Long Trade on AAVE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2.17 AAVE at 137.19$ per unit. Take profit: 140.6198 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 133.5001 (2.69 %)
31 Oct 2026 at 23:15:16
hyperliquid
AAVE
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
31 Oct 2026 23:15
→ 01:00
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 137.19$
Qty 2.1681 AAVE
Size 297.4389$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 140.6198 (+2.5%)
TP $ 7.44$
SL 133.5001 (-2.69%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.93
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +7.44$
MAE -0.74%
MFE +2.65%
1.0R
expires
01 Nov 04:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 238778)
#4 / 55
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 23:00
score du 31/10/2026 23:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8341
Quality Score
0.667
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#4 / 55
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-1
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-4
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.69 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#4 / 55
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-4
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.69 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.32×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.96×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.77×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
contracting
NO
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.03
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
10.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 23:00
31/10 23:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 30/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 31/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 31/10 22:00 Score : -1 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7492
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
-3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
49.5%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
contracting
Δ 15m
→-0.015
Δ 1h
▼-0.230
Δ 4h
→+0.023
Δ 12h
▼-0.155
Δ 24h
▼-0.052
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 71.4% |
| 1h | 28.6% |
| 4h | 51.4% |
| 24h | 51.4% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 71.4% | +0.04% |
| 4h | 40.0% | +0.03% |
| 24h | 48.6% | +0.31% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
5.7%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
5.7%
Tail ↑
+0.53
Tail ↓
+0.31
Dispersion :
0.074
Universe :
35
(+1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
31/10 23:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3910
Score SMA
0.3326
Rank
#21
/ 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6429
Rank Norm SMA
0.4502
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2987 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 3.58% · r3d: -0.40% · ema21_slope: -0.9373% · dist_ema21: -6.498% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5275 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.33% · rs_3d: 4.26% · beta_24h: 2.091 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3386 | rvol_20: 1.02× · zscore_50: -0.346 · trend: 8.53% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6783 | ADX: 25.8 (trend) · Chop: 42.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.527% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.6666
Score SMA
0.5205
Rank
#4
/ 55
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8341
Rank Norm SMA
0.5063
Calculé le
31/10/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6793 | r1h: 1.770% · r4h: 1.839% · r1d: 4.76% · r3d: 5.17% · ema21_slope: 0.1462% · dist_ema21: 2.513% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7274 | rs_1h: 1.759% · rs_4h: 1.580% · rs_1d: 4.39% · rs_3d: 7.96% · beta_24h: 1.858 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5174 | rvol_20: 1.93× · zscore_50: 0.836 · trend: -25.86% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5168 | ADX: 32.2 (trend) · Chop: 69.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.138% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4917
Score SMA
0.4547
Rank
#16
/ 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7023
Rank Norm SMA
0.3729
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3725 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.469% · r1d: 3.58% · r3d: -0.40% · ema21_slope: -0.1060% · dist_ema21: 1.607% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5738 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.468% · rs_1d: 3.33% · rs_3d: 4.26% · beta_24h: 2.454 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2053 | rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -0.274 · trend: -32.33% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6361 | ADX: 16.3 (weak) · Chop: 37.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.920% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.690%
(3.6899)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.123% | 0.4R | -0.744% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.646% | 1.0R | -0.744% | 0.3R | 3.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.646% | 1.0R | -0.744% | 0.3R | 3.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.646% | 1.0R | -0.744% | 0.3R | 3.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.646% | 1.0R | -0.809% | 0.3R | 3.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.646% | 1.0R | -0.809% | 0.3R | 3.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.646% | 1.0R | -2.996% | 1.1R | 0.9× | 288 |
| 48h | +2.646% | 1.0R | -9.294% | 3.5R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.646% | 1.0R | -10.212% | 3.8R | 0.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 104 min
MAE in 954 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 day ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.55
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
30%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.69 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.94 | 30/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.71 | bear_high | -3.80% | +0.42 | 31/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.74 | bear_low | -1.09% | +0.28 | 31/10 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_medium_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.60 | range_low | +0.27% | +0.23 | 31/10 22:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#474993
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.642 | normal | range_high |
30%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 29b -1.0ATR | — | — | 1.02 | 57% | ↔ +0.00 | above_value | +1.00 | — | #224489 | 0.69 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.94 |
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 20:19
|
|
4h
#474877
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.362 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid 11b 0.4ATR | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.23 | 22% | ↓ -0.22 | above_value | +1.00 | — | #224489 | 0.71 | bear_high | -3.80% | +0.42 |
31/10 16:00
upd 31/10 20:13
|
|
1h
anchor #475850
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.619 | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late 5b 2.4ATR | — | — | 1.93 | 92% | ↓ -0.48 | value | +1.03 | — | #224882 | 0.74 | bear_low | -1.09% | +0.28 |
31/10 22:00
upd 31/10 23:08
|
|
15m
#475795
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.552 | volatile_reversal | bull_medium_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late 4b 2.8ATR | — | — | 2.22 | 82% | ↑ +0.59 | above_value | +1.61 | — | #224773 | 0.60 | range_low | +0.27% | +0.23 |
31/10 22:45
upd 31/10 23:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 29b | — | 5.387×ATR | p70 | -0.987×ATR | p52 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 11b | — | 4.731×ATR | p73 | +0.448×ATR | p20 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 2.397×ATR | p39 | +2.402×ATR | p92 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 3.34×ATR | p62 | +2.762×ATR | p95 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 133.50009874
- tp_price: 140.61975
- atr: 1.4759605
- expires_at: 2026-11-01T09:15:16+00:00
Details
- rank: 5
- total: 57
- score: 0.6793
- delta_2h: 0.1075
- extension_atr: 2.25
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8341
- confidence: 0.979
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:15 | 137.19000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 00:15 | 136.97000000 | -0.16% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 137.19 | 133.5001 | 140.6198 | 0.93 | 132.35 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 137.19
- Stop Loss: 133.5001
- Take Profit: 140.6198
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 133.5001 - 137.19 = -3.6899
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 137.19 - 140.6198 = -3.4298
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.4298 / -3.6899 = 0.9295
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 297.4389 | 100 | 2.1681 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -3.6899
Taille de position = 8 / -3.6899 = -2.17
Taille de position USD = -2.17 x 137.19 = -297.7
Donc, tu peux acheter -2.17 avec un stoploss a 133.5001
Avec un position size USD de -297.7$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2.17 x -3.6899 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2.17 x -3.4298 = 7.44
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.44$
Résumé
- Taille de position -2.17
- Taille de position USD -297.7
- Perte potentielle 8.01
- Gain potentiel 7.44
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.9295
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 7.44 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.69 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 7.44 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7435 % | 27.64 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 137.19 | 133.5001 | 140.6198 | 0.93 | 132.35 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 137.19
- Stop Loss: 133.5001
- Take Profit: 140.6198
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 133.5001 - 137.19 = -3.6899
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 137.19 - 140.6198 = -3.4298
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.4298 / -3.6899 = 0.9295
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.690%
(3.6899)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.123% | 0.4R | -0.744% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.646% | 1.0R | -0.744% | 0.3R | 3.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.646% | 1.0R | -0.744% | 0.3R | 3.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.646% | 1.0R | -0.744% | 0.3R | 3.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.646% | 1.0R | -0.809% | 0.3R | 3.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.646% | 1.0R | -0.809% | 0.3R | 3.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.646% | 1.0R | -2.996% | 1.1R | 0.9× | 288 |
| 48h | +2.646% | 1.0R | -9.294% | 3.5R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.646% | 1.0R | -10.212% | 3.8R | 0.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 104 min
MAE in 954 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 day ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.