31 Oct 2026 at 23:15:16 hyperliquid

Long Trade on STX (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 472.63 STX at 0.324$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3321 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3071 (5.22 %)

STX LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 31 Oct 2026 23:15 → 04:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.324$

Qty 472.6261 STX

Size 153.1356$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.3321 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.83$

SL 0.3071 (-5.22%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.48

Status loss PnL -0.67% / -1.03$ MAE -1.67% MFE +1.83% 0.4R expires 01 Nov 04:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 238775)
#2 / 55
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9572

Quality Score
0.683
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#2 / 55
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.22 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#2 / 55
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.22 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.41×ATR
4h clear 3.25×ATR
1d clear 3.49×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
contracting
NO
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.03
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
3.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 23:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

30/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : range_high (0)

31/10 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

31/10 22:00

Score : +4 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7492
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

-2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical range

0.25

compression

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) -3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 49.5%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h mixed Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state contracting
Δ 15m
→-0.015
Δ 1h
▼-0.230
Δ 4h
→+0.023
Δ 12h
▼-0.155
Δ 24h
▼-0.052

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 71.4%
1h 28.6%
4h 51.4%
24h 51.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 71.4% +0.04%
4h 40.0% +0.03%
24h 48.6% +0.31%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
5.7%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
5.7%
Tail ↑
+0.53
Tail ↓
+0.31
Dispersion : 0.074
Universe : 35 (+1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+1 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 31/10 23:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5200
Score SMA
0.6125
Rank
#7 / 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8929
Rank Norm SMA
0.8099
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4428 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 12.64% · r3d: 8.04% · ema21_slope: -1.1512% · dist_ema21: -1.962%
Force Relative 25% 0.7738 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 12.38% · rs_3d: 12.69% · beta_24h: 1.589
Volume 20% 0.5418 rvol_20: 1.78× · zscore_50: 0.916 · trend: 7.44%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5691 ADX: 23.6 (weak) · Chop: 54.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.848% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.6832
Score SMA
0.5489
Rank
#2 / 55
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9572
Rank Norm SMA
0.5647
Calculé le
31/10/2026 23:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7605 r1h: 1.095% · r4h: -0.252% · r1d: 8.19% · r3d: 12.17% · ema21_slope: 0.3702% · dist_ema21: 1.417%
Force Relative 25% 0.7569 rs_1h: 1.084% · rs_4h: -0.510% · rs_1d: 7.81% · rs_3d: 14.96% · beta_24h: -0.708
Volume 20% 0.1795 rvol_20: 0.12× · zscore_50: -0.445 · trend: -43.15%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8663 ADX: 53.2 (trend) · Chop: 47.7 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.199% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6083
Score SMA
0.5282
Rank
#5 / 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9557
Rank Norm SMA
0.5509
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5260 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.203% · r1d: 12.64% · r3d: 8.04% · ema21_slope: 0.1262% · dist_ema21: 7.306%
Force Relative 25% 0.7693 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.202% · rs_1d: 12.38% · rs_3d: 12.69% · beta_24h: 2.022
Volume 20% 0.4116 rvol_20: 0.59× · zscore_50: -0.038 · trend: 146.88%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6873 ADX: 22.5 (weak) · Chop: 29.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.7274 ATR%: 3.818% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.216% (0.0169)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.923% 0.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.173% 0.2R -0.907% 0.2R 1.3× 24
4h +1.827% 0.4R -1.102% 0.2R 1.7× 48
6h ★ +1.827% 0.4R -1.670% 0.3R 1.1× 72
8h +1.827% 0.4R -1.750% 0.3R 1.0× 96
12h +1.827% 0.4R -1.821% 0.4R 1.0× 144
24h +3.972% 0.8R -1.821% 0.4R 2.2× 288
48h +4.432% 0.9R -2.867% 0.6R 1.6× 576
72h +4.432% 0.9R -2.867% 0.6R 1.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 1404 min MAE in 544 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 day ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.59
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind normal bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 39% mid — — 0.62 range_high -0.31% -0.87 30/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition strong balanced expansion_after_compression range_high
44%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.45 bear_high -3.80% +0.81 31/10 16:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong fading volatile_reversal bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 40% early — near 0.4ATR 0.57 bear_low -1.09% +0.50 31/10 22:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bull_high
57%
noisy_chop 35% early — — 0.35 range_low +0.27% -0.14 31/10 22:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#474986
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.660 normal bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 39% mid 19b -0.2ATR — — 1.78 97% ↓ -0.71 value +2.63 — #224486 0.62 range_high -0.31% -0.87
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 20:18
4h
#474871
↔ neutral transition bearish_transition strong balanced 0.516 expansion_after_compression range_high
44%
noisy_chop 40% mid 11b 1.7ATR — — 0.59 52% ↑ +0.60 value +2.63 — #224486 0.45 bear_high -3.80% +0.81
31/10 16:00
upd 31/10 20:12
1h anchor
#475847
↑ up transition bullish_transition strong fading 0.511 volatile_reversal bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 40% early 8b 0.5ATR — near 0.4ATR 0.12 63% ↓ -0.71 above_value +2.44 — #224879 0.57 bear_low -1.09% +0.50
31/10 22:00
upd 31/10 23:08
15m
#475792
↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.645 compression bull_high
57%
noisy_chop 35% early 4b -0.2ATR — — 0.12 3% ↑ +0.30 above_value +1.89 — #224770 0.35 range_low +0.27% -0.14
31/10 22:45
upd 31/10 23:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 19b — 4.338×ATR p61 -0.227×ATR p12
4h ↑ up mid 11b — 4.524×ATR p76 +1.695×ATR p76
1h ↓ down early 8b — 2.609×ATR p41 +0.547×ATR p34
15m ↑ up early 4b — 1.438×ATR p3 -0.235×ATR p15

