Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1519.81 NIL at 0.0713$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06954 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07659 (7.39 %)
31 Oct 2026 at 16:15:09
hyperliquid
NIL
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
31 Oct 2026 16:15
→ 22:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.07132$
Qty 1519.8117 NIL
Size 108.396$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.06954 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.71$
SL 0.07659 (-7.39%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.34
Status
loss
PnL
-4.89%
/ -5.3$
MAE -6.05%
MFE +0.10%
0.0R
expires
31 Oct 22:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 238233)
#58 / 59
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 16:00
score du 31/10/2026 16:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0539
Quality Score
0.345
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#58 / 59
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.39 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#58 / 59
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.39 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.47×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.56×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.11×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
contracting
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.10
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
4.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 16:02
31/10 16:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/10 14:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7464
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
56.1%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
contracting
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.184
Δ 4h
▼-0.333
Δ 12h
▲+0.333
Δ 24h
▲+0.206
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 50.0% |
| 1h | 31.6% |
| 4h | 47.4% |
| 24h | 71.1% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 36.8% | +0.00% |
| 4h | 47.4% | -0.10% |
| 24h | 55.3% | +1.03% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
7.9%
Down ≥1σ
5.3%
Expansion
13.2%
Tail ↑
+0.88
Tail ↓
+0.72
Dispersion :
0.112
Universe :
38
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
31/10 16:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4812
Score SMA
0.4662
Rank
#23
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7500
Rank Norm SMA
0.8079
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5064 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 12.07% · r3d: -12.16% · ema21_slope: -0.0820% · dist_ema21: -3.189% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6190 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 12.85% · rs_3d: -7.77% · beta_24h: 1.405 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2919 | rvol_20: 0.92× · zscore_50: -0.232 · trend: -19.87% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7741 | ADX: 32.9 (trend) · Chop: 35.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 17.548% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.3451
Score SMA
0.5073
Rank
#58
/ 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0539
Rank Norm SMA
0.4947
Calculé le
31/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1881 | r1h: -0.495% · r4h: -2.928% · r1d: -9.86% · r3d: -12.28% · ema21_slope: -0.2715% · dist_ema21: -3.784% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2361 | rs_1h: -0.420% · rs_4h: -2.897% · rs_1d: -10.65% · rs_3d: -7.32% · beta_24h: 0.587 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1715 | rvol_20: 0.11× · zscore_50: -0.428 · trend: -74.38% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6459 | ADX: 22.9 (weak) · Chop: 43.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9810 | ATR%: 3.057% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.1997
Score SMA
0.4454
Rank
#59
/ 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0079
Rank Norm SMA
0.4203
Calculé le
31/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0900 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.928% · r1d: -9.86% · r3d: -12.28% · ema21_slope: -0.4775% · dist_ema21: -7.109% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1868 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.897% · rs_1d: -10.65% · rs_3d: -7.32% · beta_24h: 1.140 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2186 | rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -0.634 · trend: -4.39% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5154 | ADX: 18.2 (weak) · Chop: 55.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.672% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.389%
(0.0053)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.102% | 0.0R | -0.733% | 0.1R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.102% | 0.0R | -2.902% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.102% | 0.0R | -2.902% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.102% | 0.0R | -6.053% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.102% | 0.0R | -6.053% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.102% | 0.0R | -6.053% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.803% | 0.5R | -6.053% | 0.8R | 0.6× | 288 |
| 48h | +10.517% | 1.4R | -6.053% | 0.8R | 1.7× | 576 |
⏱ MFE in 1374 min
MAE in 339 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 16 minutes ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.04
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.29 | range_high | -0.57% | +0.16 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.18 | bear_high | -3.92% | -0.73 | 31/10 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.27 | bear_medium | -1.45% | -0.84 | 31/10 14:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.21 | range_low | +0.02% | -0.23 | 31/10 15:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#466344
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.545 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early 3b -0.2ATR | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.92 | 86% | ↔ -0.11 | above_value | -5.96 | — | #220889 | 0.29 | range_high | -0.57% | +0.16 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:31
|
|
4h
#472348
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.391 | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early 6b -0.7ATR | — | — | 0.36 | 19% | ↑ +0.49 | above_value | +0.01 | — | #223438 | 0.18 | bear_high | -3.92% | -0.73 |
31/10 08:00
upd 31/10 12:16
|
|
1h
anchor #473339
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | 0.340 | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early 10b -0.9ATR | — | — | 0.14 | 21% | ↓ -0.63 | above_value | -0.72 | — | #223881 | 0.27 | bear_medium | -1.45% | -0.84 |
31/10 14:00
upd 31/10 15:10
|
|
15m
#473591
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.624 | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late 44b -2.0ATR | — | — | 0.66 | 16% | ↓ -0.48 | above_value | -0.72 | — | #223881 | 0.21 | range_low | +0.02% | -0.23 |
31/10 15:45
upd 31/10 16:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 3.769×ATR | p39 | -0.195×ATR | p15 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.426×ATR | p3 | -0.716×ATR | p42 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 10b | — | 2.195×ATR | p38 | -0.937×ATR | p50 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 44b | — | 10.471×ATR | p97 | -2.013×ATR | p76 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.07658581
- tp_price: 0.06953895
- atr: 0.00210552
- expires_at: 2026-11-01T02:15:09+00:00
Details
- rank: 61
- total: 61
- score: 0.1918
- delta_2h: -0.0247
- extension_atr: -1.27
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0539
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:15 | 0.07132200 | +0.003% |
| 2 | 17:15 | 0.07164000 | +0.449% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07132 | 0.07659 | 0.06954 | 0.34 | 0.06403 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.07132
- Stop Loss: 0.07659
- Take Profit: 0.06954
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07659 - 0.07132 = 0.00527
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07132 - 0.06954 = 0.00178
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00178 / 0.00527 = 0.3378
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 108.396 | 100 | 1519.8117 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00527
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00527 = 1518.03
Taille de position USD = 1518.03 x 0.07132 = 108.27
Donc, tu peux acheter 1518.03 avec un stoploss a 0.07659
Avec un position size USD de 108.27$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1518.03 x 0.00527 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1518.03 x 0.00178 = 2.7
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.7$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1518.03
- Taille de position USD 108.27
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.7
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3378
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.71 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.39 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -5.3 $ | -4.89 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -6.053 % | 81.92 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07132 | 0.07659 | 0.06954 | 0.34 | 0.06403 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.07132
- Stop Loss: 0.07659
- Take Profit: 0.06954
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07659 - 0.07132 = 0.00527
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07132 - 0.06954 = 0.00178
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00178 / 0.00527 = 0.3378
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.389%
(0.0053)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.102% | 0.0R | -0.733% | 0.1R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.102% | 0.0R | -2.902% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.102% | 0.0R | -2.902% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.102% | 0.0R | -6.053% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.102% | 0.0R | -6.053% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.102% | 0.0R | -6.053% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.803% | 0.5R | -6.053% | 0.8R | 0.6× | 288 |
| 48h | +10.517% | 1.4R | -6.053% | 0.8R | 1.7× | 576 |
⏱ MFE in 1374 min
MAE in 339 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 16 minutes ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.