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Short Trade on SOPH

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01 Nov 2026 at 00:15:09 hyperliquid

Short Trade on SOPH (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 50806.55 SOPH at 0.00138$ per unit. Take profit: 0.001342 (2.47 %) & Stop Loss: 0.001533 (11.41 %)

SOPH SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Nov 2026 00:15 → 05:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.001376$

Qty 50806.554 SOPH

Size 69.9098$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.001342 (+2.47%)

TP $ 1.73$

SL 0.001533 (-11.41%)

SL $ 7.98$

RR 0.22

Status loss PnL -1.60% / -1.12$ MAE -1.96% MFE +1.67% 0.2R expires 01 Nov 05:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 238857)
#54 / 54
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/11/2026 00:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0000

Quality Score
0.234
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#54 / 54
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
11.41 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#54 / 54
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
11.41 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.06×ATR
4h near -0.20×ATR
1d near 0.07×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
expanding
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.27
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 00:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3)

30/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

31/10 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

31/10 23:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7496
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

compression

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 58.8%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h bullish Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.017
Δ 1h
▲+0.093
Δ 4h
▲+0.071
Δ 12h
▼-0.306
Δ 24h
▲+0.223

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 29.4%
1h 82.4%
4h 67.7%
24h 64.7%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 29.4% -0.04%
4h 47.1% +0.27%
24h 55.9% +1.24%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
5.9%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
5.9%
Tail ↑
+0.56
Tail ↓
+0.37
Dispersion : 0.097
Universe : 34 (-1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -1 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 01/11 00:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3437
Score SMA
0.4695
Rank
#29 / 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5000
Rank Norm SMA
0.5906
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1117 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -33.86% · r3d: -2.91% · ema21_slope: -2.7550% · dist_ema21: -30.014%
Force Relative 25% 0.2599 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -34.11% · rs_3d: 1.74% · beta_24h: -0.843
Volume 20% 0.7278 rvol_20: 1.85× · zscore_50: 1.954 · trend: 86.19%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6642 ADX: 28.9 (trend) · Chop: 47.7 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 26.022% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.2336
Score SMA
0.4135
Rank
#54 / 54
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.3009
Calculé le
01/11/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1160 r1h: -0.288% · r4h: -3.557% · r1d: -30.57% · r3d: -4.42% · ema21_slope: -0.9537% · dist_ema21: -9.524%
Force Relative 25% 0.2640 rs_1h: -0.371% · rs_4h: -3.856% · rs_1d: -31.41% · rs_3d: -1.83% · beta_24h: -7.785
Volume 20% 0.2203 rvol_20: 0.64× · zscore_50: -0.298 · trend: -37.01%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5609 ADX: 32.9 (trend) · Chop: 64.5 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.4282 ATR%: 4.715% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.3010
Score SMA
0.4468
Rank
#52 / 54
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0451
Rank Norm SMA
0.3851
Calculé le
01/11/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3299 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.557% · r1d: -30.57% · r3d: -4.42% · ema21_slope: 0.7704% · dist_ema21: -13.485%
Force Relative 25% 0.2547 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.856% · rs_1d: -31.41% · rs_3d: -1.83% · beta_24h: 0.292
Volume 20% 0.2497 rvol_20: 0.61× · zscore_50: -0.050 · trend: -23.40%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6467 ADX: 17.6 (weak) · Chop: 18.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 12.401% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -11.410% (0.0002)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.017% 0.1R -1.526% 0.1R 0.7× 12
2h +1.454% 0.1R -1.526% 0.1R 1.0× 24
4h +1.526% 0.1R -1.526% 0.1R 1.0× 48
6h ★ +1.672% 0.2R -1.962% 0.2R 0.9× 72
8h +1.817% 0.2R -2.035% 0.2R 0.9× 96
12h +1.817% 0.2R -7.195% 0.6R 0.3× 144
24h +1.817% 0.2R -28.706% 2.5R 0.1× 288
48h +1.817% 0.2R -28.852% 2.5R 0.1× 576
72h +1.817% 0.2R -28.852% 2.5R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 464 min MAE in 1404 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 day ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.18
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong grind volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
46%
noisy_chop 53% mid near 0.1ATR — 0.33 range_high -0.31% -1.00 30/10 20:00
4h ↓ down range range strong balanced volatile_reversal bear_high
49%
noisy_chop 46% late near -0.2ATR — — bear_high -3.45% -0.40 31/10 20:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading compression bear_high
55%
ranging_calm 52% late — — 0.16 bear_low -0.99% -0.90 31/10 23:00
15m ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bear_high
65%
noisy_chop 48% early near -0.3ATR — 0.05 range_low +0.31% -0.30 31/10 23:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#475048
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong grind 0.374 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
46%
noisy_chop 53% mid 1b -1.7ATR near 0.1ATR — 1.85 97% ↑ +0.57 above_value -0.28 — #224516 0.33 range_high -0.31% -1.00
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 20:22
4h
#476199
 ↓ down range range strong balanced 0.379 volatile_reversal bear_high
49%
noisy_chop 46% late 8b -0.9ATR near -0.2ATR — 0.59 81% ↓ -0.21 value -1.32 — #225015 — bear_high -3.45% -0.40
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 00:14
1h anchor
#476198
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading 0.748 compression bear_high
55%
ranging_calm 52% late 16b -4.4ATR — — 0.64 28% ↓ -0.30 value -1.32 — #225015 0.16 bear_low -0.99% -0.90
31/10 23:00
upd 01/11 00:14
15m
#476102
 ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate balanced 0.562 expansion_after_compression bear_high
65%
noisy_chop 48% early 5b -1.6ATR near -0.3ATR — 0.17 54% ↑ +1.00 above_value -0.75 — #224907 0.05 range_low +0.31% -0.30
31/10 23:45
upd 01/11 00:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 1b — 0.67×ATR p0 -1.738×ATR p79
4h ↓ down late 8b — 6.312×ATR p81 -0.877×ATR p40
1h ↓ down late 16b — 4.386×ATR p74 -4.421×ATR p97
15m ↓ down early 5b — 2.117×ATR p23 -1.615×ATR p38

