Long Trade on MORPHO

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31 Oct 2026 at 14:15:07 hyperliquid

Long Trade on MORPHO (momentum_rotation_score)

With 63.83 MORPHO at 2.385$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 2.2597 (5.25 %)

MORPHO LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 31 Oct 2026 14:15 → 17:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 2.385$

Qty 63.8304 MORPHO

Size 152.2355$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 152.24$

SL 2.2597 (-5.25%)

SL $ 8$

Status win PnL +0.23% / +0.35$ MAE -1.03% MFE +1.24% 0.2R expires 31 Oct 17:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 238111)

#1 / 60

seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 14:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8985

Quality Score

0.822

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#1 / 60

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

97 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-1

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-1

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.25 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#1 / 60

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

97 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-1

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.25 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.58×ATR
4h	clear	2.28×ATR
1d	clear	5.21×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
4h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	late	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-1

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

alts_leading

attendu : alts_leading

Breadth State

expanding

attendu : expanding / recovering

Décision V5

WOULD TRADE

regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-1

LOW

seuil : ≥ +3

Local 4h

bullish

attendu : bullish

Median return 4h

0.62

attendu : > 1.5

Décision V6

WOULD SKIP

regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

2.0M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 14:02

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 31/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 31/10 13:00 Score : 0 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

29/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

31/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

31/10 13:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7456

Voir snapshot →

range ranging range_breakdown_risk

Strategic	range 0.25	range 0
Operational	bear 0.55	transition -1
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	compression

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 0.67

Transition risk : 0.33

Score contribution (this trade) -1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 76.3%

Macro alt_rotation

Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading

Legacy leadership : alts

Breadth state expanding

Δ 15m

→+0.000

Δ 1h

▲+0.053

Δ 4h

▲+0.058

Δ 12h

▲+0.652

Δ 24h

▲+0.329

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	57.9%
1h	26.3%
4h	81.6%
24h	81.6%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	60.5%	+0.01%
4h	76.3%	+0.62%
24h	71.1%	+1.48%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

10.5%

Down ≥1σ

2.6%

Expansion

13.2%

Tail ↑

+0.64

Tail ↓

+0.57

Dispersion : 0.125

Universe : 38 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M

+0 added · -0 removed

Regime confidence : 0.55

Snapshot évalué : 31/10 14:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.3582

Score SMA

0.2955

Rank

#61 / 89

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3182

Rank Norm SMA

0.3200

Calculé le

30/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.1670	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.71% · r3d: -4.91% · ema21_slope: -0.7084% · dist_ema21: -8.712%
Force Relative	25%	0.4171	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.93% · rs_3d: -0.52% · beta_24h: 1.345
Volume	20%	0.6152	rvol_20: 2.13× · zscore_50: 0.938 · trend: 19.26%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5383	ADX: 17.6 (weak) · Chop: 51.6 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 7.620% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 31/10/2026 14:00

Score brut

0.8215

Score SMA

0.5355

Rank

#1 / 60

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.8985

Rank Norm SMA

0.5599

Calculé le

31/10/2026 14:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.8397	r1h: 0.655% · r4h: 7.649% · r1d: 15.75% · r3d: 8.25% · ema21_slope: 0.3960% · dist_ema21: 8.670%
Force Relative	25%	0.8737	rs_1h: 0.538% · rs_4h: 7.408% · rs_1d: 15.07% · rs_3d: 12.16% · beta_24h: 0.502
Volume	20%	0.8962	rvol_20: 4.99× · zscore_50: 1.443 · trend: 176.48%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7924	ADX: 35.1 (trend) · Chop: 11.7 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.861% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 31/10/2026 12:00

Score brut

0.7060

Score SMA

0.4946

Rank

#3 / 64

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.8297

Rank Norm SMA

0.5526

Calculé le

31/10/2026 12:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6391	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 7.135% · r1d: 11.21% · r3d: 5.27% · ema21_slope: -0.1457% · dist_ema21: 7.330%
Force Relative	25%	0.8980	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 7.171% · rs_1d: 11.24% · rs_3d: 8.96% · beta_24h: 1.303
Volume	20%	0.4644	rvol_20: 1.41× · zscore_50: 0.860 · trend: -3.72%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6856	ADX: 22.3 (weak) · Chop: 36.8 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.9401	ATR%: 3.180% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.254% (0.1253)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.241%	0.2R	-0.927%	0.2R	1.3×	12
2h	+1.241%	0.2R	-0.927%	0.2R	1.3×	24
3h ★	+1.241%	0.2R	-1.031%	0.2R	1.2×	36
4h	+1.241%	0.2R	-1.031%	0.2R	1.2×	48
8h	+1.241%	0.2R	-1.673%	0.3R	0.7×	96
12h	+1.241%	0.2R	-3.577%	0.7R	0.4×	144
24h	+1.241%	0.2R	-5.430%	1.0R	0.2×	288
48h	+1.241%	0.2R	-9.614%	1.8R	0.1×	576
72h	+1.241%	0.2R	-12.910%	2.5R	0.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 49 min MAE in 1439 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 21 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 1.46

