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Long Trade on XPL

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01 Nov 2026 at 00:15:07 hyperliquid

Long Trade on XPL (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 2920.61 XPL at 0.0841$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0862 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08136 (3.26 %)

XPL LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Nov 2026 00:15 → 00:20 · 4 minutes

Position

Entry 0.0841$

Qty 2920.6141 XPL

Size 245.6149$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.0862 (+2.5%)

TP $ 6.13$

SL 0.08136 (-3.26%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.77

Status win PnL +2.50% / +6.13$ MAE -17.44% MFE +2.77% 0.9R expires 01 Nov 05:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 238859)
#8 / 54
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/11/2026 00:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8825

Quality Score
0.598
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#8 / 54
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.26 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#8 / 54
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.26 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.82×ATR
4h clear 1.08×ATR
1d clear 1.78×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down late OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
expanding
OK
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
OK
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.27
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
15.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 00:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

30/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

31/10 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

31/10 23:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7496
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

-2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical range

0.25

compression

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) -3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 58.8%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h bullish Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.017
Δ 1h
▲+0.093
Δ 4h
▲+0.071
Δ 12h
▼-0.306
Δ 24h
▲+0.223

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 29.4%
1h 82.4%
4h 67.7%
24h 64.7%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 29.4% -0.04%
4h 47.1% +0.27%
24h 55.9% +1.24%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
5.9%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
5.9%
Tail ↑
+0.56
Tail ↓
+0.37
Dispersion : 0.097
Universe : 34 (-1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -1 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 01/11 00:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4346
Score SMA
0.3331
Rank
#16 / 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7321
Rank Norm SMA
0.3968
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4349 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.01% · r3d: 6.07% · ema21_slope: -0.5999% · dist_ema21: 2.419%
Force Relative 25% 0.6444 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.24% · rs_3d: 10.72% · beta_24h: 2.010
Volume 20% 0.3947 rvol_20: 1.32× · zscore_50: -0.211 · trend: 8.47%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4273 ADX: 15.4 (weak) · Chop: 63.0 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.578% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.5982
Score SMA
0.5649
Rank
#8 / 54
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8825
Rank Norm SMA
0.6692
Calculé le
01/11/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7329 r1h: 1.118% · r4h: 2.445% · r1d: 1.90% · r3d: 11.93% · ema21_slope: 0.1218% · dist_ema21: 2.599%
Force Relative 25% 0.7222 rs_1h: 1.035% · rs_4h: 2.146% · rs_1d: 1.07% · rs_3d: 14.53% · beta_24h: 1.260
Volume 20% 0.1665 rvol_20: 0.35× · zscore_50: -0.502 · trend: -55.88%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5877 ADX: 27.4 (trend) · Chop: 55.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.374% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.6253
Score SMA
0.5377
Rank
#3 / 54
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9820
Rank Norm SMA
0.6443
Calculé le
01/11/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7434 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.445% · r1d: 1.90% · r3d: 11.93% · ema21_slope: 0.4105% · dist_ema21: 5.406%
Force Relative 25% 0.7829 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.146% · rs_1d: 1.07% · rs_3d: 14.53% · beta_24h: 1.419
Volume 20% 0.2521 rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -0.384 · trend: 8.25%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6164 ADX: 14.0 (weak) · Chop: 36.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.9074 ATR%: 3.278% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.258% (0.0027)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.772% 0.9R -17.445% 5.4R 0.2× 12
2h +2.772% 0.9R -17.445% 5.4R 0.2× 24
4h +2.772% 0.9R -17.445% 5.4R 0.2× 48
6h ★ +2.772% 0.9R -17.445% 5.4R 0.2× 72
8h +2.772% 0.9R -17.445% 5.4R 0.2× 96
12h +2.772% 0.9R -17.445% 5.4R 0.2× 144
24h +2.772% 0.9R -17.445% 5.4R 0.2× 288
48h +2.772% 0.9R -26.052% 8.0R 0.1× 576
72h +2.772% 0.9R -28.513% 8.8R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 9 min MAE in 19 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 day ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.53
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind normal bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 33% late near 0.2ATR — 0.54 range_high -0.31% -0.06 30/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range strong explosive expansion bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 40% late — — 0.57 bear_high -3.45% +0.81 31/10 20:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading compression bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 43% late — — 0.67 bear_low -0.99% +0.30 31/10 23:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate fading compression bull_medium
60%
noisy_chop 43% late — — 0.45 range_low +0.31% +0.22 31/10 23:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#475052
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.630 normal bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 33% late 36b 0.3ATR near 0.2ATR — 1.32 77% ↔ -0.10 above_value +3.70 — #224518 0.54 range_high -0.31% -0.06
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 20:23
4h
#476203
 ↔ neutral range range strong explosive 0.775 expansion bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 40% late 13b 1.3ATR — — 0.22 30% ↔ -0.05 above_value +5.86 — #225017 0.57 bear_high -3.45% +0.81
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 00:14
1h anchor
#476202
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading 0.346 compression bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 43% late 3b 2.0ATR — — 0.35 54% ↓ -0.47 above_value +5.86 — #225017 0.67 bear_low -0.99% +0.30
31/10 23:00
upd 01/11 00:14
15m
#476104
 ↑ up range range moderate fading 0.343 compression bull_medium
60%
noisy_chop 43% late 15b 2.9ATR — — 0.97 25% ↑ +0.17 above_value +4.90 — #224909 0.45 range_low +0.31% +0.22
31/10 23:45
upd 01/11 00:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 36b — 6.327×ATR p88 +0.311×ATR p19
4h ↑ up late 13b — 5.85×ATR p81 +1.303×ATR p73
1h ↑ up late 3b — 2.021×ATR p33 +2.005×ATR p87
15m ↑ up late 15b — 4.933×ATR p96 +2.91×ATR p100

