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Long Trade on MORPHO

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31 Oct 2026 at 20:15:10 hyperliquid

Long Trade on MORPHO (momentum_rotation_score)

With 71.53 MORPHO at 2.394$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 2.2824 (4.67 %)

MORPHO LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 31 Oct 2026 20:15 → 23:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 2.3942$

Qty 71.5304 MORPHO

Size 171.2581$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 171.26$

SL 2.2824 (-4.67%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -2.28% / -3.9$ MAE -2.49% MFE +0.05% 0.0R expires 31 Oct 23:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 238519)
#3 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9760

Quality Score
0.682
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#3 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.67 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#3 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.67 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.40×ATR
4h clear 1.36×ATR
1d clear 5.21×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down late OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
-0.06
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 20:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

29/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

31/10 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

31/10 19:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7480
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

-2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical range

0.25

compression

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) -3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 51.8%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h mixed Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→+0.045
Δ 4h
→-0.044
Δ 12h
▲+0.068
Δ 24h
▼-0.235

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 36.8%
1h 71.1%
4h 42.1%
24h 39.5%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 39.5% -0.04%
4h 50.0% -0.06%
24h 36.8% -0.44%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.40
Tail ↓
+0.70
Dispersion : 0.054
Universe : 38 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 31/10 20:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3582
Score SMA
0.2955
Rank
#61 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3182
Rank Norm SMA
0.3200
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1670 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.71% · r3d: -4.91% · ema21_slope: -0.7084% · dist_ema21: -8.712%
Force Relative 25% 0.4171 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.93% · rs_3d: -0.52% · beta_24h: 1.345
Volume 20% 0.6152 rvol_20: 2.13× · zscore_50: 0.938 · trend: 19.26%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5383 ADX: 17.6 (weak) · Chop: 51.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.620% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6823
Score SMA
0.5450
Rank
#3 / 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9760
Rank Norm SMA
0.5824
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7664 r1h: 0.271% · r4h: -0.004% · r1d: 13.88% · r3d: 5.34% · ema21_slope: 0.6501% · dist_ema21: 4.329%
Force Relative 25% 0.7178 rs_1h: 0.229% · rs_4h: -0.003% · rs_1d: 13.62% · rs_3d: 10.00% · beta_24h: 1.343
Volume 20% 0.2520 rvol_20: 0.48× · zscore_50: -0.371 · trend: 7.53%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8975 ADX: 47.7 (trend) · Chop: 20.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.698% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6534
Score SMA
0.5086
Rank
#1 / 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
1.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.5829
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5774 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.004% · r1d: 13.88% · r3d: 5.34% · ema21_slope: 0.0021% · dist_ema21: 8.417%
Force Relative 25% 0.8046 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.003% · rs_1d: 13.62% · rs_3d: 10.00% · beta_24h: 1.323
Volume 20% 0.4688 rvol_20: 1.07× · zscore_50: 0.518 · trend: 57.48%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7070 ADX: 24.8 (weak) · Chop: 28.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.9455 ATR%: 3.164% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -4.670% (0.1118)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.054% 0.0R -1.721% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +0.054% 0.0R -2.051% 0.4R 0.0× 24
3h ★ +0.054% 0.0R -2.489% 0.5R 0.0× 36
4h +0.054% 0.0R -3.947% 0.9R 0.0× 48
8h +0.054% 0.0R -4.022% 0.9R 0.0× 96
12h +0.054% 0.0R -4.937% 1.1R 0.0× 144
24h +0.054% 0.0R -7.059% 1.5R 0.0× 288
48h +0.054% 0.0R -10.363% 2.2R 0.0× 576
⏱ MFE in 4 min MAE in 1134 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 56 minutes ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 0.03
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 42% late near 0.4ATR — 0.50 range_high -0.57% -0.71 29/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
55%
noisy_chop 41% late — — 0.52 bear_high -3.80% +0.82 31/10 16:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high
60%
choppy 52% mid — near -0.4ATR 0.52 bear_low -1.38% +0.78 31/10 19:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate fading compression bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 34% early — — 0.37 range_low +0.05% -0.12 31/10 19:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#466329
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.661 compression bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 42% late 35b -1.4ATR near 0.4ATR — 2.13 90% ↑ +0.23 value -2.63 — #220886 0.50 range_high -0.57% -0.71
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:30
4h
#474925
 ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition strong explosive 0.657 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
55%
noisy_chop 41% late 11b 2.1ATR — — 1.07 83% ↑ +0.21 above_value +4.87 — #224513 0.52 bear_high -3.80% +0.82
31/10 16:00
upd 31/10 20:15
1h anchor
#474924
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive 0.711 volatile_reversal bull_high
60%
choppy 52% mid 6b 2.0ATR — near -0.4ATR 0.48 66% ↑ +0.83 above_value +4.87 — #224513 0.52 bear_low -1.38% +0.78
31/10 19:00
upd 31/10 20:15
15m
#474825
 ↑ up range range moderate fading 0.358 compression bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 34% early 12b -0.1ATR — — 0.13 21% ↓ -0.65 above_value +4.70 — #224400 0.37 range_low +0.05% -0.12
31/10 19:45
upd 31/10 20:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 35b — 5.682×ATR p84 -1.373×ATR p82
4h ↑ up late 11b — 5.447×ATR p90 +2.087×ATR p90
1h ↓ down mid 6b — 1.388×ATR p4 +2.001×ATR p79
15m ↓ down early 12b — 2.052×ATR p21 -0.059×ATR p5

