATR | near -0.2ATR | — | 1.03 | 20% | ↑ +0.19 | below_value | -7.72 | — | #223632 | 0.14 | bear_medium | -1.52% | -0.75 |
31/10 12:00
upd 31/10 13:10
|
| 15m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.628×ATR | p10 | +1.246×ATR | p70 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 13b | — | 3.843×ATR | p50 | -1.244×ATR | p66 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 20b | — | 3.818×ATR | p64 | -2.325×ATR | p94 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1706 | 0.1887 | 0.1433 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1706
- Stop Loss: 0.1887
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1887 - 0.1706 = 0.0181
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1706 - = 0.1706
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1706 / 0.0181 = 9.4254
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75.8105 | 75.8105 | 444.2453 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0181
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0181 = 441.99
Taille de position USD = 441.99 x 0.1706 = 75.4
Donc, tu peux acheter 441.99 avec un stoploss a 0.1887
Avec un position size USD de 75.4$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 441.99 x 0.0181 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 441.99 x 0.1706 = 75.4
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 75.4$
Résumé
- Taille de position 441.99
- Taille de position USD 75.4
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 75.4
- Risk-Reward Ratio 9.4254
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 75.79 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 10.61 % | 8.04 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.41 $ | -1.86 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.4842 % | 42.27 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1706 | 0.1887 | 0.1433 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1706
- Stop Loss: 0.1887
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1887 - 0.1706 = 0.0181
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1706 - = 0.1706
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1706 / 0.0181 = 9.4254
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -10.610%
(0.0181)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.196% | 0.1R | -1.043% | 0.1R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.196% | 0.1R | -4.484% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +1.196% | 0.1R | -4.484% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 36 |
| 4h | +1.196% | 0.1R | -4.484% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.196% | 0.1R | -9.988% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.048% | 0.3R | -9.988% | 0.9R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.048% | 0.3R | -18.763% | 1.8R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +20.170% | 1.9R | -18.763% | 1.8R | 1.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +25.141% | 2.4R | -18.763% | 1.8R | 1.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 529 min
MAE in 1064 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 22 hours ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.