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Short Trade on SOPH

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31 Oct 2026 at 21:15:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on SOPH (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 46014.03 SOPH at 0.00141$ per unit. Take profit: 0.001377 (2.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.001586 (12.32 %)

SOPH SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 31 Oct 2026 21:15 → 22:20 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.001412$

Qty 46014.0343 SOPH

Size 64.9718$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.001377 (+2.48%)

TP $ 1.61$

SL 0.001586 (-12.32%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.2

Status win PnL +2.48% / +1.61$ MAE -1.35% MFE +4.04% 0.3R expires 01 Nov 02:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 238693)
#57 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 21:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0000

Quality Score
0.211
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#57 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
12.32 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#57 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
12.32 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.27×ATR
4h near 0.14×ATR
1d near 0.07×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
expanding
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.28
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 21:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3)

30/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

31/10 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

31/10 20:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7484
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

compression

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 71.4%
Macro btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.197
Δ 4h
▲+0.255
Δ 12h
→+0.024
Δ 24h
▼-0.155

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 65.7%
1h 77.1%
4h 74.3%
24h 42.9%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 65.7% +0.04%
4h 62.9% +0.28%
24h 40.0% -0.35%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
2.9%
Expansion
2.9%
Tail ↑
+0.43
Tail ↓
+0.41
Dispersion : 0.076
Universe : 35 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 31/10 21:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3437
Score SMA
0.4695
Rank
#29 / 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5000
Rank Norm SMA
0.5906
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1117 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -33.86% · r3d: -2.91% · ema21_slope: -2.7550% · dist_ema21: -30.014%
Force Relative 25% 0.2599 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -34.11% · rs_3d: 1.74% · beta_24h: -0.843
Volume 20% 0.7278 rvol_20: 1.85× · zscore_50: 1.954 · trend: 86.19%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6642 ADX: 28.9 (trend) · Chop: 47.7 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 26.022% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.2109
Score SMA
0.4204
Rank
#57 / 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.3171
Calculé le
31/10/2026 21:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0552 r1h: -2.022% · r4h: -5.894% · r1d: -34.92% · r3d: -4.62% · ema21_slope: -0.9894% · dist_ema21: -10.596%
Force Relative 25% 0.1571 rs_1h: -2.155% · rs_4h: -6.055% · rs_1d: -35.06% · rs_3d: -0.38% · beta_24h: -4.061
Volume 20% 0.1767 rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -0.350 · trend: -96.82%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5654 ADX: 31.0 (trend) · Chop: 62.0 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.2936 ATR%: 5.119% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3079
Score SMA
0.4547
Rank
#55 / 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0954
Rank Norm SMA
0.4036
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3319 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -4.844% · r1d: -33.86% · r3d: -2.91% · ema21_slope: 0.8622% · dist_ema21: -11.488%
Force Relative 25% 0.2841 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -4.843% · rs_1d: -34.11% · rs_3d: 1.74% · beta_24h: 0.365
Volume 20% 0.1987 rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -0.530 · trend: -24.48%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6504 ADX: 18.0 (weak) · Chop: 16.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 12.509% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -12.323% (0.0002)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.346% 0.1R 0.0× 12
2h +3.258% 0.3R -1.346% 0.1R 2.4× 24
4h +3.541% 0.3R -1.346% 0.1R 2.6× 48
6h ★ +4.037% 0.3R -1.346% 0.1R 3.0× 72
8h +4.179% 0.3R -1.346% 0.1R 3.1× 96
12h +4.320% 0.4R -1.346% 0.1R 3.2× 144
24h +4.320% 0.4R -9.986% 0.8R 0.4× 288
48h +4.320% 0.4R -25.567% 2.1R 0.2× 576
72h +4.320% 0.4R -25.567% 2.1R 0.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 644 min MAE in 1009 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 7 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.31
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong grind volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
46%
noisy_chop 53% mid near 0.1ATR — 0.33 range_high -0.31% -1.00 30/10 20:00
4h ↓ down range range strong explosive volatile_reversal bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 45% mid near 0.1ATR — 0.16 bear_high -3.80% -0.08 31/10 16:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading compression bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 45% late — — 0.16 bear_low -1.22% -1.00 31/10 20:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading expansion_after_compression bear_high
63%
choppy 60% mid — — 0.10 range_low +0.18% -0.61 31/10 20:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#475048
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong grind 0.374 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
46%
noisy_chop 53% mid 1b -1.7ATR near 0.1ATR — 1.85 97% ↑ +0.57 above_value -0.28 — #224516 0.33 range_high -0.31% -1.00
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 20:22
4h
#474931
 ↓ down range range strong explosive 0.253 volatile_reversal bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 45% mid 7b -0.7ATR near 0.1ATR — 0.02 9% ↓ -0.32 above_value -0.28 — #224516 0.16 bear_high -3.80% -0.08
31/10 16:00
upd 31/10 20:15
1h anchor
#475297
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading 0.747 compression bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 45% late 13b -4.8ATR — — 0.02 7% ↓ -1.00 above_value -0.65 — #224687 0.16 bear_low -1.22% -1.00
31/10 20:00
upd 31/10 21:10
15m
#475239
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading 0.757 expansion_after_compression bear_high
63%
choppy 60% mid 6b -3.4ATR — — 0.22 17% ↓ -0.84 above_value -0.28 — #224516 0.10 range_low +0.18% -0.61
31/10 20:45
upd 31/10 21:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 1b — 0.67×ATR p0 -1.738×ATR p79
4h ↓ down mid 7b — 5.703×ATR p78 -0.738×ATR p33
1h ↓ down late 13b — 3.67×ATR p60 -4.807×ATR p99
15m ↓ down mid 6b — 2.605×ATR p25 -3.392×ATR p76

