31 Oct 2026 at 16:15:09 hyperliquid

Short Trade on CRV (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 932.84 CRV at 0.284$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2769 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2926 (3.03 %)

CRV SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 31 Oct 2026 16:15 → 22:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.284$

Qty 932.838 CRV

Size 264.926$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2769 (+2.5%)

TP $ 6.62$

SL 0.2926 (-3.03%)

SL $ 8.02$

RR 0.83

Status win PnL +0.32% / +0.85$ MAE -0.24% MFE +0.82% 0.3R expires 31 Oct 22:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 238201)
#53 / 59
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 16:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1469

Quality Score
0.379
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#53 / 59
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.03 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#53 / 59
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.03 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.12×ATR
4h clear 0.66×ATR
1d clear 0.88×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
contracting
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.10
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
4.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 16:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3)

29/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

31/10 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

31/10 15:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7464
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

compression

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 56.1%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h mixed Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state contracting
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.184
Δ 4h
▼-0.333
Δ 12h
▲+0.333
Δ 24h
▲+0.206

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 50.0%
1h 31.6%
4h 47.4%
24h 71.1%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 36.8% +0.00%
4h 47.4% -0.10%
24h 55.3% +1.03%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
7.9%
Down ≥1σ
5.3%
Expansion
13.2%
Tail ↑
+0.88
Tail ↓
+0.72
Dispersion : 0.112
Universe : 38 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 31/10 16:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3574
Score SMA
0.3391
Rank
#62 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3068
Rank Norm SMA
0.4613
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1287 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -5.69% · r3d: -15.09% · ema21_slope: -0.3975% · dist_ema21: -16.302%
Force Relative 25% 0.1802 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.91% · rs_3d: -10.70% · beta_24h: 2.206
Volume 20% 0.9002 rvol_20: 2.89× · zscore_50: 3.036 · trend: 38.88%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6246 ADX: 15.0 (weak) · Chop: 38.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.789% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.3787
Score SMA
0.4685
Rank
#53 / 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1469
Rank Norm SMA
0.2726
Calculé le
31/10/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2904 r1h: -0.473% · r4h: -1.955% · r1d: -0.31% · r3d: -17.06% · ema21_slope: -0.0403% · dist_ema21: -0.723%
Force Relative 25% 0.3288 rs_1h: -0.399% · rs_4h: -1.924% · rs_1d: -1.09% · rs_3d: -12.10% · beta_24h: 0.793
Volume 20% 0.1729 rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -0.407 · trend: -71.75%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.3845 ADX: 19.6 (weak) · Chop: 72.7 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.217% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.3734
Score SMA
0.4240
Rank
#49 / 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1404
Rank Norm SMA
0.2557
Calculé le
31/10/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1911 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.955% · r1d: -0.31% · r3d: -17.06% · ema21_slope: -0.8463% · dist_ema21: -6.108%
Force Relative 25% 0.2489 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.924% · rs_1d: -1.09% · rs_3d: -12.10% · beta_24h: 1.328
Volume 20% 0.1783 rvol_20: 0.26× · zscore_50: -0.326 · trend: -52.35%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8279 ADX: 39.4 (trend) · Chop: 27.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.8089 ATR%: 3.573% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.028% (0.0086)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.761% 0.3R -0.042% 0.0R 18.0× 12
2h +0.761% 0.3R -0.236% 0.1R 3.2× 24
4h +0.761% 0.3R -0.236% 0.1R 3.2× 48
6h ★ +0.820% 0.3R -0.236% 0.1R 3.5× 72
8h +0.961% 0.3R -0.236% 0.1R 4.1× 96
12h +0.961% 0.3R -0.525% 0.2R 1.8× 144
24h +4.056% 1.3R -0.997% 0.3R 4.1× 288
48h +7.486% 2.5R -0.997% 0.3R 7.5× 576
⏱ MFE in 1374 min MAE in 1084 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 17 minutes ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.32
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate fading normal bear_high_confirmed
52%
noisy_chop 46% late — — 0.64 range_high -0.57% -0.89 29/10 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bear_high
44%
noisy_chop 44% mid — — 0.49 bear_high -3.88% -0.85 31/10 12:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 41% early near 0.1ATR — 0.42 bear_medium -1.49% -0.19 31/10 15:00
15m ↔ neutral range range strong balanced expansion range_medium
39%
noisy_chop 46% mid near -0.1ATR — 0.40 range_low +0.02% -0.09 31/10 15:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#466136
↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.440 normal bear_high_confirmed
52%
noisy_chop 46% late 8b -2.1ATR — — 2.89 98% ↔ -0.13 value -8.41 — #220839 0.64 range_high -0.57% -0.89
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:20
4h
#473632
↓ down range range moderate grind 0.509 volatile_reversal bear_high
44%
noisy_chop 44% mid 10b -1.4ATR — — 0.26 12% ↓ -0.30 above_value -0.65 — #223969 0.49 bear_high -3.88% -0.85
31/10 12:00
upd 31/10 16:12
1h anchor
#473631
↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading 0.649 compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 41% early 3b -0.8ATR near 0.1ATR — 0.23 3% ↓ -0.60 above_value -0.65 — #223969 0.42 bear_medium -1.49% -0.19
31/10 15:00
upd 31/10 16:12
15m
#473559
↔ neutral range range strong balanced 0.505 expansion range_medium
39%
noisy_chop 46% mid 7b -1.4ATR near -0.1ATR — 0.18 5% ↓ -0.69 above_value -0.25 — #223847 0.40 range_low +0.02% -0.09
31/10 15:45
upd 31/10 16:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 8b — 4.288×ATR p60 -2.121×ATR p91
4h ↑ up mid 10b — 2.176×ATR p9 -1.426×ATR p76
1h ↓ down early 3b — 2.124×ATR p35 -0.772×ATR p40
15m ↓ down mid 7b — 2.562×ATR p43 -1.443×ATR p77

