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Long Trade on MORPHO

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31 Oct 2026 at 17:15:08 hyperliquid

Long Trade on MORPHO (momentum_rotation_score)

With 65.91 MORPHO at 2.394$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 2.2725 (5.07 %)

MORPHO LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 31 Oct 2026 17:15 → 20:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 2.3939$

Qty 65.907 MORPHO

Size 157.7748$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 157.77$

SL 2.2725 (-5.07%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -0.49% / -0.77$ MAE -1.61% MFE +0.67% 0.1R expires 31 Oct 20:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 238348)
#3 / 56
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9665

Quality Score
0.709
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#3 / 56
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.07 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#3 / 56
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.07 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.76×ATR
4h clear 1.32×ATR
1d clear 5.21×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late OK
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down late OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
contracting
NO
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
-0.41
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 17:01
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

29/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

31/10 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

31/10 16:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7468
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical range

0.25

compression

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) -1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 46.0%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h mixed Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state contracting
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.102
Δ 4h
▼-0.251
Δ 12h
▲+0.166
Δ 24h
→+0.020

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 70.3%
1h 18.9%
4h 37.8%
24h 78.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 70.3% +0.02%
4h 43.2% -0.41%
24h 56.8% +0.92%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
5.4%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
5.4%
Tail ↑
+0.50
Tail ↓
+0.46
Dispersion : 0.133
Universe : 37 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 31/10 17:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3582
Score SMA
0.2955
Rank
#61 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3182
Rank Norm SMA
0.3200
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1670 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.71% · r3d: -4.91% · ema21_slope: -0.7084% · dist_ema21: -8.712%
Force Relative 25% 0.4171 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.93% · rs_3d: -0.52% · beta_24h: 1.345
Volume 20% 0.6152 rvol_20: 2.13× · zscore_50: 0.938 · trend: 19.26%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5383 ADX: 17.6 (weak) · Chop: 51.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.620% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.7091
Score SMA
0.5403
Rank
#3 / 56
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9665
Rank Norm SMA
0.5707
Calculé le
31/10/2026 17:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8354 r1h: 0.966% · r4h: 1.222% · r1d: 16.19% · r3d: 7.00% · ema21_slope: 0.5596% · dist_ema21: 6.900%
Force Relative 25% 0.7910 rs_1h: 0.995% · rs_4h: 1.308% · rs_1d: 15.39% · rs_3d: 11.68% · beta_24h: 0.375
Volume 20% 0.4905 rvol_20: 1.38× · zscore_50: 0.027 · trend: 60.61%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8610 ADX: 43.3 (trend) · Chop: 16.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.857% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.7799
Score SMA
0.5027
Rank
#1 / 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9841
Rank Norm SMA
0.5650
Calculé le
31/10/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6399 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.836% · r1d: 14.90% · r3d: 5.97% · ema21_slope: -0.0855% · dist_ema21: 9.342%
Force Relative 25% 0.8685 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.867% · rs_1d: 14.11% · rs_3d: 10.93% · beta_24h: 1.335
Volume 20% 0.8719 rvol_20: 2.65× · zscore_50: 2.520 · trend: 70.15%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6967 ADX: 23.6 (weak) · Chop: 27.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.9194 ATR%: 3.242% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.071% (0.1214)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.063% 0.0R -1.040% 0.2R 0.1× 12
2h +0.063% 0.0R -1.608% 0.3R 0.0× 24
3h ★ +0.673% 0.1R -1.608% 0.3R 0.4× 36
4h +0.673% 0.1R -1.709% 0.3R 0.4× 48
8h +0.673% 0.1R -3.935% 0.8R 0.2× 96
12h +0.673% 0.1R -4.010% 0.8R 0.2× 144
24h +0.673% 0.1R -7.047% 1.4R 0.1× 288
48h +0.673% 0.1R -10.351% 2.0R 0.1× 576
⏱ MFE in 174 min MAE in 1314 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 57 minutes ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 0.15
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 42% late near 0.4ATR — 0.50 range_high -0.57% -0.71 29/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
55%
noisy_chop 42% late — — 0.52 bear_high -3.88% +0.83 31/10 12:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
62%
choppy 54% late — — 0.52 bear_medium -1.49% +0.87 31/10 16:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate fading expansion bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 37% early — near 0.0ATR 0.49 range_low -0.02% +0.35 31/10 16:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#466329
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.661 compression bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 42% late 35b -1.4ATR near 0.4ATR — 2.13 90% ↑ +0.23 value -2.63 — #220886 0.50 range_high -0.57% -0.71
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:30
4h
#473692
 ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition strong explosive 0.655 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
55%
noisy_chop 42% late 10b 2.2ATR — — 2.65 98% ↔ +0.12 above_value +4.73 — #223999 0.52 bear_high -3.88% +0.83
31/10 12:00
upd 31/10 16:15
1h anchor
#474010
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive 0.717 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
62%
choppy 54% late 3b 3.2ATR — — 1.38 88% ↑ +0.86 above_value +5.05 — #224174 0.52 bear_medium -1.49% +0.87
31/10 16:00
upd 31/10 17:10
15m
#473953
 ↑ up range range moderate fading 0.373 expansion bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 37% early 1b 1.2ATR — near 0.0ATR 0.86 83% ↓ -0.74 above_value +4.73 — #223999 0.49 range_low -0.02% +0.35
31/10 16:45
upd 31/10 17:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 35b — 5.682×ATR p84 -1.373×ATR p82
4h ↑ up late 10b — 5.317×ATR p87 +2.186×ATR p90
1h ↓ down late 3b — 0.74×ATR p2 +3.184×ATR p97
15m ↑ up early 1b — 1.102×ATR p0 +1.16×ATR p51

