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Short Trade on NIL

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31 Oct 2026 at 20:15:10 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_score)

With 1528.15 NIL at 0.0728$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07804 (7.2 %)

NIL SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 31 Oct 2026 20:15 → 23:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.0728$

Qty 1528.1495 NIL

Size 111.2493$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 111.25$

SL 0.07804 (-7.2%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR

Status loss PnL -1.03% / -1.14$ MAE -3.90% MFE +0.51% 0.1R expires 31 Oct 23:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 238521)
#55 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0368

Quality Score
0.396
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#55 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.20 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#55 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.20 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 2.02×ATR
4h near 0.19×ATR
1d near -1.11×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.06
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
4.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 20:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

29/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

31/10 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

31/10 18:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7480
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

compression

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 51.8%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h mixed Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→+0.045
Δ 4h
→-0.044
Δ 12h
▲+0.068
Δ 24h
▼-0.235

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 36.8%
1h 71.1%
4h 42.1%
24h 39.5%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 39.5% -0.04%
4h 50.0% -0.06%
24h 36.8% -0.44%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.40
Tail ↓
+0.70
Dispersion : 0.054
Universe : 38 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 31/10 20:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4812
Score SMA
0.4662
Rank
#23 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7500
Rank Norm SMA
0.8079
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5064 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 12.07% · r3d: -12.16% · ema21_slope: -0.0820% · dist_ema21: -3.189%
Force Relative 25% 0.6190 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 12.85% · rs_3d: -7.77% · beta_24h: 1.405
Volume 20% 0.2919 rvol_20: 0.92× · zscore_50: -0.232 · trend: -19.87%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7741 ADX: 32.9 (trend) · Chop: 35.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 17.548% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3956
Score SMA
0.5007
Rank
#55 / 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0368
Rank Norm SMA
0.4735
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3651 r1h: 0.349% · r4h: 1.620% · r1d: -9.58% · r3d: -7.24% · ema21_slope: -0.2781% · dist_ema21: -1.367%
Force Relative 25% 0.4021 rs_1h: 0.308% · rs_4h: 1.621% · rs_1d: -9.83% · rs_3d: -2.59% · beta_24h: 0.055
Volume 20% 0.1762 rvol_20: 0.20× · zscore_50: -0.358 · trend: -56.95%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4011 ADX: 23.1 (weak) · Chop: 74.2 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.598% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2393
Score SMA
0.4365
Rank
#56 / 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0089
Rank Norm SMA
0.3993
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2157 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.620% · r1d: -9.58% · r3d: -7.24% · ema21_slope: -0.4300% · dist_ema21: -5.121%
Force Relative 25% 0.3033 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.621% · rs_1d: -9.83% · rs_3d: -2.59% · beta_24h: 1.174
Volume 20% 0.2081 rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.461 · trend: -20.88%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5182 ADX: 18.3 (weak) · Chop: 54.8 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.238% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -7.198% (0.0052)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.507% 0.1R -1.581% 0.2R 0.3× 12
2h +0.507% 0.1R -3.897% 0.5R 0.1× 24
3h ★ +0.507% 0.1R -3.897% 0.5R 0.1× 36
4h +0.507% 0.1R -3.897% 0.5R 0.1× 48
8h +0.507% 0.1R -3.897% 0.5R 0.1× 96
12h +2.234% 0.3R -3.897% 0.5R 0.6× 144
24h +6.008% 0.8R -3.897% 0.5R 1.5× 288
48h +12.337% 1.7R -3.897% 0.5R 3.2× 576
⏱ MFE in 1209 min MAE in 99 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 50 minutes ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.18
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate fading expansion_after_compression bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 41% early near -1.1ATR — 0.29 range_high -0.57% +0.16 29/10 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 42% early near 0.2ATR — 0.18 bear_high -3.88% -0.73 31/10 12:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong grind compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 43% early — — 0.28 bear_medium -1.45% -0.76 31/10 18:00
15m ↓ down pullback bear_trend moderate balanced normal bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 45% early — near 0.4ATR 0.17 range_low +0.05% +0.12 31/10 19:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#466344
 ↑ up range range moderate fading 0.545 expansion_after_compression bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 41% early 3b -0.2ATR near -1.1ATR — 0.92 86% ↔ -0.11 above_value -5.96 — #220889 0.29 range_high -0.57% +0.16
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:31
4h
#473696
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive 0.392 compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 42% early 7b -1.0ATR near 0.2ATR — 0.22 10% ↑ +0.24 above_value -0.93 — #224001 0.18 bear_high -3.88% -0.73
31/10 12:00
upd 31/10 16:15
1h anchor
#474595
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong grind 0.347 compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 43% early 14b -1.2ATR — — 0.71 82% ↓ -0.89 above_value -0.56 — #224402 0.28 bear_medium -1.45% -0.76
31/10 18:00
upd 31/10 19:10
15m
#474827
 ↓ down pullback bear_trend moderate balanced 0.526 normal bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 45% early 3b 0.8ATR — near 0.4ATR 0.13 2% ↑ +0.44 above_value -0.56 — #224402 0.17 range_low +0.05% +0.12
31/10 19:45
upd 31/10 20:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 3b — 3.769×ATR p39 -0.195×ATR p15
4h ↓ down early 7b — 1.876×ATR p3 -1.023×ATR p56
1h ↓ down early 14b — 2.31×ATR p42 -1.169×ATR p59
15m ↑ up early 3b — 1.726×ATR p3 +0.847×ATR p38

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.07803509
  2. atr: 0.00174503
  3. expires_at: 2026-11-01T03:15:10+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 55
  2. total: 58
  3. score: 0.3434
  4. confidence: 0.947

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.0728 0.07804 0.06363
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.0728
  • Stop Loss: 0.07804
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.07804 - 0.0728 = 0.00524

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.0728 - = 0.0728

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0728 / 0.00524 = 13.8931

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
111.2493 100 1528.1495 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00524

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00524 = 1526.72

Taille de position USD = 1526.72 x 0.0728 = 111.15

Donc, tu peux acheter 1526.72 avec un stoploss a 0.07804

Avec un position size USD de 111.15$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1526.72 x 0.00524 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1526.72 x 0.0728 = 111.15

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 111.15$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1526.72
  • Taille de position USD 111.15
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 111.15
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 13.8931

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 111.25 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
7.2 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-1.14 $ -1.03
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.897 % 54.14 % 6
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.0728 0.07804 0.06363
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.0728
  • Stop Loss: 0.07804
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.07804 - 0.0728 = 0.00524

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.0728 - = 0.0728

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0728 / 0.00524 = 13.8931

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -7.198% (0.0052)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.507% 0.1R -1.581% 0.2R 0.3× 12
2h +0.507% 0.1R -3.897% 0.5R 0.1× 24
3h ★ +0.507% 0.1R -3.897% 0.5R 0.1× 36
4h +0.507% 0.1R -3.897% 0.5R 0.1× 48
8h +0.507% 0.1R -3.897% 0.5R 0.1× 96
12h +2.234% 0.3R -3.897% 0.5R 0.6× 144
24h +6.008% 0.8R -3.897% 0.5R 1.5× 288
48h +12.337% 1.7R -3.897% 0.5R 3.2× 576
⏱ MFE in 1209 min MAE in 99 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 50 minutes ago

Commentaires

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