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.29257598
  2. tp_price: 0.2769
  3. atr: 0.00343039
  4. expires_at: 2026-11-01T02:15:09+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 56
  2. total: 61
  3. score: 0.321
  4. delta_2h: -0.1015
  5. extension_atr: -0.48
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1534
  9. confidence: 0.917

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 16:15 0.28400000 0%
2 17:15 0.28271000 -0.454%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.284 0.2926 0.2769 0.83 0.2625
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.284
  • Stop Loss: 0.2926
  • Take Profit: 0.2769

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2926 - 0.284 = 0.0086000000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.284 - 0.2769 = 0.0071

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0071 / 0.0086000000000001 = 0.8256

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
264.926 100 932.838 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0086000000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0086000000000001 = 930.23

Taille de position USD = 930.23 x 0.284 = 264.19

Donc, tu peux acheter 930.23 avec un stoploss a 0.2926

Avec un position size USD de 264.19$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 930.23 x 0.0086000000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 930.23 x 0.0071 = 6.6

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.6$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 930.23
  • Taille de position USD 264.19
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 6.6
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8256

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 6.62 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.03 % 8.02 $
PNL PNL %
0.85 $ 0.32
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2359 % 7.79 % 13
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.284 0.2926 0.2769 0.83 0.2625
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.284
  • Stop Loss: 0.2926
  • Take Profit: 0.2769

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2926 - 0.284 = 0.0086000000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.284 - 0.2769 = 0.0071

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0071 / 0.0086000000000001 = 0.8256

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.028% (0.0086)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.761% 0.3R -0.042% 0.0R 18.0× 12
2h +0.761% 0.3R -0.236% 0.1R 3.2× 24
4h +0.761% 0.3R -0.236% 0.1R 3.2× 48
6h ★ +0.820% 0.3R -0.236% 0.1R 3.5× 72
8h +0.961% 0.3R -0.236% 0.1R 4.1× 96
12h +0.961% 0.3R -0.525% 0.2R 1.8× 144
24h +4.056% 1.3R -0.997% 0.3R 4.1× 288
48h +7.486% 2.5R -0.997% 0.3R 7.5× 576
⏱ MFE in 1374 min MAE in 1084 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 17 minutes ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.