Short Trade on RUNE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 167.24 RUNE at 0.602$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5871 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.65 (7.94 %)
31 Oct 2026 at 21:15:06
hyperliquid
RUNE
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
31 Oct 2026 21:15
→ 01:35
· 4 hours
Position
Entry 0.6022$
Qty 167.2399 RUNE
Size 100.7102$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5871 (+2.51%)
TP $ 2.53$
SL 0.65 (-7.94%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.32
Status
loss
PnL
-7.94%
/ -7.99$
MAE -7.94%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
expires
01 Nov 02:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 238670)
#55 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 21:00
score du 31/10/2026 21:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7360
Quality Score
0.399
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#55 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#55 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.73×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.87×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.21×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
expanding
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.28
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 21:00
31/10 21:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 30/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 31/10 20:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7484
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
71.4%
Macro
btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.197
Δ 4h
▲+0.255
Δ 12h
→+0.024
Δ 24h
▼-0.155
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 65.7% |
| 1h | 77.1% |
| 4h | 74.3% |
| 24h | 42.9% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 65.7% | +0.04% |
| 4h | 62.9% | +0.28% |
| 24h | 40.0% | -0.35% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
2.9%
Expansion
2.9%
Tail ↑
+0.43
Tail ↓
+0.41
Dispersion :
0.076
Universe :
35
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
31/10 21:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4734
Score SMA
0.5659
Rank
#10
/ 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8393
Rank Norm SMA
0.8593
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3540 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.02% · r3d: 0.97% · ema21_slope: -0.3695% · dist_ema21: -2.513% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4872 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.27% · rs_3d: 5.63% · beta_24h: 1.314 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8336 | rvol_20: 2.73× · zscore_50: 1.163 · trend: 118.46% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5246 | ADX: 16.4 (weak) · Chop: 52.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.044% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.3990
Score SMA
0.5444
Rank
#55
/ 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7360
Rank Norm SMA
0.6167
Calculé le
31/10/2026 21:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2979 | r1h: -3.990% · r4h: -10.950% · r1d: -8.14% · r3d: -2.79% · ema21_slope: 0.0044% · dist_ema21: -8.889% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1587 | rs_1h: -4.123% · rs_4h: -11.111% · rs_1d: -8.27% · rs_3d: 1.45% · beta_24h: -1.588 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3297 | rvol_20: 0.80× · zscore_50: -0.249 · trend: 23.49% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7499 | ADX: 30.0 (trend) · Chop: 21.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9156 | ATR%: 3.253% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5080
Score SMA
0.5886
Rank
#13
/ 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8670
Rank Norm SMA
0.7968
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4515 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -6.275% · r1d: -3.02% · r3d: 0.97% · ema21_slope: 0.3935% · dist_ema21: -3.224% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4064 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -6.273% · rs_1d: -3.27% · rs_3d: 5.63% · beta_24h: 0.636 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6688 | rvol_20: 1.66× · zscore_50: 1.274 · trend: 98.18% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6522 | ADX: 18.3 (weak) · Chop: 27.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.3937 | ATR%: 4.819% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.938%
(0.0478)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.959% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.237% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -6.830% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -7.938% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -7.938% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -7.938% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +15.286% | 1.9R | -7.938% | 1.0R | 1.9× | 288 |
| 48h | +17.911% | 2.3R | -7.938% | 1.0R | 2.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +17.911% | 2.3R | -11.201% | 1.4R | 1.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1439 min
MAE in 259 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 8 hours ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.68 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.26 | 30/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.56 | bear_high | -3.80% | +0.45 | 31/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | — | 0.42 | bear_low | -1.22% | -0.83 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | grind | expansion | bear_high_exhausted |
43%
|
choppy 56% | late | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.33 | range_low | +0.18% | -0.79 | 31/10 20:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#475001
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.655 | expansion | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early 2b -0.3ATR | near 0.2ATR | — | 2.73 | 96% | ↑ +0.62 | above_value | +0.02 | — | #224493 | 0.68 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.26 |
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 20:19
|
|
4h
#474885
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.601 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early 1b -0.5ATR | — | — | 1.66 | 95% | ↑ +0.88 | above_value | +0.02 | — | #224493 | 0.56 | bear_high | -3.80% | +0.45 |
31/10 16:00
upd 31/10 20:13
|
|
1h
anchor #475274
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.513 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late 2b -2.6ATR | — | — | 0.80 | 88% | ↑ +0.84 | below_value | -1.26 | — | #224664 | 0.42 | bear_low | -1.22% | -0.83 |
31/10 20:00
upd 31/10 21:09
|
|
15m
#475216
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | grind | 0.463 | expansion | bear_high_exhausted |
43%
|
choppy 56% | late 10b -3.5ATR | near 0.2ATR | — | 1.01 | 76% | ↑ +0.76 | above_value | +0.02 | — | #224493 | 0.33 | range_low | +0.18% | -0.79 |
31/10 20:45
upd 31/10 21:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.003×ATR | p0 | -0.325×ATR | p19 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 3.381×ATR | p41 | -0.509×ATR | p25 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 2.857×ATR | p44 | -2.572×ATR | p96 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 10b | — | 5.972×ATR | p78 | -3.521×ATR | p96 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.65002548
- tp_price: 0.58713525
- atr: 0.01913419
- expires_at: 2026-11-01T07:15:06+00:00
Details
- rank: 56
- total: 58
- score: 0.2979
- delta_2h: -0.1653
- extension_atr: -2.92
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.736
- confidence: 0.965
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6022 | 0.65 | 0.5871 | 0.32 | 0.6322 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6022
- Stop Loss: 0.65
- Take Profit: 0.5871
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.65 - 0.6022 = 0.0478
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6022 - 0.5871 = 0.0151
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0151 / 0.0478 = 0.3159
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100.7102 | 100 | 167.2399 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0478
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0478 = 167.36
Taille de position USD = 167.36 x 0.6022 = 100.78
Donc, tu peux acheter 167.36 avec un stoploss a 0.65
Avec un position size USD de 100.78$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 167.36 x 0.0478 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 167.36 x 0.0151 = 2.53
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.53$
Résumé
- Taille de position 167.36
- Taille de position USD 100.78
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.53
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3159
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 2.53 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.94 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -7.94 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -7.9376 % | 100 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6022 | 0.65 | 0.5871 | 0.32 | 0.6322 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6022
- Stop Loss: 0.65
- Take Profit: 0.5871
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.65 - 0.6022 = 0.0478
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6022 - 0.5871 = 0.0151
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0151 / 0.0478 = 0.3159
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.938%
(0.0478)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.959% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.237% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -6.830% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -7.938% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -7.938% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -7.938% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +15.286% | 1.9R | -7.938% | 1.0R | 1.9× | 288 |
| 48h | +17.911% | 2.3R | -7.938% | 1.0R | 2.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +17.911% | 2.3R | -11.201% | 1.4R | 1.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1439 min
MAE in 259 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 8 hours ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.