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.3070833
  2. tp_price: 0.33211025
  3. atr: 0.00677068
  4. expires_at: 2026-11-01T09:15:16+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 3
  2. total: 57
  3. score: 0.7605
  4. delta_2h: 0.0293
  5. extension_atr: 0.92
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9572
  9. confidence: 0.964

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 23:15 0.32401000 +0.003%
2 00:15 0.32601000 +0.62%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.324 0.3071 0.3321 0.48 0.3551
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.324
  • Stop Loss: 0.3071
  • Take Profit: 0.3321

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3071 - 0.324 = -0.0169

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.324 - 0.3321 = -0.0081

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0081 / -0.0169 = 0.4793

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
153.1356 100 472.6261 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0169

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0169 = -473.37

Taille de position USD = -473.37 x 0.324 = -153.37

Donc, tu peux acheter -473.37 avec un stoploss a 0.3071

Avec un position size USD de -153.37$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -473.37 x -0.0169 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -473.37 x -0.0081 = 3.83

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.83$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -473.37
  • Taille de position USD -153.37
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.83
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4793

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.83 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.22 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-1.03 $ -0.67
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.6698 % 32.01 % 14
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.324 0.3071 0.3321 0.48 0.3551
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.324
  • Stop Loss: 0.3071
  • Take Profit: 0.3321

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3071 - 0.324 = -0.0169

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.324 - 0.3321 = -0.0081

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0081 / -0.0169 = 0.4793

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.216% (0.0169)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.923% 0.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.173% 0.2R -0.907% 0.2R 1.3× 24
4h +1.827% 0.4R -1.102% 0.2R 1.7× 48
6h ★ +1.827% 0.4R -1.670% 0.3R 1.1× 72
8h +1.827% 0.4R -1.750% 0.3R 1.0× 96
12h +1.827% 0.4R -1.821% 0.4R 1.0× 144
24h +3.972% 0.8R -1.821% 0.4R 2.2× 288
48h +4.432% 0.9R -2.867% 0.6R 1.6× 576
72h +4.432% 0.9R -2.867% 0.6R 1.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 1404 min MAE in 544 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 day ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.