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Short Trade on NIL

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31 Oct 2026 at 17:15:09 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_score)

With 1384.44 NIL at 0.0716$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07742 (8.07 %)

NIL SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 31 Oct 2026 17:15 → 20:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.07164$

Qty 1384.4351 NIL

Size 99.1809$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 99.18$

SL 0.07742 (-8.07%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -2.29% / -2.27$ MAE -2.44% MFE +0.42% 0.1R expires 31 Oct 20:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 238350)
#55 / 56
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0405

Quality Score
0.354
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#55 / 56
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.07 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#55 / 56
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.07 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.44×ATR
4h near 0.19×ATR
1d near -1.11×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
contracting
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.41
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
4.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 17:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

29/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

31/10 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

31/10 16:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7468
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

compression

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 46.0%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h mixed Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state contracting
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.102
Δ 4h
▼-0.251
Δ 12h
▲+0.166
Δ 24h
→+0.020

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 70.3%
1h 18.9%
4h 37.8%
24h 78.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 70.3% +0.02%
4h 43.2% -0.41%
24h 56.8% +0.92%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
5.4%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
5.4%
Tail ↑
+0.50
Tail ↓
+0.46
Dispersion : 0.133
Universe : 37 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 31/10 17:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4812
Score SMA
0.4662
Rank
#23 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7500
Rank Norm SMA
0.8079
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5064 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 12.07% · r3d: -12.16% · ema21_slope: -0.0820% · dist_ema21: -3.189%
Force Relative 25% 0.6190 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 12.85% · rs_3d: -7.77% · beta_24h: 1.405
Volume 20% 0.2919 rvol_20: 0.92× · zscore_50: -0.232 · trend: -19.87%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7741 ADX: 32.9 (trend) · Chop: 35.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 17.548% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.3542
Score SMA
0.5060
Rank
#55 / 56
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0405
Rank Norm SMA
0.4897
Calculé le
31/10/2026 17:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2145 r1h: -0.069% · r4h: -1.949% · r1d: -10.08% · r3d: -10.57% · ema21_slope: -0.2895% · dist_ema21: -3.512%
Force Relative 25% 0.2855 rs_1h: -0.039% · rs_4h: -1.862% · rs_1d: -10.88% · rs_3d: -5.89% · beta_24h: 0.612
Volume 20% 0.1704 rvol_20: 0.09× · zscore_50: -0.443 · trend: -78.05%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5580 ADX: 23.8 (weak) · Chop: 55.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.917% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.1947
Score SMA
0.4453
Rank
#59 / 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0079
Rank Norm SMA
0.4203
Calculé le
31/10/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0900 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.928% · r1d: -9.86% · r3d: -12.28% · ema21_slope: -0.4775% · dist_ema21: -7.109%
Force Relative 25% 0.1868 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.897% · rs_1d: -10.65% · rs_3d: -7.32% · beta_24h: 1.140
Volume 20% 0.2186 rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -0.634 · trend: -4.39%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5154 ADX: 18.2 (weak) · Chop: 55.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.672% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -8.068% (0.0058)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.419% 0.1R -2.443% 0.3R 0.2× 12
2h +0.419% 0.1R -2.443% 0.3R 0.2× 24
3h ★ +0.419% 0.1R -2.443% 0.3R 0.2× 36
4h +0.419% 0.1R -3.226% 0.4R 0.1× 48
8h +0.419% 0.1R -5.579% 0.7R 0.1× 96
12h +0.419% 0.1R -5.579% 0.7R 0.1× 144
24h +4.486% 0.6R -5.579% 0.7R 0.8× 288
48h +10.917% 1.4R -5.579% 0.7R 2.0× 576
⏱ MFE in 1389 min MAE in 279 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 47 minutes ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.19
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate fading expansion_after_compression bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 41% early near -1.1ATR — 0.29 range_high -0.57% +0.16 29/10 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 42% early near 0.2ATR — 0.18 bear_high -3.88% -0.73 31/10 12:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong grind compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 45% mid — — 0.27 bear_medium -1.49% -0.82 31/10 16:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 50% late — — 0.21 range_low -0.02% -0.28 31/10 16:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#466344
 ↑ up range range moderate fading 0.545 expansion_after_compression bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 41% early 3b -0.2ATR near -1.1ATR — 0.92 86% ↔ -0.11 above_value -5.96 — #220889 0.29 range_high -0.57% +0.16
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:31
4h
#473696
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive 0.392 compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 42% early 7b -1.0ATR near 0.2ATR — 0.22 10% ↑ +0.24 above_value -0.93 — #224001 0.18 bear_high -3.88% -0.73
31/10 12:00
upd 31/10 16:15
1h anchor
#474012
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong grind 0.342 compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 45% mid 12b -1.2ATR — — 0.09 7% ↓ -0.85 above_value -0.98 — #224176 0.27 bear_medium -1.49% -0.82
31/10 16:00
upd 31/10 17:10
15m
#473955
 ↓ down range range moderate grind 0.618 compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 50% late 48b -1.6ATR — — 0.37 4% ↓ -0.32 above_value -0.93 — #224001 0.21 range_low -0.02% -0.28
31/10 16:45
upd 31/10 17:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 3b — 3.769×ATR p39 -0.195×ATR p15
4h ↓ down early 7b — 1.876×ATR p3 -1.023×ATR p56
1h ↓ down mid 12b — 2.628×ATR p56 -1.209×ATR p60
15m ↓ down late 48b — 11.176×ATR p100 -1.62×ATR p63

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.07741853
  2. atr: 0.00192618
  3. expires_at: 2026-11-01T00:15:09+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 60
  2. total: 61
  3. score: 0.2157
  4. confidence: 0.983

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.07164 0.07742 0.06473
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.07164
  • Stop Loss: 0.07742
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.07742 - 0.07164 = 0.00578

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.07164 - = 0.07164

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.07164 / 0.00578 = 12.3945

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
99.1809 99.1809 1384.4351 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00578

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00578 = 1384.08

Taille de position USD = 1384.08 x 0.07164 = 99.16

Donc, tu peux acheter 1384.08 avec un stoploss a 0.07742

Avec un position size USD de 99.16$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1384.08 x 0.00578 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1384.08 x 0.07164 = 99.16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 99.16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1384.08
  • Taille de position USD 99.16
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 99.16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 12.3945

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 99.18 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
8.07 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-2.27 $ -2.29
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.4428 % 30.28 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.07164 0.07742 0.06473
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.07164
  • Stop Loss: 0.07742
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.07742 - 0.07164 = 0.00578

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.07164 - = 0.07164

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.07164 / 0.00578 = 12.3945

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -8.068% (0.0058)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.419% 0.1R -2.443% 0.3R 0.2× 12
2h +0.419% 0.1R -2.443% 0.3R 0.2× 24
3h ★ +0.419% 0.1R -2.443% 0.3R 0.2× 36
4h +0.419% 0.1R -3.226% 0.4R 0.1× 48
8h +0.419% 0.1R -5.579% 0.7R 0.1× 96
12h +0.419% 0.1R -5.579% 0.7R 0.1× 144
24h +4.486% 0.6R -5.579% 0.7R 0.8× 288
48h +10.917% 1.4R -5.579% 0.7R 2.0× 576
⏱ MFE in 1389 min MAE in 279 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 47 minutes ago

Commentaires

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