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00153346
  2. tp_price: 0.0013416
  3. atr: 6.298E-5
  4. expires_at: 2026-11-01T10:15:09+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 55
  2. total: 55
  3. score: 0.0676
  4. delta_2h: -0.1667
  5. extension_atr: -2.09
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.001376 0.001533 0.001342 0.22 0.001327
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.001376
  • Stop Loss: 0.001533
  • Take Profit: 0.001342

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.001533 - 0.001376 = 0.000157

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.001376 - 0.001342 = 3.4E-5

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.4E-5 / 0.000157 = 0.2166

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
69.9098 69.9098 50806.554 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.000157

Taille de position = 8 / 0.000157 = 50955.41

Taille de position USD = 50955.41 x 0.001376 = 70.11

Donc, tu peux acheter 50955.41 avec un stoploss a 0.001533

Avec un position size USD de 70.11$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 50955.41 x 0.000157 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 50955.41 x 3.4E-5 = 1.73

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 1.73$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 50955.41
  • Taille de position USD 70.11
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 1.73
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2166

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.47 % 1.73 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
11.41 % 7.98 $
PNL PNL %
-1.12 $ -1.60
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.9622 % 17.2 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.001376 0.001533 0.001342 0.22 0.001327
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.001376
  • Stop Loss: 0.001533
  • Take Profit: 0.001342

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.001533 - 0.001376 = 0.000157

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.001376 - 0.001342 = 3.4E-5

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.4E-5 / 0.000157 = 0.2166

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -11.410% (0.0002)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.017% 0.1R -1.526% 0.1R 0.7× 12
2h +1.454% 0.1R -1.526% 0.1R 1.0× 24
4h +1.526% 0.1R -1.526% 0.1R 1.0× 48
6h ★ +1.672% 0.2R -1.962% 0.2R 0.9× 72
8h +1.817% 0.2R -2.035% 0.2R 0.9× 96
12h +1.817% 0.2R -7.195% 0.6R 0.3× 144
24h +1.817% 0.2R -28.706% 2.5R 0.1× 288
48h +1.817% 0.2R -28.852% 2.5R 0.1× 576
72h +1.817% 0.2R -28.852% 2.5R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 464 min MAE in 1404 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 day ago

Commentaires

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