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 2.28235945
  2. atr: 0.03728018
  3. expires_at: 2026-11-01T03:15:10+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 3
  2. total: 58
  3. score: 0.7489
  4. confidence: 0.965

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
2.3942 2.2824 2.1874
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 2.3942
  • Stop Loss: 2.2824
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 2.2824 - 2.3942 = -0.1118

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 2.3942 - = 2.3942

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.3942 / -0.1118 = -21.415

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
171.2581 100 71.5304 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.1118

Taille de position = 8 / -0.1118 = -71.56

Taille de position USD = -71.56 x 2.3942 = -171.33

Donc, tu peux acheter -71.56 avec un stoploss a 2.2824

Avec un position size USD de -171.33$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -71.56 x -0.1118 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -71.56 x 2.3942 = -171.33

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -171.33$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -71.56
  • Taille de position USD -171.33
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel -171.33
  • Risk-Reward Ratio -21.415

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 171.26 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.67 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-3.9 $ -2.28
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.3808 % 50.99 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
2.3942 2.2824 2.1874
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 2.3942
  • Stop Loss: 2.2824
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 2.2824 - 2.3942 = -0.1118

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 2.3942 - = 2.3942

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.3942 / -0.1118 = -21.415

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 2.3942
            [stop_loss] => 2.27122
            [rr_ratio] => 19.47
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-01 00:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 2.3942
            [stop_loss] => 2.26004
            [rr_ratio] => 17.85
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-01 00:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 2.3942
            [stop_loss] => 2.24886
            [rr_ratio] => 16.47
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-01 00:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 2.3942
            [stop_loss] => 2.2265
            [rr_ratio] => 14.28
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-01 00:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -4.670% (0.1118)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.054% 0.0R -1.721% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +0.054% 0.0R -2.051% 0.4R 0.0× 24
3h ★ +0.054% 0.0R -2.489% 0.5R 0.0× 36
4h +0.054% 0.0R -3.947% 0.9R 0.0× 48
8h +0.054% 0.0R -4.022% 0.9R 0.0× 96
12h +0.054% 0.0R -4.937% 1.1R 0.0× 144
24h +0.054% 0.0R -7.059% 1.5R 0.0× 288
48h +0.054% 0.0R -10.363% 2.2R 0.0× 576
⏱ MFE in 4 min MAE in 1134 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 56 minutes ago

Commentaires

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