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	50%	noisy_chop 42%	late	near 0.4ATR	—	0.50	range_high	-0.57%	-0.71	29/10 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high	54%	noisy_chop 39%	late	—	—	0.52	bear_high	-3.92%	+0.69	31/10 08:00
1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	fading	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	70%	choppy 60%	late	—	near -0.6ATR	0.52	bear_medium	-1.38%	+0.85	31/10 13:00
15m	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	62%	noisy_chop 50%	mid	—	near 0.3ATR	0.49	range_low	+0.19%	+0.62	31/10 13:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #466329	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.661	compression	bear_high	50%	noisy_chop 42%	late 35b -1.4ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	2.13	90%	↑ +0.23	value	-2.63	—	#220886	0.50	range_high	-0.57%	-0.71	29/10 20:00 upd 30/10 20:30
4h #472342	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.657	volatile_reversal	bull_high	54%	noisy_chop 39%	late 9b 1.8ATR	—	—	1.41	87%	↔ -0.08	above_value	+3.69	—	#223436	0.52	bear_high	-3.92%	+0.69	31/10 08:00 upd 31/10 12:15
1h anchor #473014	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	fading	0.390	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	70%	choppy 60%	late 12b 4.3ATR	—	near -0.6ATR	4.99	99%	↑ +0.93	above_value	+4.44	—	#223754	0.52	bear_medium	-1.38%	+0.85	31/10 13:00 upd 31/10 14:11
15m #472951	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.723	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	62%	noisy_chop 50%	mid 1b 2.2ATR	—	near 0.3ATR	1.26	88%	↑ +0.79	above_value	+4.81	—	#223628	0.49	range_low	+0.19%	+0.62	31/10 13:45 upd 31/10 14:03
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	late	35b	—	5.682×ATR	p84	-1.373×ATR	p82
4h	↑ up	late	9b	—	4.683×ATR	p81	+1.806×ATR	p86
1h	↑ up	late	12b	—	6.438×ATR	p100	+4.309×ATR	p99
15m	↑ up	mid	1b	—	1.316×ATR	p4	+2.167×ATR	p79

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 2.25966785
atr: 0.04177738
expires_at: 2026-10-31T21:15:07+00:00

Details

rank: 3
total: 64
score: 0.8103
confidence: 0.968

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
2.385	2.2597			2.2122

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 2.385
Stop Loss: 2.2597
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 2.2597 - 2.385 = -0.1253
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 2.385 - = 2.385
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.385 / -0.1253 = -19.0343

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
152.2355	100	63.8304	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.1253

Taille de position = 8 / -0.1253 = -63.85

Taille de position USD = -63.85 x 2.385 = -152.28

Donc, tu peux acheter -63.85 avec un stoploss a 2.2597

Avec un position size USD de -152.28$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -63.85 x -0.1253 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -63.85 x 2.385 = -152.28

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -152.28$

Résumé

Taille de position -63.85
Taille de position USD -152.28
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel -152.28
Risk-Reward Ratio -19.0343

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
100 %	152.24 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
5.25 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
0.35 $	0.23

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.0314 %	19.63 %	16

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
2.385	2.2597			2.2122

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 2.385
Stop Loss: 2.2597
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 2.2597 - 2.385 = -0.1253
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 2.385 - = 2.385
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.385 / -0.1253 = -19.0343

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.254% (0.1253)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.241%	0.2R	-0.927%	0.2R	1.3×	12
2h	+1.241%	0.2R	-0.927%	0.2R	1.3×	24
3h ★	+1.241%	0.2R	-1.031%	0.2R	1.2×	36
4h	+1.241%	0.2R	-1.031%	0.2R	1.2×	48
8h	+1.241%	0.2R	-1.673%	0.3R	0.7×	96
12h	+1.241%	0.2R	-3.577%	0.7R	0.4×	144
24h	+1.241%	0.2R	-5.430%	1.0R	0.2×	288
48h	+1.241%	0.2R	-9.614%	1.8R	0.1×	576
72h	+1.241%	0.2R	-12.910%	2.5R	0.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 49 min MAE in 1439 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 21 hours ago

Commentaires

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