Long Trade on XPL (PavLongMomentum4h)
With 3037.59 XPL at 0.0846$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.082 (3.11 %)
01 Nov 2026 at 00:31:02
hyperliquid
XPL
LONG
PavLongMomentum4h
hyperliquid
01 Nov 2026 00:31
→ 00:35
· 3 minutes
Position
Entry 0.08463$
Qty 3037.5863 XPL
Size 257.0861$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 257.07$
SL 0.082 (-3.11%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR
Status
loss
PnL
-3.11%
/ -7.99$
MAE -17.96%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 238859)
#8 / 54
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/11/2026 00:00
score du 01/11/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8825
Quality Score
0.598
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#8 / 54
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.11 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#8 / 54
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.11 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.82×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.08×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.78×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie PavLongMomentum4h. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie PavLongMomentum4h. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
15.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 00:17
01/11 00:17
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 30/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 31/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 31/10 23:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7497
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
-3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
39.1%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
▼-0.198
Δ 1h
▼-0.162
Δ 4h
▼-0.232
Δ 12h
▼-0.302
Δ 24h
▲+0.151
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 65.7% |
| 1h | 31.4% |
| 4h | 34.3% |
| 24h | 74.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 57.1% | +0.03% |
| 4h | 31.4% | -0.23% |
| 24h | 57.1% | +1.30% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.9%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
2.9%
Tail ↑
+0.39
Tail ↓
+0.40
Dispersion :
0.084
Universe :
35
(+1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
01/11 00:16
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4346
Score SMA
0.3331
Rank
#16
/ 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7321
Rank Norm SMA
0.3968
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4349 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.01% · r3d: 6.07% · ema21_slope: -0.5999% · dist_ema21: 2.419% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6444 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.24% · rs_3d: 10.72% · beta_24h: 2.010 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3947 | rvol_20: 1.32× · zscore_50: -0.211 · trend: 8.47% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4273 | ADX: 15.4 (weak) · Chop: 63.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.578% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/11/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.5982
Score SMA
0.5649
Rank
#8
/ 54
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8825
Rank Norm SMA
0.6692
Calculé le
01/11/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7329 | r1h: 1.118% · r4h: 2.445% · r1d: 1.90% · r3d: 11.93% · ema21_slope: 0.1218% · dist_ema21: 2.599% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7222 | rs_1h: 1.035% · rs_4h: 2.146% · rs_1d: 1.07% · rs_3d: 14.53% · beta_24h: 1.260 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1665 | rvol_20: 0.35× · zscore_50: -0.502 · trend: -55.88% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5877 | ADX: 27.4 (trend) · Chop: 55.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.374% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/11/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.6253
Score SMA
0.5377
Rank
#3
/ 54
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9820
Rank Norm SMA
0.6443
Calculé le
01/11/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7434 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.445% · r1d: 1.90% · r3d: 11.93% · ema21_slope: 0.4105% · dist_ema21: 5.406% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7829 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.146% · rs_1d: 1.07% · rs_3d: 14.53% · beta_24h: 1.419 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2521 | rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -0.384 · trend: 8.25% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6164 | ADX: 14.0 (weak) · Chop: 36.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9074 | ATR%: 3.278% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: PavLongMomentum4h (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -3.108%
(0.0026)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -17.962% | 5.8R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -17.962% | 5.8R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -17.962% | 5.8R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -17.962% | 5.8R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -17.962% | 5.8R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -17.962% | 5.8R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -26.515% | 8.5R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -28.960% | 9.3R | 0.0× | 864 |
computed 1 day ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 33% | late | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.54 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.06 | 30/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | — | 0.57 | bear_high | -3.45% | +0.81 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.67 | bear_low | -0.99% | +0.30 | 31/10 23:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_medium |
62%
|
choppy 49% | late | — | — | 0.44 | range_low | +0.24% | +0.33 | 01/11 00:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#475052