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00158586
  2. tp_price: 0.0013767
  3. atr: 6.954E-5
  4. expires_at: 2026-11-01T07:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 58
  2. total: 58
  3. score: 0.0617
  4. delta_2h: -0.0694
  5. extension_atr: -1.97
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.001412 0.001586 0.001377 0.2 0.00145
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.001412
  • Stop Loss: 0.001586
  • Take Profit: 0.001377

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.001586 - 0.001412 = 0.000174

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.001412 - 0.001377 = 3.5E-5

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.5E-5 / 0.000174 = 0.2011

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
64.9718 64.9718 46014.0343 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.000174

Taille de position = 8 / 0.000174 = 45977.01

Taille de position USD = 45977.01 x 0.001412 = 64.92

Donc, tu peux acheter 45977.01 avec un stoploss a 0.001586

Avec un position size USD de 64.92$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 45977.01 x 0.000174 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 45977.01 x 3.5E-5 = 1.61

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 1.61$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 45977.01
  • Taille de position USD 64.92
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 1.61
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2011

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.48 % 1.61 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
12.32 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
1.61 $ 2.48
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.3456 % 10.92 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.001412 0.001586 0.001377 0.2 0.00145
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.001412
  • Stop Loss: 0.001586
  • Take Profit: 0.001377

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.001586 - 0.001412 = 0.000174

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.001412 - 0.001377 = 3.5E-5

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.5E-5 / 0.000174 = 0.2011

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -12.323% (0.0002)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.346% 0.1R 0.0× 12
2h +3.258% 0.3R -1.346% 0.1R 2.4× 24
4h +3.541% 0.3R -1.346% 0.1R 2.6× 48
6h ★ +4.037% 0.3R -1.346% 0.1R 3.0× 72
8h +4.179% 0.3R -1.346% 0.1R 3.1× 96
12h +4.320% 0.4R -1.346% 0.1R 3.2× 144
24h +4.320% 0.4R -9.986% 0.8R 0.4× 288
48h +4.320% 0.4R -25.567% 2.1R 0.2× 576
72h +4.320% 0.4R -25.567% 2.1R 0.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 644 min MAE in 1009 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 7 hours ago

Commentaires

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