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 2.27251688
  2. atr: 0.04046104
  3. expires_at: 2026-11-01T00:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 2
  2. total: 61
  3. score: 0.7742
  4. confidence: 0.983

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
2.3939 2.2725 2.1499
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 2.3939
  • Stop Loss: 2.2725
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 2.2725 - 2.3939 = -0.1214

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 2.3939 - = 2.3939

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.3939 / -0.1214 = -19.7191

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
157.7748 100 65.907 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.1214

Taille de position = 8 / -0.1214 = -65.9

Taille de position USD = -65.9 x 2.3939 = -157.76

Donc, tu peux acheter -65.9 avec un stoploss a 2.2725

Avec un position size USD de -157.76$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -65.9 x -0.1214 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -65.9 x 2.3939 = -157.76

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -157.76$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -65.9
  • Taille de position USD -157.76
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel -157.76
  • Risk-Reward Ratio -19.7191

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 157.77 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.07 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-0.77 $ -0.49
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.6083 % 31.71 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
2.3939 2.2725 2.1499
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 2.3939
  • Stop Loss: 2.2725
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 2.2725 - 2.3939 = -0.1214

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 2.3939 - = 2.3939

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.3939 / -0.1214 = -19.7191

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 2.3939
            [stop_loss] => 2.26036
            [rr_ratio] => 17.93
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-31 21:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 2.3939
            [stop_loss] => 2.24822
            [rr_ratio] => 16.43
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-31 21:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 2.3939
            [stop_loss] => 2.23608
            [rr_ratio] => 15.17
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-31 21:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 2.3939
            [stop_loss] => 2.2118
            [rr_ratio] => 13.15
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-31 21:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.071% (0.1214)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.063% 0.0R -1.040% 0.2R 0.1× 12
2h +0.063% 0.0R -1.608% 0.3R 0.0× 24
3h ★ +0.673% 0.1R -1.608% 0.3R 0.4× 36
4h +0.673% 0.1R -1.709% 0.3R 0.4× 48
8h +0.673% 0.1R -3.935% 0.8R 0.2× 96
12h +0.673% 0.1R -4.010% 0.8R 0.2× 144
24h +0.673% 0.1R -7.047% 1.4R 0.1× 288
48h +0.673% 0.1R -10.351% 2.0R 0.1× 576
⏱ MFE in 174 min MAE in 1314 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 57 minutes ago

Commentaires

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