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.630 | normal | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 33% | late 36b 0.3ATR | near 0.2ATR | — | 1.32 | 77% | ↔ -0.10 | above_value | +3.70 | — | #224518 | 0.54 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.06 |
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 20:23
|
|
4h
#476203
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.775 | expansion | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late 13b 1.3ATR | — | — | 0.22 | 30% | ↔ -0.05 | above_value | +5.86 | — | #225017 | 0.57 | bear_high | -3.45% | +0.81 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 00:14
|
|
1h
anchor #476202
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.346 | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late 3b 2.0ATR | — | — | 0.35 | 54% | ↓ -0.47 | above_value | +5.86 | — | #225017 | 0.67 | bear_low | -0.99% | +0.30 |
31/10 23:00
upd 01/11 00:14
|
|
15m
#476268
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.343 | expansion | bull_medium |
62%
|
choppy 49% | late 16b 4.2ATR | — | — | 3.70 | 85% | ↑ +0.39 | above_value | +5.86 | — | #225017 | 0.44 | range_low | +0.24% | +0.33 |
01/11 00:00
upd 01/11 00:18
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 36b | — | 6.327×ATR | p88 | +0.311×ATR | p19 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 5.85×ATR | p81 | +1.303×ATR | p73 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 2.021×ATR | p33 | +2.005×ATR | p87 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 16b | — | 6.404×ATR | p100 | +4.216×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
PavLongMomentum4h - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 1
- reason: breakout
- stop_price: 0.08200133
- tp_price:
- atr:
- score: 1
- exit_rules: [{"type":"trailing_ma","params":{"period":9,"timeframe":"4h","on":"Close"}},{"type":"time_expiry","params":{"max_bars":20,"timeframe":"4h"}}]
- confidence_pre_ob: 1
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0612
- obi_top10 : 0.147
- micro_price : 0.08594576
- spread_pct : 0.034916
- mid_price : 0.085935
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1282
- obi_top5_std : 0.0616
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7205
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : pav_long_momentum
- timeframe : 4h
- breakout_period : 42
- ma_exit_period : 9
- breakout_high : 0.08362
- breakout_high_time : 2026-11-01T00:00:00
- ma_exit_at_entry : 0.08200133
- entry_price : 0.084635 ¸
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7205ms
Confidence avant OB :
100%
→
100%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.061
avg 0.128
± 0.062
OBI Top 10
0.147
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0859
Micro Price
0.0859
Spread
0.0349%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08463 | 0.082 | 0.05985 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.08463
- Stop Loss: 0.082
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.082 - 0.08463 = -0.00263
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08463 - = 0.08463
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.08463 / -0.00263 = -32.1787
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 257.0861 | 100 | 3037.5863 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00263
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00263 = -3041.83
Taille de position USD = -3041.83 x 0.08463 = -257.43
Donc, tu peux acheter -3041.83 avec un stoploss a 0.082
Avec un position size USD de -257.43$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3041.83 x -0.00263 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3041.83 x 0.08463 = -257.43
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -257.43$
Résumé
- Taille de position -3041.83
- Taille de position USD -257.43
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel -257.43
- Risk-Reward Ratio -32.1787
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 257.07 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.11 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -3.11 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -17.9617 % | 577.99 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08463 | 0.082 | 0.05985 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.08463
- Stop Loss: 0.082
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.082 - 0.08463 = -0.00263
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08463 - = 0.08463
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.08463 / -0.00263 = -32.1787
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 0.08463
[stop_loss] => 0.081737
[rr_ratio] => 29.25
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-11-01 04:35:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 0.08463
[stop_loss] => 0.081474
[rr_ratio] => 26.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-11-01 04:35:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 0.08463
[stop_loss] => 0.081211
[rr_ratio] => 24.75
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-11-01 04:35:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 0.08463
[stop_loss] => 0.080685
[rr_ratio] => 21.45
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-11-01 04:35:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: PavLongMomentum4h (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -3.108%
(0.0026)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -17.962% | 5.8R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -17.962% | 5.8R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -17.962% | 5.8R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -17.962% | 5.8R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -17.962% | 5.8R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -17.962% | 5.8R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -26.515% | 8.5R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -28.960% | 9.3R | 0.0× | 864 |
computed 1 day ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.