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.08135785
  2. tp_price: 0.08619942
  3. atr: 0.00109566
  4. expires_at: 2026-11-01T10:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 6
  2. total: 55
  3. score: 0.6965
  4. delta_2h: 0.1093
  5. extension_atr: 2.17
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8796
  9. confidence: 0.957

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.0841 0.08136 0.0862 0.77 0.06459
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.0841
  • Stop Loss: 0.08136
  • Take Profit: 0.0862

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.08136 - 0.0841 = -0.00274

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.0841 - 0.0862 = -0.0021

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0021 / -0.00274 = 0.7664

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
245.6149 100 2920.6141 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00274

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00274 = -2919.71

Taille de position USD = -2919.71 x 0.0841 = -245.55

Donc, tu peux acheter -2919.71 avec un stoploss a 0.08136

Avec un position size USD de -245.55$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -2919.71 x -0.00274 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -2919.71 x -0.0021 = 6.13

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.13$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -2919.71
  • Taille de position USD -245.55
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 6.13
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7664

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 6.13 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.26 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
6.13 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.0841 0.08136 0.0862 0.77 0.06459
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.0841
  • Stop Loss: 0.08136
  • Take Profit: 0.0862

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.08136 - 0.0841 = -0.00274

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.0841 - 0.0862 = -0.0021

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0021 / -0.00274 = 0.7664

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.08958
            [stop_loss] => 0.08136
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-01 04:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.09095
            [stop_loss] => 0.08136
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-01 04:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.09232
            [stop_loss] => 0.08136
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-01 04:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.09369
            [stop_loss] => 0.08136
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-01 04:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.09506
            [stop_loss] => 0.08136
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-01 04:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.09643
            [stop_loss] => 0.08136
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-01 04:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0978
            [stop_loss] => 0.08136
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-01 04:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.09917
            [stop_loss] => 0.08136
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-01 04:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.10054
            [stop_loss] => 0.08136
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-01 04:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.10191
            [stop_loss] => 0.08136
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-01 04:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.10328
            [stop_loss] => 0.08136
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-01 04:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.258% (0.0027)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.772% 0.9R -17.445% 5.4R 0.2× 12
2h +2.772% 0.9R -17.445% 5.4R 0.2× 24
4h +2.772% 0.9R -17.445% 5.4R 0.2× 48
6h ★ +2.772% 0.9R -17.445% 5.4R 0.2× 72
8h +2.772% 0.9R -17.445% 5.4R 0.2× 96
12h +2.772% 0.9R -17.445% 5.4R 0.2× 144
24h +2.772% 0.9R -17.445% 5.4R 0.2× 288
48h +2.772% 0.9R -26.052% 8.0R 0.1× 576
72h +2.772% 0.9R -28.513% 8.8R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 9 min MAE in 19 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 day ago

Commentaires

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